Mini for Burning Flames Galvanized Gibus

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/6913288625

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043613988#!/compare/1600473600/1600646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1600387200/1600473600

Sold for:

Burning Flames Steel Shako - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f9c4462671e5863b15e5682 - 37.5 keys

Burning Flames Airdog - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f9c52c41c7cce6ba607e239 - 36.5 keys

37.5 + 36.5 = 74 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1601856000/1602028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1601942400/1602028800

Sold for 85 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1602028800/1602201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969122505#!/compare/1602201600/1602288000

Bulk for Spellbound Drill's Hat

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198969122505#!/compare/1602288000/1602374400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331224889#!/compare/1602201600/1602374400

Sold for 87 keys

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331224889#!/compare/1602374400/1602806400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282873040#!/compare/1602547200/1602633600

Sold alongside 63 keys for Burning Flames Galvanized Gibus, using there

https://prnt.sc/vabb2f - 63k confirmed

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282873040#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148482073#!/compare/1602806400/1602892800

Sold for:

Scorching Flames Hephaistos' Handcraft - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f5f0d120ccb9f7bb777f015 - indate at 43 keys

Burning Flames Handyman's Handle - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f9c552770815d10791d2e46 - 40 keys

6 keys in adds

43 + 40 + 6 = 89 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148482073#!/compare/1603324800/1603497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102469410#!/compare/1603411200/1603497600

Sold for 103 keys

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102469410#!/compare/1603843200/1603929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1603756800/1603843200

Untrace, looks like sold to bot buy order

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/6147816538

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802991149#!/compare/1599436800/1599523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1599436800/1599523200

https://prnt.sc/vab4rt

Sold for 67 keys, buyers at the time

Sale 10

Sold on MP

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/6032761426

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993888396#!/compare/1601769600/1601856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106511423#!/compare/1601856000/1601942400

Sold for 82 keys

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/5981232439

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067885381#!/compare/1597536000/1598918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1598832000/1598918400

Sold for 62 keys

Sale 13

Listed to MP

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/5841243766

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087099341#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102469410#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Yellow Belt + 40 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4J9WV5RP - buyout is 130 keys

Blizzy Belt - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f9c5e6c35498b227a42d828 - 74.5 keys

74.5 + 40 = 114.5 keys

Taking 115 keys

Sale 15

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/5789094768

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996047364#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1602547200/1602806400

Sold for Burning Flames Hive Minder + 3 keys

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Mini for Burning Flames Hive Minder

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/8791783115

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171672427#!/compare/1598832000/1598918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106372188#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106372188#!/compare/1599004800/1599091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268703524#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

Untrace

Sale 3

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344406123#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

The FN Iso Damascus Minigun matches

Untrace rest of the sale

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1602547200/1602806400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996047364#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400

Sold alongside 3 keys for Burning Blast Defense

Using there

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/8768953093

Sale 6

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252483678#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008856914#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

77 keys match

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/3444124641

Sale 8

Untrace, maybe MP sales

Marketplace sales

None

Sales

77

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/vab3l7

Seller at 90 keys, 110 keys, 140 keys

Buyers at 80 keys

No usable sales

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Excluding sale 16

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1603584000/1603670400

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u13

Aug 7th - $90.06 / $1.85 = 48.68 keys

Sep 17th - $159.99 / $1.84 = 86.95 keys

Sales

74, 85, 87, 89, 103, 82, 62, 115, 49, 87

Sales but ordered

49, 62, 74, 82, 85, 87, 87, 89, 103, 115

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/vab9tt

Sellers at:

98 keys

$199.99

110 keys

115 keys

Buyers at:

87 keys

https://prnt.sc/vabfjs - buyers have only been above 85 for 2 weeks, buyers have been above 87 for less than a week

Thanks Blaze, misc hype whod have thunk it:

seems the market has changed quite a bit now with buyers up to 108 keys.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u13 - new sales at $175 (97 keys), $176.99 (97 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1605398400/1605484800 - sold for 101 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605398400/1605484800 - sold for 113 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200 - sold with Hot Claidheamh Mòr (Field-Tested) for 132 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041832347#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800 - sold with 12~ keys for Hellfire Stately Steel Toe

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041832347#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000 - sold for 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1604275200/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1604275200/1604361600 - sold for 85 keys

i feel like 95 - 115 should be fine here. i wouldn't straight up call every single lower sale outliers when there have been so many lower sales.

Going with 95 – 115, understandably buyers have crept up a lot but should still be fine as Blaze said