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Strange Golden Frying Pan
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Needs an update, Sellers have been low for a few weeks on Backpack.

Using Vege's formatting, thanks to him.


Cash sales first.


MP

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3

$5700 / 2.03 = 2807.88

$6200 / 2.05 = 3024.39

$6300 / 2.05 = 3073.17

$6300 / 2.04 = 3088.23

$6333 / 2.09 = 3030.14

$6750 / 2.08 = 3245.19

$6750 / 2.10 = 3214.28


MP Pans listed for sale ATM:

6000 = 2926.82

6000 = 2926.82

6750 = 3292.68

6750 = 3292.68

7000 = 3414.63

8000 = 3902.43

https://gyazo.com/2ad1b340680284be47b6dee13092a24d


CSDeals

https://cs.deals/market/tf2/?name=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Golden%20Frying%20Pan&sort=price&sort_desc=1

https://gyazo.com/425924bf4b5e87df3b71012e24b1a89c

https://gyazo.com/4a4580a3662f00cd9f6b285f33591c26

Taking 1.87 key price

4660 / 1.87 = 2491.97

5600 / 1.87 = 2994.65


CSDeals Pans listed for sale ATM:

https://gyazo.com/8454bc7c9ec3a56a245ec784008b7b5f

5250/1.87 = 2807.48


MannCoStore Sales

NOT USUABLE ANYMORE AS PER NEW RULES, WILL STILL MENTION AT END OF SUGGESTION


Item Sales


1. https://backpack.tf/item/12964735957


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199198140863#!/compare/1682121600/1682467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682035200/1682208000

Trace shows the following in both compares:

Nuts n Bolts Antlers (650) -In date-

Burning Flames Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood (200) -Out of date, Buyers @187 Sellers @230, taking 200-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Burning+Flames+Frickin%27+Sweet+Ninja+Hood&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z

Purple Energy Bonk Boy (900) - Out of date, Loz confirmed he sold one for 900 a few days ago. Fits current range of buyers and sellers. Duped to hell so compares are not readily available

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Purple+Energy+Bonk+Boy&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z

Death at Dusk Surgeon's Stahlhelm (150) -valuing at buy orders a few days ago, no useable sales-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Surgeon%27s+Stahlhelm&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z

Trace also shows the following on the Buyer side:

Death at Dusk Towering Pillar of Hats (97) -Looks like recently sold for 89, buyorders now at 97, capping there.-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Towering+Pillar+of+Hats&at=2023-05-01T23%3A51%3A00.000Z

https://backpack.tf/item/11254018225

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Towering+Pillar+of+Hats&at=2023-05-02T22%3A46%3A00.000Z

Green Energy Executioner (77.5) -Priced recently, using-

Bubbling Master's Yellow Belt (128) - Sold for 112. Capping at Buyorders, 128-

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Bubbling%20Master%27s%20Yellow%20Belt&at=2023-05-03T03:26:01.599Z

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Bubbling+Master%27s+Yellow+Belt&at=2023-05-03T03%3A17%3A00.000Z

Adds to 2202.5, pretty conservative pricing on some of the items.

2202.5


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682553600/1682726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682553600/1682640000

Cash?


2. https://backpack.tf/item/12980962684


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119691332#!/compare/1680393600/1680480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1679875200/1681257600

985 Pure + Knifestorm Aviator Assassin, better used for Aviator suggestion


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1682899200/1682985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1682553600/1682985600

1:1 (?) for Spellbound Soldered Sensei, better used there.


3. https://backpack.tf/item/12821577598


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1677628800/1678233600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1678147200/1678233600

Mannco sale ?


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1678233600/1678665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199079248219#!/compare/1678406400/1678838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1678406400/1678492800

3rd compare is Seller's bot account, looks like items were shuffled between.

2874 Pure

Pumpkin Moon Alakablamicon (152) -In date-

Non-Craftable Duck Journal (9.45) -in date-

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (68) -Glad Sales for Pro KS, proof below-

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Rocket%20Launcher&at=2023-05-03T04:05:51.549Z

** Past 7 days

1 @ 68 keys 16.66 ref

1 @ 68 keys 18.88 ref

1 @ 68 keys 21.55 ref

1 @ 68 keys 21.88 ref **

Taking 68 for RL

This Sale adds to 3103.45

BO 3100

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-03-10T01%3A53%3A00.000Z

Capping at 3100.


