Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u364

https://backpack.tf/item/15240954144

mp.tf sale on 3/16/26

$17.99 / $1.90 = 9.47

Rounding to 9.5

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u364

mp.tf sale on 4/6/26

$17.99 / $1.97 = 9.13

Rounding to 9

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u364

mp.tf sale on 4/30/26

$14.99 / $2.00 = 7.49

Rounding to 7.5

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/16781705345

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198989029532#!/compare/1772668800/1772841600

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/16741650433

qs

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045883624#!/compare/1773792000/1774224000

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

Bunch of item slop

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059155350#!/compare/1772496000/1774396800

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1776988800/1777075200 (ID: 16962433288)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978108615#!/compare/1776988800/1777075200

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978108615#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

6 keys 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302399911#!/compare/1777161600/1777248000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199352041#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600

Confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sizzling%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-05-05T18:43:09.120Z

Rounding to 6

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199352041#!/compare/1777075200/1777248000

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/16684926445

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088591924#!/compare/1777161600/1777248000

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15900649567

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199542409128#!/compare/1774396800/1774483200

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15799059839

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205383525#!/compare/1771804800/1771891200

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/15799059839

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119132244#!/compare/1773360000/1773532800

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/15799059839

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141403821#!/compare/1777766400/1777852800

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/15771954839

6 keys 24.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121233603#!/compare/1773792000/1774051200 (ID: 16834201263)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1773705600/1773792000

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sizzling%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-05-05T18:43:09.120Z

Rounding to 6.5

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/15707980984

dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199242261287#!/compare/1775347200/1775692800

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/15707980984

6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485225128#!/compare/1776297600/1776384000 (ID: 16936829741)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235746160#!/compare/1776297600/1776384000

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/15707980984

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235746160#!/compare/1776384000/1776470400

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/15707980984

6 keys ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500810413#!/compare/1776124800/1776470400

Rounding to 6

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/15694394872

6 keys 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873586908#!/compare/1775865600/1776124800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1775779200/1775865600

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sizzling%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-05-05T18:43:09.120Z

Rounding to 6

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/15671433747

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199045856071#!/compare/1771286400/1777334400

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/15622010206

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199435350224#!/compare/1771286400/1773878400

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/15440317901

7 keys 2.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996754917#!/compare/1765756800/1773187200 (ID: 16804410982)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1773100800/1773187200

Rounding to 7

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/15438123457

6 keys 16 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160710262#!/compare/1774828800/1774915200 (ID: 16872908600)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1774828800/1774915200

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sizzling%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-05-05T18:43:09.120Z

Rounding to 6.5

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/15416108364

6 keys 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139116062#!/compare/1773100800/1776297600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199028972562#!/compare/1775520000/1775606400

confirmed: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sizzling%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2026-05-05T18:43:09.120Z

Rounding to 6.5

Sale #27

https://backpack.tf/item/15308427447

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199209645193#!/compare/1768694400/1777766400

Sale #28

https://backpack.tf/item/15230157174

bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199632449278#!/compare/1771027200/1773100800

Sale #29

https://backpack.tf/item/15230157174

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1777075200/1777161600

Current sellers:

$17.99 on mp.tf (4x)

$19.99 on mp.tf

$19.82 on SCM

$22.92 on SCM (3x)

$25.99 on SCM

$37.44 on SCM

6.81 keys on bp.tf (3x)

8.44 keys on bp.tf

9 keys on bp.tf

15 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 9.5, 9, 7.5, 6, 6, 6.5, 6, 6, 6, 7, 6.5, 6.5

Final price: 6 - 7