Sale 1:

Sold for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873788683#!/compare/1706400000/1706572800

https://backpack.tf/item/7429085028

= 6 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with negligible metal for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200 - first 5 keys after the reindoonicorn here

https://backpack.tf/item/7215492444

= 5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 15.11 ref (keys were ~61 ref at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600 (pulled from their bot)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119132244#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Soviet%20Strongarm&at=2024-02-27T02:25:20.874Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

= 4.25 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 4 keys + 5.11 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873788683#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Soviet%20Strongarm&at=2024-02-02T02:25:20.874Z - labelled as 4 keys + 5.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/7429085028

3 keys + 5 ref match, close enough. Seller may have spent a key on the Fists of Steel.

This sale follows the 6 key sale.

= 4.1 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199015286874#!/compare/1706745600/1714348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196685086#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/item/14066525696

Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116189166#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199375927223#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

Untraceable, probably scammed

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199375927223#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

Bulk for keys

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1708819200/1711238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199258798620#!/compare/1710201600/1710460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581842147#!/compare/1710028800/1710201600

https://backpack.tf/item/11865899808

Untraceable/Bulk

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581842147#!/compare/1710028800/1710201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Soviet%20Strongarm&at=2024-03-13T02:25:20.874Z - labelled as 4 keys + 47.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/11865899808

Untraceable, 4 keys match, no metal does.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314640429#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400

https://backpack.tf/item/11485380907

Untraceable, 2 keys match. Ignored previous trade in history as it most likely belongs to a scammer.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047971773#!/compare/1713657600/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1713657600/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/item/11463055129

Mass bulk

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082767070#!/compare/1709251200/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166980094#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/item/11000404041

Untraceable, unusualified by seller

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166980094#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421652838#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/item/11000404041

Managed to find 4 keys matching on the buyer’s end, and the seller’s end shows about 25 ref, but I’m not too certain the right amount of metal shows up here, considering bots bought this for ~20 ref more later on in the month, according to gladiator.tf. Gonna exclude this one for safety.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150645469#!/compare/1711756800/1713398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337985176#!/compare/1712620800/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/item/10448323433

SCM

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844425659#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/item/8922599878

Backpack buy

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382898478#!/compare/1707350400/1711584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199760

Untraceable

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199136063332#!/compare/1712534400/1714003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1713916800/1714003200

https://backpack.tf/item/7564255502

Bulk for keys

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/item/7215492444

Untraceable probably a bot flip

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/item/7215492444

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/12456138355 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/7449895378 - unusualified

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30844;5;u3003

$11.11, April 10th

This is over 6 keys, which is too high here given all the sellers. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/TbuONOW

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199760 - ~4.75 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346 - ~4.8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7429085028 - ~5.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11000404041 - ~5.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8922599878 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11865899808 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/8715958024 - marketplace

Sales at:

4.1

4.25

5

6

The sale at 6 is, not only countered by sellers, but is almost outdated, and ended up re-selling to a bot anyways, making the sale invalid. Excluding 6.

Sellers at ~4.8 keys counter the sale at 5 keys. Excluding 5.

Taking 4.1-4.25 keys.