Purple Energy Bonk Boy (900) - Out of date, Loz confirmed he sold one for 900 a few days ago. Fits current range of buyers and sellers. Duped to hell so compares are not readily available
Thoughts? We are in new territory here, with a huge bulk of sales being excluded due to MannCo ban.
Around 11 hours straight here, I schleep now.
insane suggestion - must have taken days
Well done, STEVE.👍 Upvote.
End of first post was a bit rushed since I was tired.
Putting my properly worded Final Thoughts here and my explanation for range.
MP Sales averaged around 3000-3100 keys.
Currently 2 MP Sell orders unsold at ~2925
With the bulk of BP sales at around the 2500 mark, and BP seller orders at around 2950-3000 consistently, feels right to cap MP Sales at 3000.
I could understand making a case for capping MP Sales at 2900-2950; however, I chose 3000 since this is where the bulk of the MP sales fell.
Low end feels like 2500 is the only reasonable point to cap at.
5 counted sales at around that price, (counting 2440, even though it doesnt round)
A case could be made for 2200, since there are several sales around there, though 1 was based off of low estimates due to unpriceable item sales (Item 14 sale 2), which would leave it at 2 accurate or useable sales @ 2200, which is not enough probably.
2500-3000 gives an average of 2750 keys
CSDeals unsold at ~2800 fits this range.
MannCo sales averaged around 2600-2700, which falls near to our average, further proving its validity.
Sale 1 - It should be Aces High Antlers instead of Nuts n' Bolts Antlers as I was the one who tried to price both of those. I wish Nuts n' Bolts Antlers were at 650 keys too. Anyways, please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future. :3
oops good catch, I got the right price down atleast though lol
You good lol 😂
sale 16 - i think you meant “capping” not “caping”. please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future.
A pipebomb will arrive at your location within 2 weeks time
RIP fromunda xD
Looks amazing STEVE!
Nice job buddy
why arnt mann.co sales allowed as evidence?
MC staff banned all backpack/marketplace/scrap staff from the site 2 months or so ago
seems scummy for mann co but also a bit petty of .tf group to not include them as valid sales
Backpack staff cannot access the mannco sales graph data while banned/not signed in so they really cant validate that sales actually happened. Though of course im sure there would be a simple workaround
Needs an update, Sellers have been low for a few weeks on Backpack.
Using Vege's formatting, thanks to him.
Cash sales first.
MP
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3
$5700 / 2.03 = 2807.88
$6200 / 2.05 = 3024.39
$6300 / 2.05 = 3073.17
$6300 / 2.04 = 3088.23
$6333 / 2.09 = 3030.14
$6750 / 2.08 = 3245.19
$6750 / 2.10 = 3214.28
MP Pans listed for sale ATM:
6000 = 2926.82
6000 = 2926.82
6750 = 3292.68
6750 = 3292.68
7000 = 3414.63
8000 = 3902.43
https://gyazo.com/2ad1b340680284be47b6dee13092a24d
CSDeals
https://cs.deals/market/tf2/?name=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Golden%20Frying%20Pan&sort=price&sort_desc=1
https://gyazo.com/425924bf4b5e87df3b71012e24b1a89c
https://gyazo.com/4a4580a3662f00cd9f6b285f33591c26
Taking 1.87 key price
4660 / 1.87 = 2491.97
5600 / 1.87 = 2994.65
CSDeals Pans listed for sale ATM:
https://gyazo.com/8454bc7c9ec3a56a245ec784008b7b5f
5250/1.87 = 2807.48
MannCoStore Sales
NOT USUABLE ANYMORE AS PER NEW RULES, WILL STILL MENTION AT END OF SUGGESTION
Item Sales
1. https://backpack.tf/item/12964735957
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199198140863#!/compare/1682121600/1682467200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682035200/1682208000
Trace shows the following in both compares:
Nuts n Bolts Antlers (650) -In date-
Burning Flames Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood (200) -Out of date, Buyers @187 Sellers @230, taking 200-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Burning+Flames+Frickin%27+Sweet+Ninja+Hood&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z
