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Re-suggesting, new sales. Using sales from the last suggestion onwards.
Sale 1:
Sold for 5 keys + 26.22 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012715788#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200
https://backpack.tf/item/2868743806
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-04-16T05:51:51.387Z - keys were ~70.66-70.77 ref at the time
= ~5.35 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for 5 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199951166#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000
https://backpack.tf/item/3701001175
= 5 keys
Sale 3:
Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 32.66 ref (~4.5 keys at the time)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199121238334#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2023-12-25T09:20:50.972Z - confirmed
https://backpack.tf/item/12594877646
= 4.5 keys
Sale 4:
Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 1.33 ref?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070146753#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2024-03-13T05:43:57.830Z - labeled as such here
https://backpack.tf/item/2745430998
No keys match, but the exact amount of metal matches on the seller’s end. Considering the other gladiator sales lower than 4.5 keys, and some of the other potential sales that are around the 4 key mark that you’ll see below, I’m just going to go ahead and count this one as 4 keys.
= 4 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199195816261#!/compare/1707868800/1709596800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800
https://backpack.tf/item/12845330696
Backpack buy
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199001114266#!/compare/1708041600/1708732800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128184706#!/compare/1707350400/1708560000
https://backpack.tf/item/9353885552
Untraceable
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066423064#!/compare/1704585600/1706227200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060299122#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400
https://backpack.tf/item/8718390171
Backpack buy
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198428877055#!/compare/1708300800/1708732800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200
https://backpack.tf/item/7159938710
Another backpack buy
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199491385168#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600
https://backpack.tf/item/3701001175
Untraceable
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600
https://backpack.tf/item/3080793433
Untraceable, gambled prior.
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2024-02-20T06:00:18.247Z - labelled as 4 keys + 10.88 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/3080793433
Untraceable
#8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030654668#!/compare/1706227200/1706832000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1706140800/1706227200
https://backpack.tf/item/2868743806
Untraceable, 2 keys match.
#9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1708905600/1708992000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063090000#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400
https://backpack.tf/item/2695904287
Untraceable/Bulk
#10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199209469690#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000
https://backpack.tf/item/6575660330
Untraceable
#11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104049786#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400
https://backpack.tf/item/3701001175
Untraceable, apparently bulk
#12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199491385168#!/compare/1703030400/1703289600
https://backpack.tf/item/3701001175
4 keys match on the buyer's end. I don't think that's the whole deal.
#13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2023-12-12T09:20:50.972Z - labelled as 4 keys + 22.66 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/3201515124
Untraceable
#14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149415206#!/compare/1703548800/1704067200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084463631#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600
https://backpack.tf/item/3056630434
Sold for Solar Scorched Skullcracker
Better off being used on that.
#15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216550909#!/compare/1709078400/1709683200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992269231#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://backpack.tf/item/13876079837
https://backpack.tf/item/14116483763
Scammed. Including this because it was included in my last suggestion before they got marked.
#16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992269231#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2024-03-07T03:11:00.781Z - labelled as 4 keys + 18.88 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/13876079837
Untraceable. We do see exactly 18.88 ref leaving the buyer's end, though. It looks like the buyer sold the hat they had for 40 keys, then used 4 of them in this trade.
#17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992269231#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Skullcracker&at=2024-03-07T03:11:00.781Z - labelled as 4 keys + 18.88 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/14116483763
Untraceable. Same situation as above, as it's the same potential scammer here.
Both these sales are not being used as they are scammer sales.
#18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199467915660#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800
https://backpack.tf/item/6989676270
Hard to tell, looks like multiple items sold to the bot, because all the metal seems to match.
#19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313722516#!/compare/1710892800/1711152000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1711065600/1711152000
https://backpack.tf/item/3315647801
Only 3 keys match
#20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1711152000/1711238400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1711152000/1711238400
https://backpack.tf/item/3315647801
Untraceable
#21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1712188800/1712275200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363387940#!/compare/1712188800/1712275200
https://backpack.tf/item/7159938710
Untraceable, only 4 keys match.
https://imgur.com/a/iopN7WN - labelled as ~4.3 keys.
#22
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199951166#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059292572#!/compare/1686787200/1712880000
https://backpack.tf/item/3701001175
Gambled
#23
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1713225600/1713312000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1713052800/1713312000
https://backpack.tf/item/6989676270
4 keys match, some metal was definitely involved on the buyer’s end.
https://imgur.com/a/c6JxTr0 - was listed for ~3.8 keys (probably lower given current key/metal rates)
https://backpack.tf/item/3201515124 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/3116668321 - unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/2745430998 - unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/2864526661 - seller privated inventory
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/gZfZ2el
https://backpack.tf/item/13876079837 - ~6.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12594877646 - ~6.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3384728748 - ~6.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6575660330 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/2745430998 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/3080793433 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/12845330696 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/14116483763 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/8718390171 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/2709648010 - marketplace
Sales at:
4
4.5
5
5.35
4 is supported by #7 (untraceable gladiator purchase), #21 (potential 4.3 key sale with metal missing), and #23 (potential ~3.8 key sale, with metal missing).
Average price here is below 5 keys, so I’ll be rounding to the nearest 0.05 keys here.
Taking 4-5.35 keys.