4. https://backpack.tf/item/12950663636


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273241552#!/compare/1645747200/1677628800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1677542400/1677628800

Used for Stormy 13th Rack Suggestion

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/641ba24519fa55c0220f24db


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1678233600/1678320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135747549#!/compare/1682208000/1682380800

Scammer, MannCo purchase


5. https://backpack.tf/item/12776876172


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045619076#!/compare/1678320000/1679356800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207900245#!/compare/1678233600/1678665600

?


6. https://backpack.tf/item/12930264050


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198798245068#!/compare/1681257600/1681344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134017437#!/compare/1681084800/1683072000

?


7. https://backpack.tf/item/12888154337


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199218782176#!/compare/1678838400/1679875200

MannCo Sale


8. https://backpack.tf/item/12866931053


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069527288#!/compare/1678406400/1678665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100050147#!/compare/1678233600/1678752000

Used for the Strange Galactic Gateway Lucky Cat Hat Suggestion

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/640fb97d54d7c2957d03836e


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100050147#!/compare/1679011200/1679184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1679097600/1679270400

Looks like it sold for Harvest Moon Pyromancer + Beams Beak

Beak mini-

Beak was immediately dumped, hence why compares are messy

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1679011200/1679184000

Beak sold for:

Sulphurous Wraith Wrap (116) -Listed for 158 Keys on MP atm, taking buy orders-

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/937;5;u64

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sulphurous+Wraith+Wrap&at=2023-05-01T21%3A19%3A00.000Z

Scorching Flames Crone's Dome (430) -in date sale on marketplace, 430-

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/920;5;u14

Neutron Star Executioner (150) -Basing off sale of 150-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267909406#!/compare/1679443200/1679616000

Beak totals to 696, under current buyorders.

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Blighted+Beak&at=2023-05-02T21%3A19%3A00.000Z

Cap at 700

Pricing another sale of SB beak

MP

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u17

2000 USD = 975 keys

taking 700-975, averaged to 837.5 for Beak

Harvest Moon Mancer mini-

https://backpack.tf/item/1221233261

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1681948800/1682121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144430577#!/compare/1682035200/1682380800

1700 Pure

no other indate clean sale on mancer

total of beak + mancer = 2537.5

Might have some items missing, due to the quick dumps.


9. https://backpack.tf/item/12979932126


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183060018#!/compare/1681171200/1681689600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1681516800/1681689600

Used in Anti Freeze Rack Suggestion

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/643d1760e9df972be802ea76


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-27T22%3A27%3A00.000Z

B/o 2950

Looks like sold for 2849 Pure

Another seller was @2600, looks like it mightve sold at the same time as that one, NOT capping at 2600

taking 2849.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682553600/1682726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1682553600/1682640000

? gambler moment


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199289676387#!/compare/1682640000/1682899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1682640000/1682726400

Gpan + 1500 for Hellfire Yellowbelt

Better used there


10. https://backpack.tf/item/12916984057


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016339526#!/compare/1681603200/1681862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079583278#!/compare/1681603200/1681689600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-16T22%3A27%3A00.000Z

Sold for Crypto, not usable. B/o was 3000


11. https://backpack.tf/item/12976808675


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054966400#!/compare/1681776000/1681862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426345594#!/compare/1682640000/1682726400

MP Sale


12. https://backpack.tf/item/12925369895


I am told this item was used as collateral for Spellbound warpig trade. Item histories check out.

Not using for sales.

Thanks Metalogic.


13. https://backpack.tf/item/12966292433


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169544071#!/compare/1679529600/1681430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1681257600/1681430400

Cash?


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1681603200/1681689600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054966400#!/compare/1681689600/1681776000

Better used for Sparkling Luger prob. Or V max.


14. https://backpack.tf/item/12966078166


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140141752#!/compare/1680307200/1680566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1680825600/1680912000

?