Purple Energy Bonk Boy (900) - Out of date, Loz confirmed he sold one for 900 a few days ago. Fits current range of buyers and sellers. Duped to hell so compares are not readily available
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Purple+Energy+Bonk+Boy&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z
Death at Dusk Surgeon's Stahlhelm (150) -valuing at buy orders a few days ago, no useable sales-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Surgeon%27s+Stahlhelm&at=2023-04-29T00%3A13%3A00.000Z
Trace also shows the following on the Buyer side:
Death at Dusk Towering Pillar of Hats (97) -Looks like recently sold for 89, buyorders now at 97, capping there.-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Towering+Pillar+of+Hats&at=2023-05-01T23%3A51%3A00.000Z
https://backpack.tf/item/11254018225
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Towering+Pillar+of+Hats&at=2023-05-02T22%3A46%3A00.000Z
Green Energy Executioner (77.5) -Priced recently, using-
Bubbling Master's Yellow Belt (128) - Sold for 112. Capping at Buyorders, 128-
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Bubbling%20Master%27s%20Yellow%20Belt&at=2023-05-03T03:26:01.599Z
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Bubbling+Master%27s+Yellow+Belt&at=2023-05-03T03%3A17%3A00.000Z
Adds to 2202.5, pretty conservative pricing on some of the items.
2202.5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682553600/1682726400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682553600/1682640000
Cash?
2. https://backpack.tf/item/12980962684
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119691332#!/compare/1680393600/1680480000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1679875200/1681257600
985 Pure + Knifestorm Aviator Assassin, better used for Aviator suggestion
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1682899200/1682985600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1682553600/1682985600
1:1 (?) for Spellbound Soldered Sensei, better used there.
3. https://backpack.tf/item/12821577598
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1677628800/1678233600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1678147200/1678233600
Mannco sale ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1678233600/1678665600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199079248219#!/compare/1678406400/1678838400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1678406400/1678492800
3rd compare is Seller's bot account, looks like items were shuffled between.
2874 Pure
Pumpkin Moon Alakablamicon (152) -In date-
Non-Craftable Duck Journal (9.45) -in date-
Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher (68) -Glad Sales for Pro KS, proof below-
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Rocket%20Launcher&at=2023-05-03T04:05:51.549Z
** Past 7 days
1 @ 68 keys 16.66 ref
1 @ 68 keys 18.88 ref
1 @ 68 keys 21.55 ref
1 @ 68 keys 21.88 ref **
Taking 68 for RL
This Sale adds to 3103.45
BO 3100
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-03-10T01%3A53%3A00.000Z
Capping at 3100.
4. https://backpack.tf/item/12950663636
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273241552#!/compare/1645747200/1677628800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1677542400/1677628800
Used for Stormy 13th Rack Suggestion
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/641ba24519fa55c0220f24db
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1678233600/1678320000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135747549#!/compare/1682208000/1682380800
Scammer, MannCo purchase
5. https://backpack.tf/item/12776876172
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045619076#!/compare/1678320000/1679356800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207900245#!/compare/1678233600/1678665600
?
6. https://backpack.tf/item/12930264050
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198798245068#!/compare/1681257600/1681344000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134017437#!/compare/1681084800/1683072000
?
