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Last price change was almost 3 years ago.
Marketplace.tf sales at $7.89: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30816;5;u3010
Steam community sales at have normally been at around $9.60:
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery
Sell orders have been at minimum 4 keys and 17 refined in the past month.
That's not enough sales considering this is a generic effect taunt
for steam, how do you know the sales are on this specific effect, keep in mind that steam market groups ALL effects together.
Rounding error at price
Cannot pull a price out of nowhere
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/
The range comes from nowhere and there are many more sales that need to be included:
https://backpack.tf/item/8058619194
https://backpack.tf/item/7427265862
https://backpack.tf/item/7135201809
https://backpack.tf/item/6697692924
etc.
More info here:
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/