Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1723161600/1723248000 - Near ID: 14770412678

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098565783#!/compare/1722902400/1724371200

https://backpack.tf/item/6681981564

= 7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035013576#!/compare/1726531200/1726617600 - Near ID: 14915644103

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144775772#!/compare/1725926400/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/item/2762328617

= 7 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800 - Near ID: 14965002899

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108686911#!/compare/1727827200/1727827200 - no good compare links

https://backpack.tf/item/3314945072

= 6 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1727827200/1727913600 - Near ID: 14971331305

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198973702131#!/compare/1727740800/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/item/3220512373

= 6 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 5 keys + 4 ref (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036868137#!/compare/1727827200/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/item/5055841569

= 5 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197976496774#!/compare/1722816000/1723248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054159742#!/compare/1721865600/1723593600

https://backpack.tf/item/13596693734

SCM, transferred to their bot afterwards.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198445317265#!/compare/1722902400/1722988800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064850234#!/compare/1722816000/1722902400

https://backpack.tf/item/13010942378

Backpack buy, probably

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064850234#!/compare/1724803200/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216138484#!/compare/1724630400/1724889600

https://backpack.tf/item/13010942378

Bulk-ish for keys

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216138484#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199094699217#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/item/13010942378

Bulk for Cloud 9 Ol’ Geezer

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199094699217#!/compare/1724889600/1724976000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377216248#!/compare/1724889600/1725667200

https://backpack.tf/item/13010942378

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370804412#!/compare/1725753600/1726012800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199539391520#!/compare/1725667200/1725753600

https://backpack.tf/item/6408917937

Bulk/untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199539391520#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/item/6408917937

Untraceable, 1 key and about half a key in metal match

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1728604800/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198991017424#!/compare/1727654400/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/item/6408917937

Sold with a Winning Spirit Soldier’s Requiem for 8 keys + possibly some metal.

I’d use this sale here, but according to STN’s current prices on the two items, we’re off by a lot of metal:

https://i.imgur.com/NnZEUco.png

https://i.imgur.com/wBmfUbX.png

I don’t just want to assume they were selling for 5 keys at the time and take that value here.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074992626#!/compare/1726099200/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/item/3943167811

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652057998#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061159723#!/compare/1726444800/1726704000

https://backpack.tf/item/3943167811

Untraceable, probably gambled. The rest of the history is gambling.

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1722211200/1722297600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121721220#!/compare/1721692800/1726099200

https://backpack.tf/item/2706056839

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1723680000/1723852800 - Near ID: 14798788064

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Oblooterated&at=2024-10-22T13:28:29.096Z - labelled as 5 keys + 48 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14798788064

Only 5 keys match

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137545628#!/compare/1723593600/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1723766400/1723852800

https://backpack.tf/item/14798788064

Bulk to scrap.tf

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138888131#!/compare/1728604800/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/item/2839828124

Probably a backpack buy

https://backpack.tf/item/13089541541 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/4368231642 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/3557673754 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/2966330660 - marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1120;5;u3003

$17, July 29th, August 13th, & September 23rd

$14.99, October 14th & 20th

The October sales will end up around 8 keys, the ones prior are going to be around 9-10 keys. Given what we have already with the pure sales and the seller at 6, it would be best to exclude these marketplace sales.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/kMcJi66.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13596693734 - 6 keys

Sales at:

5

6 (2x)

7 (2x)

Only just realised I have a bit of a streak with this item now

Keeping 7 in the range, we have to pure sales at 7. Shouldn’t counter it with the lone seller at 6.

Nothing countering 5, keeping 5.

Taking 5-7.