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1680825600/1680998400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1680912000/1680998400

Gpan for Burning Beak + Spellbound Das Naggenvatcher

Mini for Beak-

one In date sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157176919#!/compare/1679356800/1679702400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1679270400/1679702400

BF Beak for HG Beak + Arcana berliner's

HG Beak (470)-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Haunted+Ghosts+Blighted+Beak&at=2023-05-02T21%3A19%3A00.000Z

Sellers @500 Buyer @470 just taking 470

Arcana Berliner's (600)-

No recent sales, taking out of date price

BF Beak total = 1070 might be low

Mini for Naggen-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1679270400/1679443200

2552.5 Keys in keys/indate items.

Very high, using more sales as reference

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682121600/1682208000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1682035200/1682208000

HG stash + PE pencil for Naggen + Collectors milk + 110 keys

HG stash (675)- Using my prior HG stash sugg here-

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6449a0f6e236fcbf090dbaff

PE pencil (600) -Adds up to about 600 if taking everything out of date at buy order price, Seller B/o 900-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1681084800/1681257600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1680998400/1681257600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Purple+Energy+Pencil+Pusher&at=2023-04-28T21%3A19%3A00.000Z

Collectors milk (50) -buy and sell orders close, taking just above buy orders-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Collector%27s+Mad+Milk&at=2023-04-28T21%3A19%3A00.000Z

110 keys pure

2nd Naggen sale adds up to 675 + 600 - 50 - 110 = 1115

1115 seems more realistic.

Will look at one more Naggen sale just in case

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801377836#!/compare/1682294400/1682553600

Taunts and stranges add up to around 180, valuing out of date items at buy orders.

HHHH is hard to price, sold for a Strange FN Isoptope Bazaar and adds, currently all listed at a buyout of 300 total keys by buyer.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799666244#!/compare/1682467200/1682985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682899200/1683072000

Glad link aint working, would appreciate if someone could add it later. Or take my word for it ;)

Taking 300 here for now

Bonzo Conquist listed with a buyout of 900

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Bonzo+The+All-Gnawing+Conquistador&at=2023-04-19T22%3A24%3A00.000Z

Taking here for now

3rd Naggen sale adds up to 180 + 300 + 900 = 1380

NOT USING this price, since we had the least evidence here, though I valued big items at sell orders and it was still way off of Naggen sale 1.

Naggen Sale 2 fits range better IMO, taking 1115.

Final Naggen price + BF beak price = 1115 + 1070 = 2185

Might be low on the beak sale, no other usable sales though.

2185


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801377836#!/compare/1682553600/1682899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1682467200/1682640000

Sold for Knifestorm Berliner, Spellbound Naggen, 530 pure, neb translator, 14 keys worth of crates, and accursed mannrobic

Naggen (1115)-Using the proof above-

Nebula translator (340) - 1 glad sale 7 days, 340. MP Sales average to above sell orders. Capping at 340.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Nebula%20Universal%20Translator&at=2023-05-03T07:50:59.062Z

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30658;5;u99

800/ 2.04 = 392

800/ 2.03 = 394

600/ 2.09 = 287

775/ 2.09 = 370

Just gonna take glad sale @ 340

Accursed mannrobic (46)-Just taking buy orders-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Accursed+Taunt%3A+Mannrobics&at=2023-05-02T22%3A24%3A00.000Z

Knife Storm Berliner (450) -No useable sales, going to value it off highest indate buyorders, seems fair here-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm+Berliner%27s+Bucket+Helm&at=2023-04-03T22%3A43%3A00.000Z

Total= 1115+ 340 + 530 + 14 + 46 +450 = 2495

Might be a bit low because Berliner

2495


15. https://backpack.tf/item/12833796118


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1679702400/1679961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977702774#!/compare/1675900800/1682985600

?


16. https://backpack.tf/item/12955428628


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036388377#!/compare/1679356800/1681084800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199214588079#!/compare/1678406400/1680566400

Scammer


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199214588079#!/compare/1680566400/1681862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1681430400/1681603200

2156 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-03T23%3A05%3A00.000Z

Buy orders were at 899, not caping this sale

2156


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1682380800/1682467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010514035#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600

Don't even know where to start here, probably best used for the unapplied hot aurora


17. https://backpack.tf/item/12953608626


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140748984#!/compare/1677110400/1681084800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960271017#!/compare/1682380800/1682467200

Cash (?)


