Suggestion: Poisoned Shadows Whirly Warrior at 5250 keys

Price Suggestion

~8550 keys

shadow

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 13 Dec 22 09:00:22 +0000 by the submitter.

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https://backpack.tf/item/2053412784

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1657497600/1657584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1657497600/1657584000

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Poisoned%20Shadows%20Whirly%20Warrior&at=2022-07-12T18:01:04.000Z\

https://imgur.com/a/DlaYtaL (Credits Richie)

2301 keys + Arcana Letch's LED (760) + Bonzo The All-Gnawing Chieftain's Challenge (2166, mini below) = 5227 keys

Bonzo Chieftain mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1658448000/1658534400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027610614#!/compare/1657497600/1659052800

https://imgur.com/a/qnzvJLe - Haunted Ghosts Cowl was used as security

Clean Scorching Flames Sergeant's Drill Hat + 18014.74 NOK (1823.68 USD https://gyazo.com/46557389717182b5df3362a5da139aac) + 100 USD + 400 USD + 400 USD + 400 USD

Drill + $3123.68

Key mini from here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/62e31c983142d619e60b8e7f

$1.60 - 1.68, ~$1.64

$ 3123.68 / $ 1.64 = ~1905 keys

Scorching Drill mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1659052800/1659225600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Scorching%20Flames%20Sergeant%27s%20Drill%20Hat&at=2022-07-29T17:39:25.000Z

249 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040073503#!/compare/1662076800/1662508800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Scorching%20Flames%20Sergeant%27s%20Drill%20Hat&at=2022-09-02T17:58:36.000Z

272 keys

249 - 272, ~261 keys

261 + 1905 = 2166 keys

Rounding to 5250 flat.

AHAHAHAHAHHAHA AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

All I can say is oof, but it's fixed for now. Still, oof

Fixed being able to equip conflicting cosmetic items using +quickswitch

The person who paid 2166 for the Chieftain dumped it in a backpack sale a month later.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1661126400/1661299200

It then sold again for a lot of items (~640 Keys) + Tavish (167.5) + Lucky (300) + Revolver (78) + Bat Hat (98.5) + Beak (450) + Peak (362.5) + 16 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1663027200/1663200000

640 + 450 + 362.5 + 300 + 167.5 + 98.5 + 78 + 16 = 2112.5 Keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30743;5;u122 - The Peak sold for $750 (~375 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039846030#!/compare/1667865600/1667952000 - The Peak also sold for a DBD Soldered + Planets Specs

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051930593#!/compare/1666742400/1666828800 - The Sensei sold for 350 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039846030#!/compare/1668297600/1668384000 - The Sensei also sold for a Cloudy Rag + 187 Keys

https://gyazo.com/c6958934b74769ad110f818b0c4cb955 - Confirmation of the Heavy Duty Rag sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132113819#!/compare/1666828800/1666915200 - The Rag sold for a Haunted Forever Blast + 2 Taunts

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259851349#!/compare/1666742400/1666915200 - A Moth Field Practice was also added to the Blast

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453055175#!/compare/1667779200/1667865600 - The Blast sold for 150 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Orbiting+Planets+Spook+Specs&at=2022-11-16T02%3A04%3A00.000Z - The Planets Specs are <23 Keys

350 - 375 will work for the Peak, since the Rag sale will fit in that range.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6333784bb088fa7a560f50b6 - The Beak is ~450 Keys; none of the other sales are traceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1662336000/1662508800 - 246 of the 410 Keys are traceable, so I imagine that was 410

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889987634#!/compare/1654819200/1655251200 - The Lucky shot sold for a Scorching Specs + stuff

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Morning+Glory+Lucky+Shot&at=2022-06-15T01%3A35%3A00.000Z - That'll be capped at 300

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308121805#!/compare/1655510400/1655596800 - The Specs sold for 200 Keys + ~80 Keys of Unusuals

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889987634#!/compare/1655251200/1655596800 - The Vivid Beanies in the Specs sale were dumped for 40

The Guttekutenharen in the Specs sale was in-date at 42 Keys when that sale occurred.

https://mannco.store/item/440-distant-dream-unusual-bat-hat - The Bat Hat sold for $200 (118 Keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100477765#!/compare/1669248000/1669507200 - It also sold for items that'll cap at 79 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Distant+Dream+Bat+Hat&at=2022-11-24T19%3A59%3A00.000Z - The 79 Key buyout

79 - 118 averages to 98.5 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1666137600/1666742400 - The Tavish sold for a Beams Razor + 55 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Tavish+DeGroot+Experience&at=2022-10-20T20%3A15%3A00.000Z - That's likely capped at 160

