https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6605e18ea83de0a4f70b96c2 !!!! redo

Mini for Cloud 9 Sergeant's Drill Hat

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/14984502720

On and off STN then listed on Marketplace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/14278346335

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098576187#!/compare/1721347200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095832670#!/compare/1722470400/1728432000

Untrace

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/13816935975

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199136084#!/compare/1734048000/1734134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272046714#!/compare/1734048000/1734134400

Sold for 51 keys

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/13064587113

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199175968815#!/compare/1726963200/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054727619#!/compare/1727136000/1727222400

Sold for:

46 keys

60 ref

Taking as 47 keys

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054727619#!/compare/1727136000/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040405201#!/compare/1727049600/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040405201#!/compare/1731715200/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054727619#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

Tradeback

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054727619#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199168237291#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800

Sold for 50 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199168237291#!/compare/1733702400/1733961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930632283#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800

Untrace

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930632283#!/compare/1733875200/1734048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1733788800/1733875200

Untrace then listed on Marketplace

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/13023149297

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121560008#!/compare/1731283200/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1731369600/1731456000

Added:

8 keys

for

Cloud 9 Sergeant's Drill Hat

Using there

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/12964913365

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1726012800/1726358400

Per here:

https://prnt.sc/RlqH7aT-4Nwa

Capi's alt account so just listed to Marketplace

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/12851422621

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025782349#!/compare/1726790400/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199443869236#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

1 scrap matches

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199443869236#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320941477#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

Sold for:

45 keys

17 ref

Mannco stuff

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1728518400/1728604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199228933034#!/compare/1728604800/1729123200

Untrace / gambling

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12699555000

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978024565#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400

Untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077691964#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

Untrace

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077691964#!/compare/1730246400/1730332800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978024565#!/compare/1730073600/1730332800

It all comes full circle

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/12516692760

Marketplace sale

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/12480504537

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1726617600/1726704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516065527#!/compare/1726617600/1726704000

Sold for 49 keys

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/12463214578

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277799195#!/compare/1728345600/1728432000

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31326;5;u278

Sep 15th - $109.99 / $1.89 = 58.20 keys

Nov 29th - $109.99 / $1.79 = 61.45 keys

Dec 10th - $109.99 / $1.75 = 62.85 keys

Sales

51

47

50

+8 for C9 drills

45

49

58

61

63

Sales ordered

45, 47, 49, 50, 51, 58, 61, 63, +8 for C9 drills

Current listings

https://prnt.sc/pWYu9lW99LcA

https://backpack.tf/item/12414854751 - 4 hours at 42 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13023149297 - 4 days at 44.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12944738722 - 21 hours at 54 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14984502720 - 2 months at $109.99 [~63 keys]

Buyers up to 39 keys

Concluding thoughts

This sucks. It's really hard to say what a good range is here based off the recently listed sellers. There are definitely some bot dumps in here that weren't traceable and probably close to current buyers.

All 3 marketplace sales are higher than the highest listed keys seller on classifieds at 54 keys so going ahead and excluding those.

I think the range of 45 - 51 is okay for now then I suppose. Tbh, the drills has a pure sale at 52 keys which reinforces using the lower sales here.

45 - 51 narrows the range by 10 keys in this instance so I reckon we can just go ahead with that.

45 - 51 keys it is