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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/10204324145
Sale #1
Untraceable-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991733793#!/compare/1685664000/1689120000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082924175#!/compare/1688947200/1689033600
Sale #2
Untraceable?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082924175#!/compare/1689033600/1689811200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066835150#!/compare/1688428800/1689724800
Sale #3
Bulk sale-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1691452800/1691625600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066835150#!/compare/1690588800/1691625600
Sale #4
Sold for 856 keys-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094964657#!/compare/1691798400/1692144000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961402456#!/compare/1691712000/1692144000
Sale #5
Transferred in bulk?-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961402456#!/compare/1692230400/1692489600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1692144000/1692230400
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/13066604392
Sale #6
Sold for 1030 + an Orbiting Fire Gauzed Gaze (92.5 keys) = 1030+93 = 1123 keys-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198221136872#!/compare/1686528000/1686700800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1686528000/1686700800
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $2650 on August 21, 2023
Average Key Price @ $2.02ish
2650/2.02 = 1311.88ish keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30838;5;u14
Sales @ 856, 1100, 1312
Should be fine to exclude 856 here, a bit iffy on this but it seems too low compared to sellers and buyers at the time and compared to the other two sales we have right now. Not only this but 856 seems like an odd number to sell something this high at and its most likely an incomplete trade or something
Should be fine to just take 1100-1300 here after rounding unless told otherwise
Id say this range is more appropriate than if we were to include the 800 key sale
I do not see any solid indication that 856 is an outlier here; these are just 3 reasonably evenly spread out sales in mostly pure or close to pure. Especially seeing that one of these sales was used to set the current price, it is not justifiable to cherrypick only one of these two sales to add to the range
That's fair I just thought it might've been better to do it that way given how close to buyers it was and stuff! So just take 850-1300 since it would round based on it being still 1000+ keys?
Yeah, rounding it to 850-1300 is fine