Shadow wizard suggestion gang

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/14429287430

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988768189#!/compare/1729987200/1731974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1729987200/1730073600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1729900800/1729987200

401 keys 192 ref come back into the bots inventory

Could have been dumped to STN by the bot owner and then the subsequent keys were redeposited to the bot

Leaving out for the time being

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198965166014#!/compare/1730764800/1730851200

Untrace, some key amount

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/12894843372

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1731974400/1732060800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108148388#!/compare/1731974400/1732060800

Sold for:

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Australium Minigun - https://prnt.sc/U0Gaig5zpA7j - 41 key buyers

Voices from Below + Spectral Spectrum The Bruiser's Bandanna

Spectral Spectrum Bill's Hat

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Eyelander - https://prnt.sc/5ruL9m_7ekBf - 79 key buyers

Strange Festivized Killstreak Australium Scattergun - https://prnt.sc/FY_A0_gX4dyC - 40 key buyers

Astral Presence Taunt: Mannrobics - https://prnt.sc/Xj9GD3pysxqU - 65 key buyers

Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Huntsman - https://prnt.sc/10fHATzX8VuD - 71 key buyers

Scorching Flames Universal Translator - https://prnt.sc/MTiFNBRiOym7 - 120 key buyers

Strange Festivized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher - https://prnt.sc/Yk1xZomXK5Lp - 46 key buyers

Cool Festivized Professional Killstreak Frosty Delivery Shotgun (Factory New)

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Australium Medi Gun - https://prnt.sc/wrJkfqZefuGo - 77 key buyers

https://backpack.tf/item/10237340266 - only other recent sale on that Shotgun is on Mannco for $100 and then $249.99

Unfortunately this is definitely a good 15% of the overall value of the above trade but it likely capped at a supposed buyout that Clyde had

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Nebula%20Universal%20Translator/673b87ad9fec9f555707da28

https://prnt.sc/Q-WNYw6u4UCI - screenshot of next snapshots

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6721a530e09fd3a880098e46 - keys average at 59.165 ref

28399.20 / 59.165 = 480 keys

Using buyers as above:

41 + 79 + 40 + 65 + 71 + 120 + 46 + 77 = 539 keys

Capping this massive sale at 480 keys, sale was likely way higher

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/10182990445

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165748608#!/compare/1726790400/1733961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385727483#!/compare/1726963200/1730592000

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385727483#!/compare/1733961600/1734048000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198941816254#!/compare/1733529600/1734048000

459 keys match ID

https://backpack.tf/item/3842868363

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1733875200/1733961600

1400 keys match for the Orbiting Planets VVF

1860 keys leave buyers inventory

Treating as 460 keys flat

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9958927248

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1733875200/1733961600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199048223049#!/compare/1733961600/1734048000

433 keys match ID, 384 keys leave buyers inv

Treating as 433 for time being

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/9045127786

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

Upgraded to GPan

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199056868640#!/compare/1729641600/1729728000

Added:

69 keys

for

Scorching Flames Hong Kong Cone

Hmm, will circle back on this

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/8678569873

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1726444800/1726531200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1727654400/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057876338#!/compare/1727740800/1727654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057876338#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1727827200/1727740800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057876338#!/compare/1727740800/1727827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057876338#!/compare/1727913600/1728000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1727913600/1728000000

Untrace / gamba

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199652290612#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253519146#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253519146#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199689320778#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

Untrace

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199689320778#!/compare/1728086400/1728172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1728000000/1728086400

Where did it appear, untrace

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1728345600/1728432000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1728432000/1728345600

Untrace?

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1731024000/1731110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109449429#!/compare/1730332800/1731110400

Sold for:

Burning Flames Hunter in Darkness

Sunbeams Company Man

Cool Seriously Snowed War Paint (Field-Tested) - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/671c8665ab123f581e03662c - 35 keys welcome back extazi

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109449429#!/compare/1731196800/1731283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020563419#!/compare/1731110400/1731283200

Added:

Strange Phantom Plague Twisted Topper

for

Rotten Orange Footprints Burning Flames Grenadier's Softcap

Unusuable, also this the one that got offered on my frost boa which caused me to update this so i get to reprice my hat up!!!!