18. https://backpack.tf/item/12847554027


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020318254#!/compare/1654819200/1680480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1678492800/1678665600

MP or cash sale?


19. https://backpack.tf/item/12980490269


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096765088#!/compare/1682380800/1682985600

MP sale


20. https://backpack.tf/item/12843854462


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161393800#!/compare/1679788800/1679875200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374608381#!/compare/1679702400/1679788800

Alot going on here, 2600 keys trace though, taking here.

2600


21. https://backpack.tf/item/12922078363


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083478388#!/compare/1678665600/1680480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066311459#!/compare/1680393600/1680480000

Looks like cash deal


22. https://backpack.tf/item/12899548616


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372616713#!/compare/1680652800/1680825600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042860245#!/compare/1680134400/1681257600

?


23. https://backpack.tf/item/3606882162


Next reading item as duped.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079917114#!/compare/1681516800/1683072000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069707362#!/compare/1681430400/1681516800

checks out, no trace sales.


24. https://backpack.tf/item/12866485310


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140141752#!/compare/1680307200/1680566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088681558#!/compare/1680048000/1680307200

? also exo


25. https://backpack.tf/item/12982110746


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426345594#!/compare/1682726400/1682812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1682640000/1682812800

Gpan for Darkblaze Larrikin, Knifestorm Shellmet, GE neckwear, C heart Fukaa, 240 keys in aussies, 663 keys

Darkblaze Laarikin (750) -recent Suggestion-

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/63e003e3a69f0d9c570063d0

GE Neckwear (50) - Sellers at 65, buyers at 48, just taking 50-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Green+Energy+Neckwear+Headwear&at=2023-05-01T23%3A08%3A00.000Z

C Heart Fukaa (55)- Sellers/buyers close, taking just above buy orders, 55-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Circling+Heart+Furious+Fukaamigasa&at=2023-04-29T00%3A04%3A00.000Z

Knifestorm Shellmet (740)- one other indate sale, 740 pure-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070258736#!/compare/1678492800/1678579200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1678147200/1678579200

Keys track, nothing else.

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm+Shellmet&at=2023-03-12T01%3A04%3A00.000Z

Fits his B/o of 900.

240 in aussies

663 pure

Total for sale = 750 + 50 + 55 + 740 + 240 + 663 = 2498

Taking 2498


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1682899200/1682985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1682812800/1682985600

Gpan + 100 keys for DBD VVF + roboactive samur-eye

DBD vvf recent price at 2300. Seller had b/o 1900, though wont cap sale since its a quicksell.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/639446dcd5d58bdaca0e28c5

RA Samur-eye (240) -Buyers at 240 at time of sale. Current sellers at 300. Taking 240 seems fair.-

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Roboactive+Samur-Eye&at=2023-04-15T00%3A25%3A00.000Z

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Roboactive+Samur-Eye&at=2023-04-30T23%3A38%3A00.000Z

Total = 2300 + 240 -100 = 2440


All Item sales, round to nearest whole number and put in Ascending order


2156

2185

2203

2440

2495

2498

2538

2600

2849

3100


All cash sales, rounded and put into Ascending order


2492

2808

2995

3024

3030

3073

3088

3214

3245


All Sales, in Ascending order


2156

2185

2203

2440

2492

2495

2498

2538

2600

2808

2849

2995

3024

3030

3073

3088

3100

3214

3245


Obvious issues here. MP Cash sales significantly higher than BP sales.

MP Sales consistently over backpack Sell orders too.

Example

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-03-29T00%3A11%3A00.000Z

Many Sell orders, unsold, at 3000 keys.


MannCo sales would normally be used here to even out the range, but they are no longer allowed to be used as evidence.

However, I think showing MannCo sales in this scenario provides evidence that MP sales have been too high.

MannCo sales will NOT be used in the range, just as evidence to prove MP outliers.

