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~1375 keys
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Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/10204324145


Sale #1

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991733793#!/compare/1685664000/1689120000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082924175#!/compare/1688947200/1689033600


Sale #2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082924175#!/compare/1689033600/1689811200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066835150#!/compare/1688428800/1689724800


Sale #3

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1691452800/1691625600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066835150#!/compare/1690588800/1691625600


Sale #4

Sold for 856 keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1691798400/1692144000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961402456#!/compare/1691712000/1692144000


Sale #5

Transferred in bulk?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961402456#!/compare/1692230400/1692489600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1692144000/1692230400


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13066604392


Sale #6

Sold for 1030 + an Orbiting Fire Gauzed Gaze (92.5 keys) = 1030+93 = 1123 keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221136872#!/compare/1686528000/1686700800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1686528000/1686700800


MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $2650 on August 21, 2023

Average Key Price @ $2.02ish

2650/2.02 = 1311.88ish keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30838;5;u14


Sales @ 856, 1100, 1312


Should be fine to exclude 856 here, a bit iffy on this but it seems too low compared to sellers and buyers at the time and compared to the other two sales we have right now. Not only this but 856 seems like an odd number to sell something this high at and its most likely an incomplete trade or something


Should be fine to just take 1100-1300 here after rounding unless told otherwise

    Id say this range is more appropriate than if we were to include the 800 key sale

      I do not see any solid indication that 856 is an outlier here; these are just 3 reasonably evenly spread out sales in mostly pure or close to pure. Especially seeing that one of these sales was used to set the current price, it is not justifiable to cherrypick only one of these two sales to add to the range

        That's fair I just thought it might've been better to do it that way given how close to buyers it was and stuff! So just take 850-1300 since it would round based on it being still 1000+ keys?