Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/12/25

$69.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 36.5

Rounding to 37

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15576670331 (maybe)

Marketplace.tf sale on 4/24/25

$69.99 / $1.89 (median value at the time) = ~37.0

Rounding to 37

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15573217091 (maybe)

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/24/25

$59.99 / $1.92 (median value at the time) = 31.2

Rounding to 31

Sale #4

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15494318811 (maybe)

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/25/25

$69.99 / $1.94 (median value at the time) = 30.9

Rounding to 31

Sale #5

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/26/25

$46.08 / $1.99 (median value at the time) = 23.2

Rounding to 23

Sale #6

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u369

Marketplace.tf sale on 6/27/25

$46.08 / $1.99 (median value at the time) = 23.2

Rounding to 23

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/15802110095

Untraceable dump to STN

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1750636800/1750723200

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/15638321954

Untraceable, resold same day

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/15638321954

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100385002#!/compare/1747440000/1749600000

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/15621872880

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012537041#!/compare/1744502400/1748908800

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/15621872880

Gambled?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126058118#!/compare/1744502400/1744934400

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/15621872880

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799060993#!/compare/1748131200/1748649600

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/15576670331

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836094761#!/compare/1744156800/1744243200

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/15573217091

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331546953#!/compare/1743724800/1747267200

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/15523327631

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448915279#!/compare/1746230400/1746489600

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/15494318811

Sold with 31.22 ref for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389133702#!/compare/1746316800/1746403200 (ID: 15703879705)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1746316800/1746403200

Should still round up to 17

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/15494318811

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1749254400/1749340800

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/15494318811

Sold for a Amethyst Winds Taunt: Mannrobics

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145462175#!/compare/1749340800/1749427200 (ID: 15818239622)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385138732#!/compare/1749254400/1749427200

-----

Amethyst Winds Taunt: Mannrobics mini

mini #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1162;5;u3073

Marketplace.tf sale on 5/08/25

$54.99 / $1.93 (median value at the time) = 28.5

Rounding to 29

mini #2

https://backpack.tf/item/11091000752

18 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1747785600/1747872000 (ID: 15761186434)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006499404#!/compare/1747267200/1747872000

mini #3

https://backpack.tf/item/11091000752

22 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122976167#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400 (ID: 15842637696)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199249352952#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400

taking average between 18 and 22, since the 29 key sale is countered by lower sellers

20

-----

Back to Sale #18

20

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/15478829350

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086802284#!/compare/1746489600/1747526400

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/15478829350

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086802284#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/15478829350

19 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198978468308#!/compare/1747785600/1749513600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199438386076#!/compare/1747699200/1747872000

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/15478829350

24 keys 11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1748822400/1748908800 (ID: 15801163946)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163354101#!/compare/1748822400/1748908800

Rounding to 24

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/15288683530

Untraceable, dumped to bots

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239650442#!/compare/1743638400/1747526400

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/15288683530

29 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1747526400/1747612800 (ID: 15750122072)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018960032#!/compare/1747267200/1747612800

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/15287412726

Untraceable, resold same day anyways

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102528696#!/compare/1735344000/1746230400

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/15287412726

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199823082839#!/compare/1745712000/1746230400

Sale #27

https://backpack.tf/item/15287270163

SCM?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133856770#!/compare/1743552000/1745020800

Sale #28

https://backpack.tf/item/15287270163

Bulk for a Scorching Flames Respectless Rubber Glove

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133856770#!/compare/1745452800/1745539200

Use there

Sale #29

https://backpack.tf/item/15287270163

Bulk for an Eyes of Molten Alakablamicon

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345447093#!/compare/1746576000/1746921600

Use there

Sale #30

https://backpack.tf/item/15287270163

21 keys + ~2.3 keys in sweets

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131440884#!/compare/1747094400/1747180800 (ID: 15735889212)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199293518291#!/compare/1747180800/1748044800

21 + 2.3 = ~23.30

Rounding to 23

Sale #31

https://backpack.tf/item/15287270163

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199242236197#!/compare/1747267200/1747353600