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/8513584942

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182862426#!/compare/1729728000/1729814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051888880#!/compare/1729641600/1729814400

121 keys match ID

400 keys leave buyers inventory

Taking as 400 keys flat

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/8305650789

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198386047762#!/compare/1728777600/1728864000

Marketplace?

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/8041603431

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199121191957#!/compare/1726704000/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057431183#!/compare/1726963200/1727049600

418 keys match ID?

418 dubious, but treating as 418 keys

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/8034948540

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381457954#!/compare/1729036800/1729123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1728950400/1729036800

Added:

Strange Scorching Flames Law

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher

Max's Severed Head

Bubbling Hat With No Name

for

Burning Flames Killer Exclusive

Would be better used over on the BF KE

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1733011200/1733097600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104872642#!/compare/1733011200/1733097600

Untrace

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/7959151554

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207737423#!/compare/1726617600/1726876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088742736#!/compare/1726876800/1726963200

Untrace

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088742736#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1728172800/1728259200

Added:

Abduction Corona Australis

for

Strange Professional Killstreak Golden Frying Pan

Nuts, excluding due to bulk

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/7948466973

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046588996#!/compare/1728259200/1728345600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047819527#!/compare/1728259200/1728345600

Bulk

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047819527#!/compare/1730592000/1730764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087195582#!/compare/1730678400/1730764800

Sold for:

Haunting Haze Caribou Companion

Mann Co. Supply Crate Key

The Head Prize

Spectral Fire Bat Hat

Cuban Smoke Classy Capper - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/672adf2cbf2a692a5b0c0817 - 101 keys

Blizzardy Storm Pencil Pusher - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66d80d17bb00d15fb80023ed - 270 keys

Bounty Hat

A Distinctive Lack of Hue The All-Father

An Extraordinary Abundance of Tinge Dead of Night

A Distinctive Lack of Hue Villain's Veil

Non-Craftable Conscientious Objector

With the Caribou buyers, this sale is above 400 keys

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087195582#!/compare/1731456000/1731542400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1731456000/1731542400

Added:

Galactic Gateway Highway Star

for

Pumpkin Moon Hunter in Darkness

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1731888000/1731974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092249751#!/compare/1731888000/1731974400

Sold for:

Burning Flames Hong Kong Cone

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/7506324602

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094997661#!/compare/1726790400/1726876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212086448#!/compare/1726790400/1726876800

Untrace

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212086448#!/compare/1726963200/1727049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1726963200/1727049600

Untrace

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1729555200/1729641600

Bulk for GPan - same as Sale 8

Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081361662#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928854556#!/compare/1729814400/1729900800

Sold for:

DUPED Scorching Flames Backwards Ballcap

Green Energy Calamitous Cauldron

37 keys

Sale 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928854556#!/compare/1730246400/1730419200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045800143#!/compare/1730419200/1730505600

Sold for:

Fountain of Delight Taunt: Conga

Pastel Trance Taunt: Scorcher's Solo

Non-Craftable Duck Journal - immediately sold for 13 keys 2.11 ref

The Taunt: The Shred Alert - immediately sold for 3 keys 2.33 ref

Taunt: Mourning Mercs - immediately sold for 2 keys 25 ref

Taunt: Rancho Relaxo - immediately sold for 2 keys 3.11 ref

394 keys

394 + 13 + 3 + 2 + 2 = 414 keys + adds

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/7235479925

Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109901645#!/compare/1729123200/1732579200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220121581#!/compare/1704326400/1732579200

18 keys match ID

https://backpack.tf/item/13884650712

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1732492800/1732579200

300 keys match for the North Star Mean Captain

https://backpack.tf/item/1184606915

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142120893#!/compare/1732406400/1732579200

