Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u336

https://backpack.tf/item/14861354394

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/29/25

$79.99 / $2.01 (median value at the time) = 39.8

Rounding to 40

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u336

https://backpack.tf/item/14772980837

Marketplace.tf sale on 7/14/25

$65.00 / $2.02 (median value at the time) = 32.2

Rounding to 32

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15668272532

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15554092034

27 keys 51 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1745452800/1745539200 (ID: 15674151523)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1745452800/1745539200

Rounding to 28

Quicksell to bot

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15554092034

33 keys 19.77 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1746316800/1746403200 (ID: 15707851952)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083901668#!/compare/1746316800/1746403200

Rounding to 33

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/15483878924

29 keys 30.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1746230400/1746316800 (ID: 15704106923)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116184902#!/compare/1744675200/1746748800

Rounding to 29

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/15483878924

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116184902#!/compare/1749859200/1750032000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/15483878924

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Dapper Noel + Crushing Defeat Unusualifer

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400 (ID: 15859021883)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150028800#!/compare/1749686400/1752710400

Dapper Noel has buyers at 23 and sellers at 24. Crushing Defeat Taunt has buyers at 3 and sellers at 4. Just gonna take buy orders since this is probably unusable anyways.

23 + 3 = 26

26

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14810271792

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148895789#!/compare/1715040000/1745971200

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/14745291992

Cashout

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1748995200/1750032000

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/14745291992

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/14694282618

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198981913112#!/compare/1747785600/1748908800

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/14694282618

29 keys 25.66 ref

Confirmed by gladiator.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cuban%20Smoke%20Commonwealth%20Commando&at=2025-07-22T20:40:30.114Z

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198981913112#!/compare/1751587200/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198981913112#!/compare/1750809600/1751587200

Rounding to 29

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/14694282618

29 keys 25.77 ref

Confirmed by gladiator.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Cuban%20Smoke%20Commonwealth%20Commando&at=2025-07-22T20:40:30.114Z

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993422884#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

Rounding to 29

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/14694282618

27 keys 29.22 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600 (ID: 15899230648)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

Rounding to 27

Quicksell to STN

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/14694282618

History doesn't match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1752451200/1752537600

Current sellers:

$63.99 on mp.tf (5x)

$65.00 on mannco.store

$1150.00 on SCM

30.88 keys on bp.tf

34 keys on bp.tf (2x)

30 keys 40 ref on STN

Sales: 40, 32, 28 (qs), 33, 29, 26 (poorly mini'd unusuals), 29, 29, 27 (qs)

Not using the 26 key sale since it's lower than the rest, and isn't pure (while all the other ones are). 40 is very high. I will include the lower sales to buy orders considering there are several of them and they help give a good range that accounts for price fluctuation. To balance it out, I will include up to 32 in order to help the range.

Final price: 27 - 32