Sale 1:

Sold with negligible metal for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152406063#!/compare/1710374400/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/item/9456371399

= 6 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with negligible metal for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199244659#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

https://backpack.tf/item/7975961307

= 6 keys

Sale 3:

Sold with 19.77 ref (rounds to ~0.5 keys) for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200 - Near ID: 14287525187

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068068814#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/item/13111566812

= 5.5 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 4 keys + 30 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271442469#!/compare/1715558400/1715644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876698605#!/compare/1715558400/1715644800

https://backpack.tf/item/7443999126

= 4.5 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 4 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152406063#!/compare/1710547200/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1710633600/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/item/9456371399

= 4 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272257772#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/13111566812

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177359945#!/compare/1707091200/1711152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087099341#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/item/12193239271

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047624211#!/compare/1708819200/1709510400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Luxury%20Lounge&at=2024-03-04T12:02:07.650Z - labelled as 5 keys + 28.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10932417539

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144118760#!/compare/1709683200/1714003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059382847#!/compare/1709510400/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/item/10073206766

SCM

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059382847#!/compare/1711843200/1712448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047971773#!/compare/1712361600/1712448000

https://backpack.tf/item/10073206766

Mass bulk/transfer

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047971773#!/compare/1713657600/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1713657600/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/item/10073206766

Mass bulk/transfer

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226855288#!/compare/1709164800/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199065026822#!/compare/1708905600/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/item/6942613659

Untraceable, gambled prior. This could’ve been gambled too.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199065026822#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/item/6942613659

Sold for a Pro. KS Big Earner + ~0.5 keys in metal?

Considering the seller materializes another key and some metal later, I’m inclined to believe more was involved. Excluding, not confident using this sale.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249061128#!/compare/1712102400/1712620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1712361600/1712448000

https://backpack.tf/item/6579878908

Bulk on both ends

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229964435#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600

https://backpack.tf/item/6579878908

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205194977#!/compare/1710374400/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1710374400/1710460800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Luxury%20Lounge&at=2024-03-15T12:02:07.650Z - labelled as 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6493947065

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1714348800/1714435200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198289121434#!/compare/1712620800/1714435200

https://backpack.tf/item/9456371399

Untraceable/Bulk

https://imgur.com/a/LAGjCCm - was listed at ~4.5 keys for a while (~4.5 keys after key price conversion)

https://imgur.com/a/rSj6DNQ - listed for the same amount early April (~4.5 keys after key price conversion)

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1715299200/1715385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276619718#!/compare/1715212800/1715731200

https://backpack.tf/item/9456371399

Untraceable. This item, however, was listed at less than 4.5 keys for quite a while

https://imgur.com/a/yUzB5M3

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1714867200/1714953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070838869#!/compare/1629763200/1715644800

https://backpack.tf/item/7443999126

Untraceable

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070838869#!/compare/1629763200/1715644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271442469#!/compare/1715558400/1715644800

https://backpack.tf/item/7443999126

Untraceable, spec. KS rocket launcher kit matches

https://backpack.tf/item/10462042569 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/6479346352 - gambled

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3003

$11.99, March 9th & 15th, April 16th (2x)

Considering this item was on STN for much less, and there’s even a marketplace seller for cheaper currently, I’m going to be excluding the marketplace sales here.

Sellers:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/11462655748 - $10.50

Sales at:

4

4.5

5.5

6 (2x)

https://imgur.com/a/xADKDrX - a couple buyers at ~4 keys. Excluding 4.

Taking 4.5-6 keys.