109 keys match for the Exorcism Strange Professional Killstreak Frying Pan

18 + 300 + 109 = 427 keys

Treating as 427 keys

Item 15

https://backpack.tf/item/7210054536

Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252999692#!/compare/1726531200/1726617600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869766#!/compare/1726531200/1726617600

405 keys match

Sale 34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869766#!/compare/1733184000/1733270400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1733184000/1733270400

415 keys match

Item 16

https://backpack.tf/item/7140057408

Sale 35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028151043#!/compare/1732233600/1732320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408282766#!/compare/1732233600/1732320000

400 keys match

Sale 36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408282766#!/compare/1732752000/1732924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263190057#!/compare/1732752000/1732924800

461 keys match

Item 17

https://backpack.tf/item/6945612006

Sale 37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133625910#!/compare/1729123200/1729209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042814895#!/compare/1729123200/1729209600

445 keys leave buyers inv

Item 18

https://backpack.tf/item/6942767677

Sale 38

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331733191#!/compare/1726704000/1727222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130707664#!/compare/1726617600/1726704000

Untrace

Sale 39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1730246400/1730160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353460550#!/compare/1730160000/1730246400

Thanks Moder for publicly screenshotting these at the time...

https://imgur.com/a/NjlZzWn

Bought for 410 keys 2.55 ref

Sold for 449 keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Nebula%20Universal%20Translator&at=2024-12-15T23:15:10.781Z

My guess is Capi's bot picked this history up so quickly for 410 keys 2.33 ref so that's another sale

Sale 40

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353460550#!/compare/1731715200/1731801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1731628800/1731715200

Oh, bulk bp sale

Sale 41

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1731888000/1731974400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367452110#!/compare/1731369600/1732579200

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30658;5;u99

Sep 16th - $775 / $1.89 = 410.05 keys

Sep 28th - $849.99 / $1.87 = 454.54 keys

Nov 22nd - $899.99 / $1.79 = 502.79 keys

Nov 28th - $899.99 / $1.79 = 502.79 keys

Sales

401?

480 [Capped]

460

433

+69 for SF HKC

BF Hunter + Sunbeams Company Man + Cool Seriously Snowed War Paint (FT)

400

418

400+

+ Galactic Gateway Highway Star for PMoon Hunter

BF HKC

DUPED SF Ballcap + GE Calamitous + 37

414 + FoD Conga + Pastel Trance Scorcher's Solo

427

405

415

400

461

445

410

449

410

410

455

503

503

Hmmph

Current listings

https://prnt.sc/qWG_fRkBF-56

https://backpack.tf/item/7210054536 - Bot at 480 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9032508783 - 13 days at 480 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9000290919 - 9 days at 480 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6747244553 - 3 months at 500 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7235479925 - 19 days at 600 keys

Buyers are floating at:

410 keys

405 keys

400 keys

370 keys

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual%20Nebula%20Universal%20Translator

https://prnt.sc/6_nw24tC1rkP - STN with a punchy 415 key buy order here

Concluding thoughts

Have not fully mini'd some of these sales, plenty of pure sales to take from, in my opinion (totally not because it's late on a Sunday night and I have work tomorrow) I think a range can be argued using just the pure sales and semi-mini'd sales I've provided.

That being said, I also think mini-ing some of the unusuals would be pointless because they would mostly fall above 500 in this instance which would either cause those sales to fall out of the range over here or alternatively, not contribute to the range over at the other unusual that sold for the Nebula UT. (Also called being lazy)

Let's go with excluding the 2 ~500 key marketplace sales.

Let's consider just the pure sales that are majority pure or cash:

401?

460

433

400

418

414 + small unusual taunts (~30 keys)

427

405

415

400

461

445

410

449

410

410

455

Ordering this gives us the following sales:

400

400

401?

405

410

410

410

414 + small unusual taunts (~30 keys)

415

418

427

433

445

449

455

460

461

Based on this info, I feel like we can just go with 415 - 461 keys here because the only 480 key sale that we saw was insanely capped from at least 650 keys+

Running with that, please call me lazy in the replies thank you 🙏🙏