Suggestion: Prismatica Bazaar Bauble at 19–29 keys

Traded up with 21k for a DBD head warmer (outdated - might do mini but ive done too many XD - if going by b.o -> 40 - 21k = 19k so it might fall into range anyway)

Sale #5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1600819200/1600992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353722400#!/compare/1600905600/1601424000

Sold for 30k pure

Sale #6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353722400#!/compare/1602201600/1602979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602288000/1602460800

Traded with 2 other unusuals for a prismatica smoker (likely exclude)

Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010637145#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1602374400/1602547200

Untraceable as to what it sold for??

Sale #8 - #9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1602547200/1602720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116196570#!/compare/1602547200/1602720000

Might be transfers or something

https://backpack.tf/item/9150172021 -> few sales

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960533774#!/compare/1598486400/1599004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174090699#!/compare/1598745600/1598918400

Sold for 37k pure (too high - excluding)

Sale #2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174090699#!/compare/1599091200/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382115458#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

Traced 11k (excluding as below b.o)

Sale #3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382115458#!/compare/1599091200/1599350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1599091200/1599264000

Sold for roughly 18.5k (~19k)

https://backpack.tf/item/9141489789 -> 1 sale

Sale #1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1599004800/1599264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1598918400/1599177600

Untraceable as to what it sold for...

Marketplace sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31112;5;u150

Oct 5th @ 54 / 1.85 = 29.18k (~29k)

Oct 27th @ 54.99 / 1.84 = 29.88k (~30k)

Possibly 27th history -> https://backpack.tf/item/9150172021

Total sales @

30k (x3)

19k (x3)

25.5k

29k

Due to many sellers at 29k that might be unsold for a while - likely capped at 29k

Taking a range of 19-29k!

new sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198369038536#!/compare/1606608000/1606953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080935708#!/compare/1606521600/1606608000

Either 15 keys or Toy soldier

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31112;5;u150

$54.4 / $1.75 = 31.09 keys

=========

Sale 1 was for 21 keys, 17 were used to buy the Festive RL. buy orders at the time were 21:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5OZ5822

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327943292#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1601164800/1601424000

above sale was 25, not 12.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126625786#!/compare/1603324800/1605657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1604016000/1604102400

above sale was marked untrace, was for 18 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1604188800/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1604188800/1604275200

sale was marked as 15, is actually 22 keys (6 used to buy other hats)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066570624#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198985384131#!/compare/1599004800/1599177600

sale was marked untrace, was for either the Scorching Missing or Aromatica Bauble.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262422109#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1602460800/1602547200

Sale marked 7 keys was actually for ~23 keys

so your total sales are now:

18, 19, 19, 19, 21, 22, 23, 25, 26, 29, 30, 30, 30, 31 keys

https://i.imgur.com/WlEjlAI.png

unsolds at 29 keys for ~1 month,

buyers have dropped to 15.

I'll agree with 29 being the high end based on sellers, but a small tightening of the range on the low end up to 21 is probably better.

By the way, I notice that alot of sales are being called incorrectly because you aren't looking much at sales past the surface level. Do be sure to check both times of a compare, (eg. a sale on Oct 12th can happen in compares on either oct 11 to oct 12, or oct 12 to oct 13), ID match with follow up (eg. checking if keys were used to buy items), and if there are missing people in histories (eg. A sells to C, then uses C's items to buy from A.)

I can't exactly force you to spend more time suggesting, but I'm recommending you learn these things as your next steps.

Yeah i am spending as much time as i can on these suggestions as possible, sometimes i will get confused whether 1 sale is more/less than Ive called it as for example, I might have called it was 15k (yet its 22k) but I might have found a 15k history so I will try spending more time looking between comparisons. Also, I will re-suggest this to 21-29k, massive thanks for the help on this one!