Sale 1:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382376293#!/compare/1733616000/1733961600 - Near ID: 15213903742

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076239522#!/compare/1727654400/1735344000

https://backpack.tf/item/14870968552

= 15 keys

Sale 2:

Most likely sold for 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1733356800/1733443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079764636#!/compare/1733356800/1733443200

https://backpack.tf/item/14701909861

https://i.imgur.com/fXSyNT3.png - item was indeed listed for 12 keys

= 12 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u346

$27, Jan 1st & March 1st

https://backpack.tf/item/15272135021 - most likely March 1st

Couldn’t find the other history

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

$1.80, Jan 1st

$1.83, March 1st

27/1.8 = 15 keys

27/1.83 = 14.754, rounds to 15 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840100265#!/compare/1736726400/1736812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355443649#!/compare/1736294400/1736899200

https://backpack.tf/item/14748440585

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355443649#!/compare/1736899200/1737072000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1736812800/1736899200

https://backpack.tf/item/14748440585

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198806971013#!/compare/1731369600/1741132800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536459741#!/compare/1738281600/1738368000

https://backpack.tf/item/14712422025

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198408623480#!/compare/1735862400/1736035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1735776000/1735862400

https://backpack.tf/item/15312244246

Bulk/untraceable. Following sale on the same item is also untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047141747#!/compare/1734652800/1734825600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1734739200/1734825600

https://backpack.tf/item/15272135021

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14950457913 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/14938982694 - scammer

https://backpack.tf/item/14710717236 - skinport

https://backpack.tf/item/14705692896 - untraceable, probably bot flip

https://backpack.tf/item/14699393428 - more cs site shenanigans

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/J3wNZT3.png

https://backpack.tf/item/14726390645 - 20 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14813886942 - 20 keys

Highest buyer at ~12.2 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31459;5;u346

https://backpack.tf/item/14927150550 - $27 (~15 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/14841568277 - $27 (~15 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/14712422025 - $27 (~15 keys)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Commonwealth%20Commando?filter=butterfly

https://i.imgur.com/RlAxFvQ.png

$51.67 AUD

$52.05 AUD

$54.54 AUD

$77.52 AUD

$92.57 AUD

$142.54 AUD

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://i.imgur.com/cwAs1jR.png

Keys are currently ~$3.52

51.67/3.52 = 14.679

52.05/3.52 = 14.787

The rest don’t matter, not gonna bother calculating lol

Sales at:

12

15 (3x, 2 marketplace)

Buyers at 12, excluding 12.

Taking 15 flat.