7. https://backpack.tf/item/12888154337
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199218782176#!/compare/1678838400/1679875200
MannCo Sale
8. https://backpack.tf/item/12866931053
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069527288#!/compare/1678406400/1678665600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100050147#!/compare/1678233600/1678752000
Used for the Strange Galactic Gateway Lucky Cat Hat Suggestion
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/640fb97d54d7c2957d03836e
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100050147#!/compare/1679011200/1679184000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1679097600/1679270400
Looks like it sold for Harvest Moon Pyromancer + Beams Beak
Beak mini-
Beak was immediately dumped, hence why compares are messy
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1679011200/1679184000
Beak sold for:
Sulphurous Wraith Wrap (116) -Listed for 158 Keys on MP atm, taking buy orders-
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/937;5;u64
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sulphurous+Wraith+Wrap&at=2023-05-01T21%3A19%3A00.000Z
Scorching Flames Crone's Dome (430) -in date sale on marketplace, 430-
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/920;5;u14
Neutron Star Executioner (150) -Basing off sale of 150-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267909406#!/compare/1679443200/1679616000
Beak totals to 696, under current buyorders.
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Sunbeams+Blighted+Beak&at=2023-05-02T21%3A19%3A00.000Z
Cap at 700
Pricing another sale of SB beak
MP
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u17
2000 USD = 975 keys
taking 700-975, averaged to 837.5 for Beak
Harvest Moon Mancer mini-
https://backpack.tf/item/1221233261
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1681948800/1682121600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144430577#!/compare/1682035200/1682380800
1700 Pure
no other indate clean sale on mancer
total of beak + mancer = 2537.5
Might have some items missing, due to the quick dumps.
9. https://backpack.tf/item/12979932126
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183060018#!/compare/1681171200/1681689600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1681516800/1681689600
Used in Anti Freeze Rack Suggestion
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/643d1760e9df972be802ea76
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046031194#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-27T22%3A27%3A00.000Z
B/o 2950
Looks like sold for 2849 Pure
Another seller was @2600, looks like it mightve sold at the same time as that one, NOT capping at 2600
taking 2849.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1682553600/1682726400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1682553600/1682640000
? gambler moment
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199289676387#!/compare/1682640000/1682899200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1682640000/1682726400
Gpan + 1500 for Hellfire Yellowbelt
Better used there
10. https://backpack.tf/item/12916984057
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016339526#!/compare/1681603200/1681862400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079583278#!/compare/1681603200/1681689600
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-16T22%3A27%3A00.000Z
Sold for Crypto, not usable. B/o was 3000
11. https://backpack.tf/item/12976808675
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054966400#!/compare/1681776000/1681862400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426345594#!/compare/1682640000/1682726400
MP Sale
12. https://backpack.tf/item/12925369895
I am told this item was used as collateral for Spellbound warpig trade. Item histories check out.
Not using for sales.
Thanks Metalogic.
13. https://backpack.tf/item/12966292433
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169544071#!/compare/1679529600/1681430400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1681257600/1681430400
Cash?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049469629#!/compare/1681603200/1681689600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054966400#!/compare/1681689600/1681776000
Better used for Sparkling Luger prob. Or V max.
14. https://backpack.tf/item/12966078166
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140141752#!/compare/1680307200/1680566400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1680825600/1680912000
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1680825600/1680998400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1680912000/1680998400
Gpan for Burning Beak + Spellbound Das Naggenvatcher
Mini for Beak-
one In date sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157176919#!/compare/1679356800/1679702400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1679270400/1679702400
BF Beak for HG Beak + Arcana berliner's
HG Beak (470)-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Haunted+Ghosts+Blighted+Beak&at=2023-05-02T21%3A19%3A00.000Z
Sellers @500 Buyer @470 just taking 470
Arcana Berliner's (600)-
No recent sales, taking out of date price
BF Beak total = 1070 might be low
Mini for Naggen-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083134207#!/compare/1679270400/1679443200
2552.5 Keys in keys/indate items.
Very high, using more sales as reference
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682121600/1682208000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1682035200/1682208000
HG stash + PE pencil for Naggen + Collectors milk + 110 keys
HG stash (675)- Using my prior HG stash sugg here-
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6449a0f6e236fcbf090dbaff
PE pencil (600) -Adds up to about 600 if taking everything out of date at buy order price, Seller B/o 900-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1681084800/1681257600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1680998400/1681257600
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Purple+Energy+Pencil+Pusher&at=2023-04-28T21%3A19%3A00.000Z
Collectors milk (50) -buy and sell orders close, taking just above buy orders-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Collector%27s+Mad+Milk&at=2023-04-28T21%3A19%3A00.000Z
110 keys pure
2nd Naggen sale adds up to 675 + 600 - 50 - 110 = 1115
1115 seems more realistic.