Sale #32

https://backpack.tf/item/15282801917

25 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115787417#!/compare/1748304000/1748563200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143683405#!/compare/1748304000/1748476800

Sale #33

https://backpack.tf/item/15272360859

Untraceable, dumped to STN

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133991629#!/compare/1745712000/1745798400

Sale #34

https://backpack.tf/item/15272360859

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1745884800/1745971200

Sale #35

https://backpack.tf/item/15272360859

Bulk?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140803713#!/compare/1747612800/1747699200

Sale #36

https://backpack.tf/item/15260375794

Untraceable, histories don't align

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132699658#!/compare/1750291200/1750550400

Sale #37

https://backpack.tf/item/15260375794

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132699658#!/compare/1750550400/1750809600

Sale #38

https://backpack.tf/item/15260375794

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205629231#!/compare/1750550400/1750723200

Sale #39

https://backpack.tf/item/15245210112

Dumped a bunch of hats to quicksell.store

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121966795#!/compare/1749686400/1750377600

Sale #40

https://backpack.tf/item/15245210112

22 keys (buyer quicksold war paint to STN, keys used to buy the hat, histories align)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1750377600/1750464000(ID: 15857612598)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359618264#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

Sale #41

https://backpack.tf/item/15237044505

Untraceable, keys reused too quickly

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1746489600/1746576000

Sale #42

https://backpack.tf/item/15237044505

Sold for a Vivid Plasma Crack Pot + 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191410787#!/compare/1747008000/1747180800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199447973300#!/compare/1747008000/1747180800

Better used to price the Crack Pot

Sale #43

https://backpack.tf/item/15230218706

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877320307#!/compare/1743897600/1743984000

Sale #44

https://backpack.tf/item/15230218706

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332655490#!/compare/1744848000/1745020800

Sale #45

https://backpack.tf/item/15230218706

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332655490#!/compare/1748390400/1748736000

Sale #46

https://backpack.tf/item/15226820473

Untraceable / cash

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252699432#!/compare/1747699200/1747785600

Sale #47

https://backpack.tf/item/15226820473

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085254124#!/compare/1747353600/1748131200

Sale #48

https://backpack.tf/item/15225612851

Untraceable, histories don't match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150930904#!/compare/1746748800/1746921600

Sale #49

https://imgur.com/a/42f3Kgq

SCM sale on 6/25/25

$59.00 = 26.0 keys

26 keys

Sale #50

https://imgur.com/a/Up4ImBI

SCM sale on 6/19/25

$38.99 = 17.18 keys

Rounding to 17

Sale #51

https://backpack.tf/item/15867836966

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390581262#!/compare/1568678400/1750636800

Sale #52

https://backpack.tf/item/15867836966

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018333134#!/compare/1750636800/1750723200

Gladiator.tf sales

24 keys @ 6/25/25

25 keys @ 5/29/25 (Sale #32)

20 keys 42 ref @ 5/04/25 (rounding to 21)

12 keys 50.44 ref @ 5/14/25 (rounding to 13)

20 keys 12 ref @ 5/03/25 (rounding to 20)

20 keys 12 ref @ 5/03/25 (rounding to 20)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Hot%20Spaniel&at=2025-06-27T16:24:56.402Z

Current sellers:

$49.93 on mp.tf

$79.99 on mp.tf (2x)

$94.99 on mp.tf

$45.99 on mannco.store

$50.85 on SCM

$60.00 on SCM

$65.00 on SCM

$69.84 on SCM

$81.36 on SCM

23 keys on bp.tf

24 keys on bp.tf

34 keys on bp.tf

35 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 37, 37, 31, 31, 23, 23, 17, 20, 19, 24, 29, 23, 25, 22, 26 (SCM), 17 (SCM), 24, 21, 13, 20, 20

37, 31, 29, 26, and 25 should be countered by numerous current lower unsolds. The 23 key listing is pretty new so shouldn't counter the 24 key sales. 13 is below buyers. 17 is disproportionately low.

Final price: 19 - 24