Sale 1:

Sold for 28 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1737417600/1737504000 - Near ID: 15381441904

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068543310#!/compare/1737417600/1737504000

https://backpack.tf/item/15355379333

= 28 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1735948800/1736553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174579733#!/compare/1736553600/1736640000

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

= 27 keys

Sale 3:

Most likely sold for 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138032580#!/compare/1731369600/1734307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1733356800/1733443200

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

= 26 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u336

https://backpack.tf/item/14985935273

Couldn’t find other history

$79.99, December 25th, Jan 7th & 18th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.80, December 25th

$1.78, Jan 7th & 18th

79.99/1.8 = 44.439, rounds to 44

79.99/1.78 = 44.938, rounds to 45

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198951222819#!/compare/1735689600/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1735516800/1735689600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cuban%20Smoke%20Commonwealth%20Commando&at=2025-02-10T12:22:55.573Z - labelled as 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14915378118

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069003702#!/compare/1729468800/1736294400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cuban%20Smoke%20Commonwealth%20Commando&at=2025-02-10T12:22:55.573Z - labelled as 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14915378118

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198851597200#!/compare/1734220800/1734307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199274670185#!/compare/1736035200/1736121600

https://backpack.tf/item/14901288449

SCM, can’t tell how much for, too many sales at the time

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086466315#!/compare/1734220800/1736208000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1734307200/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/item/14891738892

Bulk/untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1734307200/1734393600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093317056#!/compare/1728432000/1734480000

https://backpack.tf/item/14891738892

6 different unusual pool parties match on the seller’s end, another 2 match on the buyer’s end, and the buyer also used another pool party unusualifier. It’s likely that more were involved. Additionally, this is an STN sale, so I can’t confirm a B/O, which this will almost certainly exceed. Excluding this sale.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100714149#!/compare/1736812800/1736812800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322515073#!/compare/1736208000/1737158400

https://backpack.tf/item/14859684539

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199473321004#!/compare/1738195200/1738627200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199775742744#!/compare/1738540800/1738627200

https://backpack.tf/item/14833799104

Sold with a Beams Sack for 60 keys

Bulk, excluding.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1734998400/1735084800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099078050#!/compare/1734220800/1735084800

https://backpack.tf/item/14833765647

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198904898274#!/compare/1736812800/1738454400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1736985600/1737158400

https://backpack.tf/item/14804219121

Bulk

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009309781#!/compare/1735516800/1735603200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154604316#!/compare/1735862400/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/item/14710104151

Unusable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154604316#!/compare/1735948800/1736035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100160026#!/compare/1735862400/1735948800

https://backpack.tf/item/14710104151

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100160026#!/compare/1736812800/1736899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062670918#!/compare/1736899200/1736985600

https://backpack.tf/item/14710104151

Untraceable

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199174579733#!/compare/1736726400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210343371#!/compare/1736726400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210343371#!/compare/1736726400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279190118#!/compare/1736726400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

Most likely gambled

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279190118#!/compare/1736899200/1736985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269783569#!/compare/1730332800/1737417600

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

More gambling

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269783569#!/compare/1730332800/1737417600 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199195033718#!/compare/1738281600/1738368000

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376

Bulk, untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198375593197#!/compare/1736294400/1736380800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962267160#!/compare/1736380800/1737763200

https://backpack.tf/item/14693595300

Untraceable

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962267160#!/compare/1738368000/1738454400 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1738454400/1738540800

https://backpack.tf/item/14693595300

Untraceable, likely backpack buy

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/o9Lz6HX.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14693279376 - 48 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14859684539 - 50 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14693595300 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14932319063 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14861354394 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/14804219121 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/15355379333 - marketplace

Buyer at 26 keys

Sales at:

26

27

28

44 (marketplace)

45 (marketplace)

High-end is supported by a likely sale at 40 keys (#2). Keeping 44 and 45.

Buyer at 26 keys. Excluding 26.

Taking 27-45 keys.