Will look at one more Naggen sale just in case
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801377836#!/compare/1682294400/1682553600
Taunts and stranges add up to around 180, valuing out of date items at buy orders.
HHHH is hard to price, sold for a Strange FN Isoptope Bazaar and adds, currently all listed at a buyout of 300 total keys by buyer.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799666244#!/compare/1682467200/1682985600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1682899200/1683072000
Glad link aint working, would appreciate if someone could add it later. Or take my word for it ;)
Taking 300 here for now
Bonzo Conquist listed with a buyout of 900
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Bonzo+The+All-Gnawing+Conquistador&at=2023-04-19T22%3A24%3A00.000Z
Taking here for now
3rd Naggen sale adds up to 180 + 300 + 900 = 1380
NOT USING this price, since we had the least evidence here, though I valued big items at sell orders and it was still way off of Naggen sale 1.
Naggen Sale 2 fits range better IMO, taking 1115.
Final Naggen price + BF beak price = 1115 + 1070 = 2185
Might be low on the beak sale, no other usable sales though.
2185
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801377836#!/compare/1682553600/1682899200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1682467200/1682640000
Sold for Knifestorm Berliner, Spellbound Naggen, 530 pure, neb translator, 14 keys worth of crates, and accursed mannrobic
Naggen (1115)-Using the proof above-
Nebula translator (340) - 1 glad sale 7 days, 340. MP Sales average to above sell orders. Capping at 340.
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Nebula%20Universal%20Translator&at=2023-05-03T07:50:59.062Z
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30658;5;u99
800/ 2.04 = 392
800/ 2.03 = 394
600/ 2.09 = 287
775/ 2.09 = 370
Just gonna take glad sale @ 340
Accursed mannrobic (46)-Just taking buy orders-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Accursed+Taunt%3A+Mannrobics&at=2023-05-02T22%3A24%3A00.000Z
Knife Storm Berliner (450) -No useable sales, going to value it off highest indate buyorders, seems fair here-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm+Berliner%27s+Bucket+Helm&at=2023-04-03T22%3A43%3A00.000Z
Total= 1115+ 340 + 530 + 14 + 46 +450 = 2495
Might be a bit low because Berliner
2495
15. https://backpack.tf/item/12833796118
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1679702400/1679961600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977702774#!/compare/1675900800/1682985600
?
16. https://backpack.tf/item/12955428628
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036388377#!/compare/1679356800/1681084800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199214588079#!/compare/1678406400/1680566400
Scammer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199214588079#!/compare/1680566400/1681862400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1681430400/1681603200
2156 Keys
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-04-03T23%3A05%3A00.000Z
Buy orders were at 899, not caping this sale
2156
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109375402#!/compare/1682380800/1682467200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010514035#!/compare/1682467200/1682553600
Don't even know where to start here, probably best used for the unapplied hot aurora
17. https://backpack.tf/item/12953608626
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140748984#!/compare/1677110400/1681084800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960271017#!/compare/1682380800/1682467200
Cash (?)
18. https://backpack.tf/item/12847554027
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020318254#!/compare/1654819200/1680480000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1678492800/1678665600
MP or cash sale?
19. https://backpack.tf/item/12980490269
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096765088#!/compare/1682380800/1682985600
MP sale
20. https://backpack.tf/item/12843854462
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161393800#!/compare/1679788800/1679875200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374608381#!/compare/1679702400/1679788800
Alot going on here, 2600 keys trace though, taking here.
