Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys + 57 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999873164#!/compare/1713657600/1713744000 - Near ID: 14393058417

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163070913#!/compare/1713657600/1713744000

https://backpack.tf/item/8564236749

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-04-23T10:36:58.509Z - keys were going for ~77 ref at the time

= 2.75 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to STN for 2 keys + 28 ref (keys were 63.94 at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224159528#!/compare/1710288000/1710374400 - Near ID: 14280060314

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1710288000/1710374400

https://backpack.tf/item/11285620459

= 2.45 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199201937808#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128560410#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2024-02-17T10:31:22.086Z - labelled as 2 keys + 33.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13944431677

Untraceable, gambled prior.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375616096#!/compare/1712966400/1714348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1714262400/1714348800

https://backpack.tf/item/12814366524

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/item/12546459329

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/item/11285620459

3 keys match, it almost certainly involved more ref coming with the taunt than what the buyer’s end shows.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198887965364#!/compare/1709683200/1709769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197771978#!/compare/1709683200/1709769600

https://backpack.tf/item/7322893170

Untraceable, 1 key + some metal matches. Unusualified by the seller.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199197771978#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/item/7322893170

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386235523#!/compare/1708646400/1708992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/item/7055144120

Bulk/untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073386321#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1711670400/1711756800

https://backpack.tf/item/5167785177

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1713225600/1713312000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063524339#!/compare/1713312000/1713398400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2024-04-18T10:31:22.086Z - labelled as 2 keys + 54 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/3877407120

3 keys match. Metal would’ve been added with the taunt, but doesn’t show up on the buyer’s end. Looks to have been gambled afterwards.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154777866#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235396148#!/compare/1707177600/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/item/3295727623

2 keys match, metal was added with the taunt. May have been 3 keys but I can’t confirm.

https://backpack.tf/item/6334108688 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/3386755024 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/2973968387 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/2771452001 - unusualified

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1114;5;u3003

$6.6, Feb 22nd & March 8th

The sales are above current marketplace sellers, and are gonna end up being around 4 keys, which is higher than the sellers on the classifieds. Excluding the marketplace sales.

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/BmzaAab

https://backpack.tf/item/7055144120 - ~2.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12685645101 - ~2.8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12546459329 - ~2.8 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5167785177 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13944431677 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/2954433499 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7322893170 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/2886435854 - marketplace

https://imgur.com/a/ZRfTjzR

https://backpack.tf/item/12814366524 - 2 keys + 44.88 ref

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Spent+Well+Spirits

Sales at:

2.45

2.75

The seller on STN is pretty young, no reason to exclude 2.75 here.

Taking 2.45-2.75 keys.