Suggestion: Frozen Icefall Citizen Cane at 61–65 keys

https://gladiator.tf/listings/620d0122152bfafcbbd976c2 - buyout for qs.store was 57.5 keys, this sale caps at 57.5, qs values unusuals at roughly around buy order price

Taking as 58 keys here

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/10534479943

Sale 7

Untrace, bought off qs and immediately listed on MP

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/10471508551

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263684120#!/compare/1644105600/1647216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199201789558#!/compare/1644883200/1647561600

Untrace / gambling

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199201789558#!/compare/1647561600/1650412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199060043033#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

Dumped to a bot, untrace

The ref and scrap match

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199060043033#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111664710#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

Redumped to another bot

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frozen%20Icefall%20Citizen%20Cane&at=2022-04-20T17:12:31.052Z

It's one of these, taking as 61 keys

Sale 11

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frozen%20Icefall%20Citizen%20Cane&at=2022-04-20T17:12:31.052Z

I'll assume that the 64 key sale is Ares' bot, it'll probably fall within range anyways.

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/9983526378

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055641663#!/compare/1644796800/1644969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198998550449#!/compare/1644883200/1644969600

Added:

Delightful Star Taunt: Soldier's Requiem

for

Scorching Flames Respectless Rubber Glove

ID doesn't match because it was painted

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198998550449#!/compare/1644883200/1644969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1644796800/1644969600

Bulk / untrace, immediately listed on MP

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/9720697543

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083545260#!/compare/1647561600/1650412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004799979#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

Some ref matches, dumped to buy orders

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6233f9dd8feed834686c7394 ~ 58 keys ish

Taking as 58 keys

Sale 15

Withdrawn to owner

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173925222#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210678091#!/compare/1647475200/1647561600

Untrace

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210678091#!/compare/1647648000/1647734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057445129#!/compare/1647561600/1647734400

Screaming Tiger Kazotsky Kick matches

Rest untrace

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057445129#!/compare/1647734400/1647820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050485306#!/compare/1647734400/1647820800

Bulk for Tesla Coil Winter Woodsman

Using there

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050485306#!/compare/1648598400/1648684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1648425600/1648684800

Sold for 61 keys

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1648944000/1649030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973856312#!/compare/1648944000/1649030400

Bulk

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973856312#!/compare/1649376000/1649462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284#!/compare/1649203200/1649462400

Bulk for Frostbite Metal Drill Hat

The GE Berlin Brain Bowl was immediately dumped to bot buyers, the 61 keys match the new owner

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/9457636166

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116427955#!/compare/1642896000/1642982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1642809600/1642982400

Bulk

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1642982400/1643068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039844252#!/compare/1642896000/1643328000

Untrace

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039844252#!/compare/1643587200/1643760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1643500800/1643587200

45 keys 9 ref match

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61f810b24e73c9f0704c7450 - probably 54 keys 9 ref given some keys went towards the Static Shock Taunt: Mannrobics

Taking as 54 keys

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1646784000/1646870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076467177#!/compare/1646784000/1646956800

Untrace

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076467177#!/compare/1647216000/1647388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161892799#!/compare/1647388800/1648166400

Looks like scammed

Sale 27

Scammer dumped to qs.store

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1647388800/1647475200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114444973#!/compare/1647388800/1647475200

Untrace

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/9128130976

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140905174#!/compare/1644969600/1645056000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280209340#!/compare/1644969600/1645056000

60 keys match histories

Sale 30

Scraptf auctioned, untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280209340#!/compare/1645920000/1646265600

Actually it could have been ~57 keys, not too sure if I can fully trust this but it can act as supporting evidence

Sale 31

Dumped to a bot then listed on MP

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/9089039810

Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085304366#!/compare/1647734400/1647907200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198429068719#!/compare/1647820800/1647907200

Bulk for Sulphurous Modest

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/9066925561

Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114085912#!/compare/1646179200/1646265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199116198115#!/compare/1646179200/1646265600

Dumped to bot

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/8907229401

Sale 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049597007#!/compare/1645401600/1645747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841786141#!/compare/1645660800/1645747200

Sold for 60 keys

Sale 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841786141#!/compare/1648252800/1648425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1648339200/1648425600

Resold for 60 keys?

Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1648598400/1648684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132731667#!/compare/1648598400/1648684800

46 keys match, rest untrace

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6245dbf24f5f331a52a47e70 - this could have also been the 64 key sale that happened within the last 30 days

Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132731667#!/compare/1648857600/1649030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065231973#!/compare/1648771200/1649030400

Untrace

Sale 38

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065231973#!/compare/1649808000/1649894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1649721600/1649808000

61 keys 25 ref

Taking as 61 keys

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/8845160120

Sale 39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1646179200/1646265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334306843#!/compare/1644537600/1646265600

Untrace

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/8807915244

Sale 40

Probably not a MP sale, more likely ultralow delisted

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/8670869659

Sale 41

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198411087075#!/compare/1646870400/1646956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332949751#!/compare/1646870400/1646956800

Bulk

Sale 42

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332949751#!/compare/1647302400/1647388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042831038#!/compare/1647388800/1647561600

Sold for 63 keys

Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/8497559453

Sale 43

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078302979#!/compare/1649203200/1649635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111664710#!/compare/1649548800/1649635200

Dumped to bot

Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/8472636299

Sale 44

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114507369#!/compare/1644710400/1644796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1644710400/1644796800

13 keys match

Sale 45

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1645056000/1645142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082401774#!/compare/1645056000/1645142400

33 keys match

Sale 46

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082401774#!/compare/1645056000/1645142400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111082769#!/compare/1645056000/1645142400

Taking a 56 keys

Sale 47

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111082769#!/compare/1647734400/1647820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044022698#!/compare/1647388800/1647734400

Untrace

Item 17

https://backpack.tf/item/8374360367

Sale 48

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139730916#!/compare/1648080000/1648425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1648252800/1648425600

Bulk

Sale 49

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1648425600/1648512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1648425600/1648512000

Bulk

Item 18

https://backpack.tf/item/8366361842

Sale 50

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050560740#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206274189#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

Sold for 63 keys

Item 19

https://backpack.tf/item/8357614717

Sale 51

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125501738#!/compare/1649808000/1649894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116720890#!/compare/1649808000/1649894400

Bulk

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31091;5;u135

Jan 22nd - $139.9 / $1.83 = 76.45 keys

Jan 28th - $139.9 / $1.82 = 76.87 keys

Feb 2nd - $139.9 / $1.81 = 77.29 keys

Sales

63, 65, 58, 61, 64, 58, 54, 60, 57, 60, 60, 61, 63, 56, 63, 77, 77, 77

Sales but ordered

54, 56, 57?, 58, 58, 60, 60 ,60, 61, 61, 63, 63, 63, 64, 65, 77, 77, 77

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/qhYUZp0wevWD

2 sellers at 70 keys

3 sellers at 80 keys

Buyers at ~61 keys

Going to exclude everything below 61 keys, running with 61 - 65 for the time being, range has been narrowed.