2600
21. https://backpack.tf/item/12922078363
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083478388#!/compare/1678665600/1680480000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066311459#!/compare/1680393600/1680480000
Looks like cash deal
22. https://backpack.tf/item/12899548616
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372616713#!/compare/1680652800/1680825600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042860245#!/compare/1680134400/1681257600
?
23. https://backpack.tf/item/3606882162
Next reading item as duped.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079917114#!/compare/1681516800/1683072000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069707362#!/compare/1681430400/1681516800
checks out, no trace sales.
24. https://backpack.tf/item/12866485310
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140141752#!/compare/1680307200/1680566400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088681558#!/compare/1680048000/1680307200
? also exo
25. https://backpack.tf/item/12982110746
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426345594#!/compare/1682726400/1682812800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1682640000/1682812800
Gpan for Darkblaze Larrikin, Knifestorm Shellmet, GE neckwear, C heart Fukaa, 240 keys in aussies, 663 keys
Darkblaze Laarikin (750) -recent Suggestion-
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/63e003e3a69f0d9c570063d0
GE Neckwear (50) - Sellers at 65, buyers at 48, just taking 50-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Green+Energy+Neckwear+Headwear&at=2023-05-01T23%3A08%3A00.000Z
C Heart Fukaa (55)- Sellers/buyers close, taking just above buy orders, 55-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Circling+Heart+Furious+Fukaamigasa&at=2023-04-29T00%3A04%3A00.000Z
Knifestorm Shellmet (740)- one other indate sale, 740 pure-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070258736#!/compare/1678492800/1678579200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1678147200/1678579200
Keys track, nothing else.
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Knifestorm+Shellmet&at=2023-03-12T01%3A04%3A00.000Z
Fits his B/o of 900.
240 in aussies
663 pure
Total for sale = 750 + 50 + 55 + 740 + 240 + 663 = 2498
Taking 2498
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1682899200/1682985600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284570728#!/compare/1682812800/1682985600
Gpan + 100 keys for DBD VVF + roboactive samur-eye
DBD vvf recent price at 2300. Seller had b/o 1900, though wont cap sale since its a quicksell.
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/639446dcd5d58bdaca0e28c5
RA Samur-eye (240) -Buyers at 240 at time of sale. Current sellers at 300. Taking 240 seems fair.-
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Roboactive+Samur-Eye&at=2023-04-15T00%3A25%3A00.000Z
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Roboactive+Samur-Eye&at=2023-04-30T23%3A38%3A00.000Z
Total = 2300 + 240 -100 = 2440
All Item sales, round to nearest whole number and put in Ascending order
2156
2185
2203
2440
2495
2498
2538
2600
2849
3100
All cash sales, rounded and put into Ascending order
2492
2808
2995
3024
3030
3073
3088
3214
3245
All Sales, in Ascending order
2156
2185
2203
2440
2492
2495
2498
2538
2600
2808
2849
2995
3024
3030
3073
3088
3100
3214
3245
Obvious issues here. MP Cash sales significantly higher than BP sales.
MP Sales consistently over backpack Sell orders too.
Example
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-03-29T00%3A11%3A00.000Z
Many Sell orders, unsold, at 3000 keys.
MannCo sales would normally be used here to even out the range, but they are no longer allowed to be used as evidence.
However, I think showing MannCo sales in this scenario provides evidence that MP sales have been too high.
MannCo sales will NOT be used in the range, just as evidence to prove MP outliers.
