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These are the only movements I can find within the last 2 months
marketplace
199.99/1.66 = ~120.5
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31385;5;u299
key: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
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bot transfer https://backpack.tf/item/13740289586
-
Item 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/14172027693
Sale 1:
unsure
(histories don't match and near ID doesn't tell me which hat was bought for what)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124356274#!/compare/1710460800/1710633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164911027#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200
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Item 3: (Lots of movement, so there will be some strange compares and will largely be untracable for those ones)
https://backpack.tf/item/13699558858
Sale 1: Vintage Gunboats?? (Untrace)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199651493012#!/compare/1713312000/1713398400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059833096#!/compare/1713225600/1713398400
Sale 2: Bulk
Near ID: 14381195814
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1713312000/1713398400
Sale 3: 92 keys for Demonic Impaler Mean Captain + Disco Beat Down Blast Bowl
Near ID: 14381493756
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1713312000/1713398400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1713312000/1713398400
^Only other movements with the dbd Blast Bowl are bulk movements and I can't trace or with bots so I'm not using this
Sale 4: Large Bulk for pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1713398400/1713484800
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Item 4:
https://backpack.tf/item/13653062860
Sale 1: 85 pure(?)
Near ID: 14387792144
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1713484800/1713571200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053147343#!/compare/1713484800/1715558400
^Histories don't exactly match but near ID suggests that the seller at least received 85 keys from this trade
Sale 2: Unsure (maybe cash?)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826766828#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400
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Item 5: Lots of movement for this one but ultimately useless asf
https://backpack.tf/item/13654768766
Sale 1: unsure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1716336000/1716508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991477148#!/compare/1716422400/1716508800
Sale 2: unsure
Near ID: 14506950193
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058252581#!/compare/1716336000/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941849#!/compare/1716336000/1716422400
Sale 3: unsure
Near ID: 14499791282
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941849#!/compare/1715990400/1716336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000
Sale 4: I officially hate this item's history cause UNSURE
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199591999118#!/compare/1716076800/1716508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1716076800/1716249600
Sale 5: fkn hate this item in particular I guess
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199243438296#!/compare/1714003200/1714089600
Sale 6: I hate it here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199243438296#!/compare/1711843200/1711929600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848879603#!/compare/1711843200/1711929600
Sale 7: PK Collector's Ambassador?
Near ID: 14330362057
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199082917272#!/compare/1711756800/1711929600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848879603#!/compare/1711843200/1711929600
----
Total Sales
120.5 & 85
2 sellers at 85 | buyers at ~68
https://imgur.com/a/OF1QmbQ
excluding 120.5 cause all sell orders are lower at the moment so just taking 85 flat
uhhh so there are 2 new sales on market place on June 1st and June 2nd (today is June 4th) of 189.99 each, (189.99/1.67=113.8 keys)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31385;5;u299
However, there are still sell orders for 85, 100, and another 100. I'm still going to not include the marketplace sales because of the MULTIPLE sell orders below, but just thought that I need to at least mention it here.
https://imgur.com/a/xwZPbwj
Though if the multiple super recent sales are supposed to "weigh" more than this, I can change the suggestion. Though based off of what I see other people tend to exclude because of sell orders, I think I should just leave them out.
1 new movement but it's a bulk for a blizz cold killer and can't use anyways
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133253767#!/compare/1718755200/1718928000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1718755200/1718841600