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Razor+Cut&at=2022-10-20T23%3A26%3A00.000Z - The Razor had buy orders at 97 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Razor+Cut&at=2022-10-26T21%3A27%3A00.000Z - They got up to 100 Keys a few days later

https://gyazo.com/fc99d94c13537fd9d6b38907f5ada544 - It then added 80 Keys + ~5 Keys of Items for a Cloudy Moon Carouser's Capotain

https://gyazo.com/9522b614ff274f5873766266c62920e1 - It then sold for a bunch of items seen in the compare below that get capped at 175

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054712892#!/compare/1667347200/1667692800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Tavish+DeGroot+Experience&at=2022-11-05T20%3A14%3A00.000Z

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155371354#!/compare/1656720000/1658102400 - A different Tavish quicksold for 86 Keys

The Capotain sale would be better used for that, but 160 - 175 works for the Tavish

Some of the smaller items should get full minis (like the Burstchester and Throttlehead) to accurately determine how to round the Chieftain sale off.

The sale here will end up rounding to 5150 or 5200.

Thank you very much.

I assume the value for 640 comes from taking listed bp.tf values of all items excluding the listed unusuals + keys. So I assume anything that's unpriced has been excluded from the 640 total.

Purple Energy Throttle Head (26):

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20Throttlehead&at=2022-10-12T19:13:46.825Z - ~18, 28 keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Energy%20Throttlehead&at=2022-11-12T19:13:46.825Z - ~21 keys (x2)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31282;5;u10 - $89.99/1.95 = ~46 keys (high), $64.99/1.97 = ~33 keys

https://mannco.store/item/440-purple-energy-unusual-throttlehead - $39.99/1.83 = ~22 keys, $40/1.86 = ~22 keys, $26.54/1.84 = ~14 keys

Excluding 14 and 46 gives us a range of 18 - 33, ~26 keys.

Jarate Shock Taunt: Zoomin' Broom (16):

No apparent sales, I guess this may have been a buy order dump potentially ->

https://backpack.tf/item/4647940109

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1669680000/1669939200

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Jarate%20Shock%20Taunt:%20Zoomin%27%20Broom&at=2022-12-02T03:00:52.000Z

Taking buyers at ~16 keys regardless.

Infernal Smoke Taunt: Burstchester (35):

No sales?

This older mini https://backpack.tf/suggestion/630f706007d19d22e30c73c7 (Credits Extazi)

If we exclude 46, we get 26 - 43, ~35 keys. So 1 key greater than its outdated price.

2112 + 26 + 16 + 1 = 2155 keys. Presumably that's more correct than ~2100 from here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6396334581f495082501518f ?

2155 + 2301 + 760 = 5216 keys, rounds to 5200 flat.

I should've specified. The 640 estimate was with everything except the listed larger items and the Keys. I gave a ballpark estimate of the values for the severely outdated or unpriced Unusuals from the sellers and buyers for the sake of showing that the sale would be a decent amount less than 2166.

The non-Unusuals (including the Headtaker) total around 487 Keys. With the Headsplitter (~13), that's 500.

The Broom (~20), Throttlehead (~30), Burstchester (~40), Front (~18), Results (~15), Tricorne (~17), and Reel (~20) gave the 640, but those are more likely to have differing values than the Headsplitter estimate.

For the Throttlehead, 18 is too low given its buy order price (18 was also a buy order sale).

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1669075200/1669420800 - Sold for 20 Keys

The difference there won't be substantial.

For the Reel Fly, it sold once for 25 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1666137600/1666742400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079296534#!/compare/1664064000/1668384000 - The Machina sold for the Keys first

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Blizzardy%20Storm%20Reel%20Fly%20Hat&at=2022-10-22T03:25:32.624Z

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/630f76029eb77c1869093212 - The Results Are In was around 15 - 18 Keys at the time of the sale

https://mannco.store/item/440-green-confetti-unusual-front-runner - The Front Runner sold for $39.95 (23 Keys) around 3 weeks prior to the sale

The Tricorne has no other sales, though buyers were at 14 Keys at the time of the sale

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Circling+Peace+Sign+Tippler%27s+Tricorne&at=2022-09-15T21%3A22%3A00.000Z

That'd make the smaller items in the Chieftain's sale 500 + 26 + 16 + 35 + 25 + 16.5 + 13 + 14 = 645.5 Keys which makes the Chieftain's sale 2118 Keys.

2118 + 2301 + 760 = 5,179 Keys, which can be rounded to 5200 Keys.

5200 will work here

👍

welp........