Price Suggestion
Starlight Haze Lumbercap
Submitted by ★ aj
95.74%
32–45 keys
40–56 keys
1
~48 keys
starlight haze
Unusual Lumbercap Starlight Haze
45 votes up
2 votes down
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aj
98.25%
45–51 keys
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95.45%
n/a
32–45 keys

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Comments

Team 3 - Suggestion 8, made by aj

Mini for Ether Trail Hellmet


Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/14029883050

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121593191#!/compare/1709164800/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879929343#!/compare/1707696000/1709596800

Sold for:

Strange Silver Serenade Lumbercap - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6605e486f0255f08e00c3df9 - 30.5 keys

Disco Beat Down Burning Bandana - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6605e4666a88f8d07c09cee8 - 22 keys

5 keys


Buyout - https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Starlight%20Haze%20Lumbercap/65dfb68ecddf9fbf040b1305

2925.12 ref / 60.94 ref = 48 keys


30.5 + 22 + 5 = 57.5 keys


Caps at 48 keys here


Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13092220290

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185872973#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

Added:

3 keys

~2.4 keys worth of adds, it was about 160 ref with the paint included on the cosmetics

for

Cloud 9 Brown Bomber - indate at 47 keys


47 - (3 + 2.4) = 41.6 keys


Taking as 42 keys


Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/13088691859

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047706237#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207858629#!/compare/1706400000/1706832000

Untrace


Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207858629#!/compare/1706832000/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

10 ref matches


Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099042378#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

43 keys leave buyers inv


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099042378#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

tradehold maybe? it turned up the next day lol


43 keys I think


Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099042378#!/compare/1708300800/1708560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

Sold for 44 keys


Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/13023149297

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1705968000/1706054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363628327#!/compare/1705968000/1706054400


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363628327#!/compare/1706140800/1706227200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706140800/1706227200


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247218246#!/compare/1704240000/1706313600

Gambling


Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247218246#!/compare/1704240000/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103991885#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

6.88 ref matches


Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103991885#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088113157#!/compare/1646352000/1709769600

Untrace


Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/12865327718

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382267048#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

Sold for 45 keys looks like


Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1711152000/1711238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1711238400/1711411200

12 keys match


Strange Tainted Frost Lumbercap enters inventory - https://backpack.tf/item/12852722713

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Strange%20Tainted%20Frost%20Lumbercap/66005424212738228609e791

Listed recently at 28 keys / 1790.76 ref


So totals up to 40 keys?

45 resold for 40 perhaps?

Treating as 40 keys for now, not very accurate sorry


Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/12851422621

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049527404#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168314452#!/compare/1702771200/1704240000

Untrace


Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168314452#!/compare/1704240000/1710806400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

Untrace


Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1704499200/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025782349#!/compare/1706140800/1706227200

MP? Jan 25th enters inv, will check later


Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/12769877469

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402258946#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058776563#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058776563#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203290705#!/compare/1706745600/1705968000


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203290705#!/compare/1706745600/1705968000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706745600/1706659200

Gambling


Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1706659200/1706832000

Bulk then sold on MP


Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12651318412

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447576#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

35 keys match


Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/12516692760

Sale 18

MP


Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058864808#!/compare/1710547200/1711584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985547050#!/compare/1710806400/1711584000

Possibly scammed


Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/12441718288

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058246217#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

31 keys match


Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1707523200/1707609600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125631964#!/compare/1707523200/1707609600

Untrace


Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125631964#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

Untrace


Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/12430194120

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193378535#!/compare/1704499200/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

Untrace


Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032949530#!/compare/1704844800/1705017600

Sold alongside:

16.88 ref

for

Eyes of Molten Beanie The All-Gnawing

16 keys


No buyout but I can only assume if I mini'd the Beanie here, it would have capped at the buyout due to the nature of how qs.store treats unusuals at the buy order they have on it.


But I'll probably make a mini still idk, if I'm not lazy


Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/12417537997

Sale 25

MP


Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/12415401463

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068301070#!/compare/1706054400/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

44 keys 1 ref


Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098039835#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

53 keys leave buyers inv

Eh, like ~2/3 keys worth of stuff comes into buyers inv


Treating as 50 keys, no buyout. Won't use the sale but it could support a final range or smth


Sale 28

Mannco


Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143715421#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049951991#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

42 keys leave buyers inv


Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049951991#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295506584#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400

Sold for 44 keys


Sale 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295506584#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

Untrace, likely dumped for less


Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/12410062916

Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121650520#!/compare/1705708800/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186366599#!/compare/1705881600/1706400000

Untrace? The CTF Rotation goes to STN, and then idk what happens next


Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31326;5;u278

Jan 1st - $94.99 / $1.7 = 55.88 keys

Jan 14th - $94.99 / $1.69 = 56.21 keys

Jan 23rd - $94.99 / $1.7 = 55.88 keys

Jan 26th - $94.99 / $1.7 = 55.88 keys

Feb 8th - $94.99 / $1.7 = 55.88 keys

Feb 15th - $94.99 / $1.71 = 55.55 keys

Feb 17th - $94.99 / $1.7 = 55.88 keys

Feb 19th - $119.99 / $1.7 = 70.58 keys


Keys around Jan 1st:

Dec 29th - $1.68

Dec 30th - $1.68

Dec 31st - $1.74

Jan 1st - $1.74

Jan 2nd - $1.72

Jan 3rd - $1.69

Jan 4th - $1.68


Average: (1.68 + 1.68 + 1.74 + 1.74 + 1.72 + 1.69 + 1.68) / 7 = 1.704


Gladiator sales

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Starlight%20Haze%20Lumbercap&at=2024-03-28T21:11:20.621Z

1 dump for 39 keys 32.22 ref

Gonna round up to 40 keys here, I think keys have been around 60 ref between 30 days and 7 days ago


Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/b-2vzwK9dx8B

17 days @ 48 keys

Recent at 55 keys


Buyers at 36.55 keys, 35 keys, 24 keys

STN pays 36 keys 35 ref - https://prnt.sc/yceQXanw8C1g


Sales

48, 42, 43, 44, 45, 40, 35, 31, Eyes of Molten Beanie + 16, 50 (?), 42, 44, Dumped - gladiator 40 sale?, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 71


Ordered sales

31, 35, 40, 40, 42, 42, 43, 44, 44, 45, 48, 50, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 56, 71, and that Eyes of Molten Beanie + 16 sale


Thoughts

45 key sale sold for 40 keys

44 key sale sold for 40 keys

31 and 35 are below buyers

71 is pretty high


Big range of 40 - 56 keys means average is 48 keys which is the current seller so seems good


I go that range

Avatar ★ aj · posted