MannCo Sales from the past month, with full evidence of sales for price mods :)
https://gyazo.com/78a052d29fe89a7898edcad1bf5eee98
https://gyazo.com/da60d4f5c516fb52bc4dd77b1de651ee
5300 / 1.9 = 2789
https://gyazo.com/4c5f6357203efc7fee4a502c5f38708e
https://gyazo.com/40c0773331ef527e62d4cc1762344ffd
5000 / 1.9 = 2632
5001 / 1.9 = 2632
5300 / 1.9 = 2789
https://gyazo.com/f239c58aa2adb15bb76f42ce7a119c09
https://gyazo.com/c2f88ccf9dfad1090fd5d57c92438f30
5100 / 1.89 = 2698
5300 / 1.89 = 2804
https://gyazo.com/ae0256b6ecefd5ce74dcb6ef0e73150d
https://gyazo.com/eeb390ff623ae106570e7ef0a1d5223e
5020 / 1.9 = 2642
5395 / 1.9 = 2839
https://gyazo.com/163a8fc75a73e9dac16ecbb8e6beabc2
https://gyazo.com/22d693e49ad96c8601783129175f13d7
4999/ 1.94 = 2577
https://gyazo.com/2bdc8183585cefd4453f472cc06d145b
https://gyazo.com/1bd002b8c3f83676316c7de49585f4d0
5200 / 1.93 = 2694
https://gyazo.com/27cf5a69855b2d54ad24bda52ed8ab61
https://gyazo.com/2630cd245a5938361b55b1e7fa3865b7
5201 / 1.93 = 2695
https://gyazo.com/ad52986e0456cfa100a73535ebcf9085
https://gyazo.com/bce19394b118bbfb5d9ff56b27dd9480
4999 / 1.93 = 2590
MannCo Sales Sorted, Ascending
2577
2590
2632
2632
2642
2694
2695
2698
2789
2789
2804
2839
Really cements that the average should be around 2600.
Also shows that anything over 3000 is really an outlier.
Sellers have been at 3000 anyways, or lower
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan&at=2023-05-02T23%3A30%3A00.000Z
Not many (rounded) sales below 2500
4 Sales round to 2500.
I think we should take 2500-3000 here.
Thoughts? We are in new territory here, with a huge bulk of sales being excluded due to MannCo ban.
Around 11 hours straight here, I schleep now.
insane suggestion - must have taken days
Well done, STEVE.👍 Upvote.
End of first post was a bit rushed since I was tired.
Putting my properly worded Final Thoughts here and my explanation for range.
MP Sales averaged around 3000-3100 keys.
Currently 2 MP Sell orders unsold at ~2925
With the bulk of BP sales at around the 2500 mark, and BP seller orders at around 2950-3000 consistently, feels right to cap MP Sales at 3000.
I could understand making a case for capping MP Sales at 2900-2950; however, I chose 3000 since this is where the bulk of the MP sales fell.
Low end feels like 2500 is the only reasonable point to cap at.
5 counted sales at around that price, (counting 2440, even though it doesnt round)
A case could be made for 2200, since there are several sales around there, though 1 was based off of low estimates due to unpriceable item sales (Item 14 sale 2), which would leave it at 2 accurate or useable sales @ 2200, which is not enough probably.
2500-3000 gives an average of 2750 keys
CSDeals unsold at ~2800 fits this range.
MannCo sales averaged around 2600-2700, which falls near to our average, further proving its validity.
Sale 1 - It should be Aces High Antlers instead of Nuts n' Bolts Antlers as I was the one who tried to price both of those. I wish Nuts n' Bolts Antlers were at 650 keys too. Anyways, please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future. :3
oops good catch, I got the right price down atleast though lol
You good lol 😂
sale 16 - i think you meant “capping” not “caping”. please remember to keep a certain standard of professionalism when suggesting in the future.
A pipebomb will arrive at your location within 2 weeks time
RIP fromunda xD
Looks amazing STEVE!
Nice job buddy
why arnt mann.co sales allowed as evidence?
MC staff banned all backpack/marketplace/scrap staff from the site 2 months or so ago
seems scummy for mann co but also a bit petty of .tf group to not include them as valid sales
Backpack staff cannot access the mannco sales graph data while banned/not signed in so they really cant validate that sales actually happened. Though of course im sure there would be a simple workaround