Sale 1:

Sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199404613022#!/compare/1731974400/1732060800 - Near ID: 15156094309

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867208675#!/compare/1731974400/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/item/14167174163

= 8 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199406689364#!/compare/1732838400/1732924800

https://backpack.tf/item/5639862530

= 8 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142217308#!/compare/1725926400/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138830828#!/compare/1650067200/1731369600

https://backpack.tf/item/14323538257

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145268525#!/compare/1731801600/1731974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199404613022#!/compare/1731628800/1731801600

https://backpack.tf/item/14167174163

Likely backpack transfer

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199058006997#!/compare/1729468800/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059795013#!/compare/1729382400/1729468800

https://backpack.tf/item/14089964094

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346086821#!/compare/1724112000/1728691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109952118#!/compare/1727481600/1727568000

https://backpack.tf/item/14061527749

Untraceable, 17 ref matches

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044087222#!/compare/1729036800/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/item/13153965264

Untraceable, ~30 ref matches

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199404613022#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1726358400/1726444800

https://backpack.tf/item/6791137815

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105245989#!/compare/1729468800/1729728000 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1730505600/1730592000

https://backpack.tf/item/4388700645

Untraceable, most likely a backpack buy

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1727308800/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095297277#!/compare/1727308800/1727395200

https://backpack.tf/item/3299246718

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162810120#!/compare/1730851200/1731024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191744974#!/compare/1730851200/1730937600

https://backpack.tf/item/3289146515

Bulk

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191744974#!/compare/1732924800/1733011200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421652838#!/compare/1732924800/1733011200

https://backpack.tf/item/3289146515

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098725833#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198449884287#!/compare/1729555200/1729728000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fountain%20of%20Delight%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party&at=2024-12-15T13:17:36.941Z - labelled as 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3269397043

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163665060#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/item/3269206656

Untraceable, some metal matches

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

https://backpack.tf/item/3269206656

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968255747#!/compare/1732147200/1733788800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fountain%20of%20Delight%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party&at=2024-12-15T13:17:36.941Z - labelled as 7 keys + 42 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/5639862530

Buyer is untraceable, most likely from a bot owned by this account

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199406689364#!/compare/1733097600/1733184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1733097600/1733184000

https://backpack.tf/item/5639862530

Bulk to STN, follows the 2nd 8 key sale in Sale 2

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1733702400/1733788800 - Near ID: 15218767974

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968255747#!/compare/1732147200/1733788800

https://backpack.tf/item/5639862530

7 keys match, most likely missing a large sum of metal that brings this closer to 8 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/12990986024 - marketplace/mannco

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30570;5;u3005

The only in-date one is the $23.99 sale on September 25th. This’ll be too high given current sellers. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/4UGqhxv.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13153965264 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9175914707 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3269206656 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3289146515 - ~9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6791137815 - ~9.7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4674802721 - ~11.3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14061527749 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5639862530 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4388700645 - marketplace

Sales at:

8 (2x)

Not too keen on excluding a potential sale at 9 keys (#11). Willing to wait a while for another sale. For now, I’ll go through with 8 keys.