Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u364

Marketplace.tf sale on 3/20/25

$19.99 / $1.88 (median value at the time) = 10.6

Rounding to 11

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u364

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/5/25

$19.99 / $1.89 (median value at the time) = 10.6

Rounding to 11

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15503162521

7 keys and 5 ref, I think

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041980297#!/compare/1746230400/1746316800

Rounding to 7

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15470597851

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198892873587#!/compare/1740528000/1740614400

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/15460845400

Not sure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1743120000/1743292800

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/15460845400

Bulk for a Steaming Virtual Viewfinder

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1743379200/1743465600

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/15460845400

Instantly quicksold, unknown amount

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516139105#!/compare/1743465600/1743552000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Included in item trade for lots of unpriced stuff that is too much effort to be worth mining

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321499430#!/compare/1740182400/1740268800

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Included with about ~8 keys of items for an aussie spec ks wrench (30)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321499430#!/compare/1740268800/1741564800

30 - 8 = 22. Might be missing info here as compare links don't add up cleanly

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1740096000/1740268800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198926403849#!/compare/1739923200/1740614400

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070622649#!/compare/1740355200/1740528000

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Crimbo + Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Doctor's Defibrillators (2.5) for Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Spy-cicle with exorcism

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Spy-cicle with exorcism mini

1:1 for an Uber Blaze Bombard Brigadier (13)

Spy-cicle is 13 then

13 - 2.5 = 10.5

Rounding to 11

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048726105#!/compare/1740528000/1740787200

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Screaming Tiger Taunt: Killer Joke + Strange KS Scattergun w/ Dominations + 4 keys 22 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336315504#!/compare/1740528000/1740614400

Can be used to price the taunt

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/15445856244

Aces High Hephaistos' Handcraft

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336315504#!/compare/1740614400/1740960000

Aces High Hephaistos' Handcraft mini

https://backpack.tf/item/7982776068

9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336315504#!/compare/1740960000/1741046400

Calling it 9

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/15440317901

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198941041593#!/compare/1739750400/1740960000

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/15440317901

Unsure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219027272#!/compare/1739750400/1739923200

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/15440317901

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219027272#!/compare/1740268800/1740355200

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/15438123457

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199182106293#!/compare/1735689600/1739059200

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/15416190894

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976947348#!/compare/1739836800/1739836800/nearest

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/15416190894

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442162119#!/compare/1744502400/1744588800

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/15323124681

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1740096000/1740268800

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/15323124681

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1740355200/1740528000

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/15323124681

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014383676#!/compare/1740441600/1740960000

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/15308427447

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024630635#!/compare/1740960000/1741046400

Sale #27

https://backpack.tf/item/15308427447

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101939627#!/compare/1742774400/1744416000

Sale #28

https://backpack.tf/item/15307063102

6 keys 47 ref

Rounding to 6.5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928314206#!/compare/1741392000/1741478400

Sale #29

https://backpack.tf/item/15304682834

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054159742#!/compare/1745539200/1746230400

Sale #30

https://backpack.tf/item/15304277301

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199378610859#!/compare/1741305600/1742083200

Sale #31

https://backpack.tf/item/15292561622

Crimbo + Smoking Commonwealth Commando + 3 keys for smoking Backwar's Ballcap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004739500#!/compare/1738800000/1739318400

No mini for commonwealth commando

Sale #32

https://backpack.tf/item/15292561622

Bulk for a Smoking Cold Killer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199162213236#!/compare/1739318400/1739491200

Sale #33

https://backpack.tf/item/15292561622

Crimbo + Nuts n' Bolts Fire Fighter + ~5 keys for a Miami Nights Daring Dell

Nuts n' Bolts Fire Fighter mini

https://backpack.tf/item/10112784997

3 keys + Damage Dealt Part (7.5) + 23 ref = ~11 keys

Rounding to 11

Miami Nights Daring Dell mini

https://backpack.tf/item/15185255720

Refracting Fractals Throttlehead (recently priced at 15) + ~4 keys = 19

19 - 11 - 5 = 3 keys

Taking 3 (lol)

Sale #34

https://backpack.tf/item/15272912558

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442162119#!/compare/1743120000/1743292800

Sale #35

https://backpack.tf/item/15253356658

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098415136#!/compare/1745280000/1745366400

Sale #36

https://backpack.tf/item/15253356658

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111658162#!/compare/1746057600/1746144000

Sale #37

https://backpack.tf/item/15226446183

9 keys & 16 ref for Crimbo + Autumn Leaves Taunt: The Head Doctor (mp.tf sale at around 2.5)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043776035#!/compare/1744243200/1744502400

Rounding to 7

Current sellers:

$19.99 on mp.tf (5x)

9.27 keys on bp.tf

9.48 keys on bp.tf

$17.73 on SCM

$17.71 on SCM

$17.91 on SCM (x2)

$18.00 on SCM

$18.41 on SCM

$19.97 on SCM

$19.98 on SCM

$22.00 on SCM

$23.60 on SCM

Sales: 11, 11, 7, 22, 11, 9, 6.5, 3, 7

22 is obviously an extreme outlier, along with 3. It's kind of a fat range for a cheap hat but I think the sales and sellers do indicate that 7-11 is the best price

Going with 7 - 11