Sale 1:

Sold for 43 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097966169#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060734100#!/compare/1728864000/1728950400

https://backpack.tf/item/14940689277

= 43 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for a Potassium Bonnet (~33.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077691964#!/compare/1729296000/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157642475#!/compare/1729382400/1730246400

https://backpack.tf/item/12443406953

IDs match. Trade occurred when histories were broken and wouldn’t update, so the seller doesn’t appear on the Bonnet’s history despite it clearly being in their backpack.

= 34 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Butterfly Season Brand Loyalist (28) + 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198807571582#!/compare/1730937600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1730937600/1731456000

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998

Nothing suggests the 6 keys on the buyer’s end were involved. However, if I am wrong, this sale still ends up falling into the range

The 6 keys were added, Cheerio confirms.

= 28 34 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 27 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082464434#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

= 27 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a buy order for 25 keys (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242235438#!/compare/1728604800/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1730073600/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/item/9542097610

Seller spent 12 keys on an unusual that was on scrap.tf. The 12 keys on the buyer’s end that match with the scrap.tf bot were involved.

= 25 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071915251#!/compare/1731628800/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1731801600/1731888000

https://backpack.tf/item/13982043843

12 keys match

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334727790#!/compare/1729555200/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057040433#!/compare/1729468800/1729555200

https://backpack.tf/item/13960348186

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410895925#!/compare/1730592000/1732060800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383116725#!/compare/1732060800/1732147200

https://backpack.tf/item/10090549006

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911471#!/compare/1728604800/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

https://backpack.tf/item/9831212581

Through manual digging, I could only find 15 items (most likely keys) that matched

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740277

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740269

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740264

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740260

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740256

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740252

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740248

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740245

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740241

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740233

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740227

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740226

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740220

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740217

https://backpack.tf/item/15019740213

It may very well have sold for 15, the bot sold the taunt after owning it for like an hour, and this was when the update was new, so the prices are likely despite what buyers are up to now.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410895925#!/compare/1728691200/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383116725#!/compare/1728691200/1729382400

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998

Untraceable/Bulk-ish

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/wF220nc.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13982043843 - 60 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7167467998 - 100 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11110643771 - 150 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14940689277 - 200 keys

Sales at:

25

27

28

34 (2x)

43

Buyer at 27, next couple buyers at 24. Not willing to exclude 27, but I will exclude 25.

As much as 43 may look like an outlier, I’m not willing to exclude it given the buyers on the rise, approaching the low-end. Keeping 43.

Taking 27-43 keys.