MannCo Sales from the past month, with full evidence of sales for price mods :)


https://gyazo.com/78a052d29fe89a7898edcad1bf5eee98

https://gyazo.com/da60d4f5c516fb52bc4dd77b1de651ee

5300 / 1.9 = 2789


https://gyazo.com/4c5f6357203efc7fee4a502c5f38708e

https://gyazo.com/40c0773331ef527e62d4cc1762344ffd

5000 / 1.9 = 2632

5001 / 1.9 = 2632

5300 / 1.9 = 2789


https://gyazo.com/f239c58aa2adb15bb76f42ce7a119c09

https://gyazo.com/c2f88ccf9dfad1090fd5d57c92438f30

5100 / 1.89 = 2698

5300 / 1.89 = 2804


https://gyazo.com/ae0256b6ecefd5ce74dcb6ef0e73150d

https://gyazo.com/eeb390ff623ae106570e7ef0a1d5223e

5020 / 1.9 = 2642

5395 / 1.9 = 2839


https://gyazo.com/163a8fc75a73e9dac16ecbb8e6beabc2

https://gyazo.com/22d693e49ad96c8601783129175f13d7

4999/ 1.94 = 2577


https://gyazo.com/2bdc8183585cefd4453f472cc06d145b

https://gyazo.com/1bd002b8c3f83676316c7de49585f4d0

5200 / 1.93 = 2694


https://gyazo.com/27cf5a69855b2d54ad24bda52ed8ab61

https://gyazo.com/2630cd245a5938361b55b1e7fa3865b7

5201 / 1.93 = 2695


https://gyazo.com/ad52986e0456cfa100a73535ebcf9085

https://gyazo.com/bce19394b118bbfb5d9ff56b27dd9480

4999 / 1.93 = 2590


MannCo Sales Sorted, Ascending


2577

2590

2632

2632

2642

2694

2695

2698

2789

2789

2804

2839


Really cements that the average should be around 2600.

Also shows that anything over 3000 is really an outlier.


Sellers have been at 3000 anyways, or lower

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-05-02T23%3A30%3A00.000Z

Not many (rounded) sales below 2500

4 Sales round to 2500.

I think we should take 2500-3000 here.


Thoughts? We are in new territory here, with a huge bulk of sales being excluded due to MannCo ban.

Around 11 hours straight here, I schleep now.

    insane suggestion - must have taken days

      Well done, STEVE.👍 Upvote.

        End of first post was a bit rushed since I was tired.

        Putting my properly worded Final Thoughts here and my explanation for range.


        MP Sales averaged around 3000-3100 keys.

        Currently 2 MP Sell orders unsold at ~2925

        With the bulk of BP sales at around the 2500 mark, and BP seller orders at around 2950-3000 consistently, feels right to cap MP Sales at 3000.

        I could understand making a case for capping MP Sales at 2900-2950; however, I chose 3000 since this is where the bulk of the MP sales fell.

        Low end feels like 2500 is the only reasonable point to cap at.

        5 counted sales at around that price, (counting 2440, even though it doesnt round)

        A case could be made for 2200, since there are several sales around there, though 1 was based off of low estimates due to unpriceable item sales (Item 14 sale 2), which would leave it at 2 accurate or useable sales @ 2200, which is not enough probably.


        2500-3000 gives an average of 2750 keys

        CSDeals unsold at ~2800 fits this range.

        MannCo sales averaged around 2600-2700, which falls near to our average, further proving its validity.


          Sale 1 - It should be Aces High Antlers instead of Nuts n' Bolts Antlers as I was the one who tried to price both of those. I wish Nuts n' Bolts Antlers were at 650 keys too. Anyways, please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future. :3

            oops good catch, I got the right price down atleast though lol

      sale 16 - i think you meant “capping” not “caping”. please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future.

        A pipebomb will arrive at your location within 2 weeks time

      Looks amazing STEVE!

        Nice job buddy

          why arnt mann.co sales allowed as evidence?


            MC staff banned all backpack/marketplace/scrap staff from the site 2 months or so ago

              seems scummy for mann co but also a bit petty of .tf group to not include them as valid sales

                Backpack staff cannot access the mannco sales graph data while banned/not signed in so they really cant validate that sales actually happened. Though of course im sure there would be a simple workaround