Price Suggestion
~100 keys
delightful doves
Unusual Shadow Shroud Delightful Doves
39 votes up
7 votes down
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Comments

I think they should give the doves throwing stars.


Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15783616599


Sale 1: Bought from STN for 95k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199833607098#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800


Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199833607098#!/compare/1750723200/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118583777#!/compare/1751241600/1751328000


Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/15059164725


Sale 1: Marketplace sale, Aug. 20th for $280

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31473;5;u359

$280/$1.84 per key = 152.17k, round to 152k


Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/15058881564


Sale 1: Sold alongside a Blizzardy Storm Prancer's Pride and 2 keys for a Nuts n' Bolts Le Party Phantom, which this is a mini for

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1753488000/1753660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037937903#!/compare/1753488000/1753660800


Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/15046421274


Sale 1: Sold alongside a Blizzardy Storm Herald's Helm and an Iconic Outline Taunt: Kazotsky Kick for a Ghosts of Smissmas Time Herald's Helm

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183617811#!/compare/1753920000/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1754006400/1754179200

Blizzardy HH is in-date at 60k, GoST HH is in-date at 223k, and this open suggestion for the Kazotsky prices it at 31.5k, which can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68b9bf7f5ff3cc81bd02b25a


223k - 60k - 31.5k = 131.5k for this sale


Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199273331599#!/compare/1749254400/1755043200


Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/15034889618


Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198439498211#!/compare/1751414400/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044201839#!/compare/1750118400/1753401600


Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/15007021753


Sale 1: Traded alongside a Dead Man's Party Taunt: The Crypt Creeper for a Hot Necromanced War Paint (Minimal Wear)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400


Mini for the Hot Necromanced War Paint (Minimal Wear) can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68b9c894b2350435690eab48

Taking 170 keys


Micro for the Dead Man's Party Taunt:


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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/13739784466


Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1753401600/1753488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137924934#!/compare/1753401600/1753488000


All other movements are bot deposits, or this sale.


Microing this at buy orders, given no valid movements in-date. Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/ce8pZVq

Taking 40 keys for this.


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War paint at 170k, taunt at 40k, 170 - 40 = 130k for the Shroud in this sale.


Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/15006907139


Ignoring first movement, as they're a marked scammer.


Sale 1: Sells alongside a Wintery Wisp Taunt: Second Rate Sorcery, Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Ambassador, a Strange Professional Killstreak Festive SMG, and a Professional Killstreak Conscientious Objector for a Celestial Summit Mean Captain

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207750538#!/compare/1750896000/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198003892814#!/compare/1750550400/1751068800


Micro for the Wintery Wisp Taunt: Second Rate Sorcery:


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No in-date sales, only movements are scammer related, this sale, and a Mannco bot deposit. Taking buy orders for this micro, which can be found here: https://imgur.com/a/PD2it8P

6 keys, 16.11 ref


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Micro for the Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Ambassador


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Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/7ruapxW


Buyers at 30.41, sellers at 31.75k, taking midpoint at 31.08k for this micro.


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Micro for the Strange Professional Killstreak Festive SMG


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Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/CMhnseZ


Buyers/sellers met at 7.18 keys, taking this as the micro value.


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Micro for the Professional Killstreak Conscientious Objector


Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/l4zR09r


Sellers at 5.89k, buyers are 4.69k, taking the midpoint at 5.29k for this micro.


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Mini for the Celestial Summit Mean Captain can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68b9e841797bb4230b097df7

Taking 140 keys for this.


Shroud + 6 keys, 16.11 ref + 31.08k + 7.18k + 5.29k for 140k hat.

140k - 5.29k - 7.18k - 31.08k = 96.45 keys, .45 keys at 52.72 key price currently is 23.72 ref, so 96 keys 23.72 ref, -6 keys 16.11 ref is 90 keys, 7.61 ref

Taking 90k for this sale.


Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/15006589501


Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139560938#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600


Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139560938#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600


Sale 3: 94k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1750896000/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262585528#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800


We reached the bottom!


Sales at 90k, 94k, 95k, 130k, 131.5k, 140k, 152k.


Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/9zzU1Gx


Buyers at 89.93k, and sellers at 125k, sellers exclude the sales of 130k, 131.5k, 140k, and 152k. Remaining sales are 90k, 94k, and 95k. Taking 90-95k as range.


    STN is currently buying for more than your low end, and if it goes up further might create more problems... ??


    I don't have experience with price suggestions and I do own one, but I think that this does potentially create an issue.. ?

      Since sellers have since gone up to 150k, should the original sales still be excluded due to the seller's price at the time? Sneaky Blinder mini puts that trade at 115k so it'll need a resuggest boosting the high-end, so it's looking like 90-115k~ right now (plus whatever the TF Logo LPP and RRSS come in at).

        worth seeing what the other sales add up to first.

        though, 152 would be high given sellers and i'm not seeing a sale at 140