Sale 1:

Sold for Russian Rubdown + Commissar’s Coat + Mad Lad

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861042131#!/compare/1729296000/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166303197#!/compare/1728950400/1729296000

https://backpack.tf/item/13632607267

No B/O

The seller re-sold the Rubdown + Commissar’s Coat immediately for a total of 2 keys + 52.11 ref (~2.95 keys).

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mad%20Lad&at=2024-10-22T03:11:25.651Z - Mad Lad purchases/sales are similar to current price, should be fine to use the current price (0.95 keys)

= 3.9 keys

Sale 2

Sold for 3 keys + 46.44 ref (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1729814400/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278937113#!/compare/1729987200/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/item/8188876870

Keys were ~59.16 ref at the time

46.44/59.16 = 0.785, rounds to 0.8.

= 3.8 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 3 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1725753600/1725840000 - Near ID: 14887428841

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840079193#!/compare/1725840000/1725926400

https://backpack.tf/item/12983424490

= 3 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 7.33 ref (~2.15 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199590505828#!/compare/1727913600/1728086400 - Near ID: 14978220424

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1727913600/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/8188876870

= 2.15 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for Silver Cyclone Battin’ a Thousand + Killstreak Scattergun Kit( ~50 ref) + 30 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306885198#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861042131#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/13632607267

With a small margin on the Cyclone taunt, this will fall into the range.

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129143307#!/compare/1727222400/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306885198#!/compare/1727222400/1727308800

https://backpack.tf/item/13632607267

1 keys + ~0.5 keys in junk

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1725062400/1725148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107473811#!/compare/1719100800/1725408000

https://backpack.tf/item/13110936845

Bulk for keys

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199376209312#!/compare/1727481600/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199450040#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/item/12625879332

Bulk/Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199450040#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199376209312#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/item/12625879332

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199376209312#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199674417290#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/item/12625879332

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1730505600/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1730505600/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/item/12625879332

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119132244#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346

Retrieved from bot or something

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069023441#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125108615#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Soviet%20Strongarm&at=2024-11-14T03:22:10.154Z - labelled as 2 keys + 10.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9176194478

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1727395200/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/8188876870

Untraceable, likely bulk to scrap.tf

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199590505828#!/compare/1727913600/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/item/8188876870

Bulk

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1727136000/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083137273#!/compare/1726099200/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199760

Bulk

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083137273#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199760

Bulk

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024512468#!/compare/1715904000/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199760

Bulk

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198266321796#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/item/7564255502

Bulk for Haunted Cremation Soviet Strongarm

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000 - Near ID: 15059051052

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193230375#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

Sold for 2 keys + ~2 keys in items

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193230375#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1731283200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/item/7564255502

Bulk

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1724284800/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499579920#!/compare/1723939200/1724544000

https://backpack.tf/item/7130986440

Bulk

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088405159#!/compare/1725062400/1726963200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1726704000/1726790400

https://backpack.tf/item/6876583231

Bulk

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198980941253#!/compare/1725062400/1727136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1724976000/1725062400

https://backpack.tf/item/6252926219

Bulk

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873788683#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1727568000/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/item/6252760164

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14465247409 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/10578820639 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/8677986933 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/7447747658 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/6876583231 - mannco/gambled/marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30844;5;u3003

$7.99, October 18th & 27th, & November 6th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.89, October 18th & 27th

$1.86, November 6th

7.99/1.89 = 4.228, rounds to 4.25 keys (2x)

7.99/1.86 = 4.296, rounds to 4.3 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/7bXtxNu.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6876583231 - ~3.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11000404041 - ~5.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11887089346 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11584510868 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9899293938 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/11485380907 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/6424977333 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7429085028 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/8715958024 - marketplace

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+The+Soviet+Strongarm

https://i.imgur.com/NyL2CRa.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12625879332 - 2 keys + 55.66 ref (~2.95 keys)

Sales at:

2.15

3

3.8

3.9

4.25 (marketplace)

4.3 (marketplace)

Buyers at ~2.25 keys, excluding 2.15.

Seller on STN for ~2.95 keys, and on the classifieds for ~3.5 keys, don’t want to stray too far from the sellers with the sales we have. Will exclude the marketplace sales at 4.25 & 4.3, but will keep 3.9.

Going to have to include the STN seller into the range. I’m expecting it to continue dropping, so I’m going to pre-emptively set the low-end to 2.9 keys. If it ends up selling before it drops to ~2.9 keys, I’ll re-suggest.

Taking 2.9-3.9 keys.