scorching bonk boy + strange iso FT health and hell black box + collectors gunboats + collectors escape plan + tsfp twatt pullover + strange spec ks crossing guard
current market status suggests that 3850 is effectively max pure price currently and I'd argue 3800 is the cap currently due to seller pressure both here and mannco.
There is enough of a floor here to put this at 3550 in my opinion, especially considering a current marketplace seller at ~3607.
STN is buying for 3625 which would be bottom-middle of range, kolt has a buy order for $5800 zelle/paypal which at my key mini of 1.615 would be ~3591. It may be *slightly* low but I think it's better than taking 3645 for the low end here.
While there are a few sales here and there around the 3800-3850 range, there's too many sellers for me to justify including 3845 - this can go either way, but given that the 3845 pure sale that would make my high end of range happened almost exactly 2 months ago, I'm leaning towards excluding it here and taking the final range at 3550-3800 (rounded from 3806).
stn.tf is buying for 3725 keys not 3625. Your low-end is invalid.
also, mann.co sales will not be used in any suggestions.
1. stn.tf selling pans is nonfunctional, give it a try it will load infinitely
2. mann co sales are not being used in the suggestion, the low end of the range is based on a pure sale and the high end is based off a marketplace sale
can confirm I tried to sell a pan on stn for ages and it doesnt work at all.
Even if there weren't issues with selling pans to STN, the buy order isn't going to invalidate every sale below them, especially when half the sales are at or below that amount.
$6,500 when keys were $1.85 = 3513.51 keys. Lower than this price suggestion.
Seller for $6750 on mp, which taking current key prices ($1.85) is about ~3650 keys. There is also another seller at 3770, along with a bunch of unsolds at 3800. I think the high end will end up being too high. It’s probably better just to wait until the old price becomes outdated and then take 3 months of recent sales, because 12 (usable) sales is a pretty low amount of sales when pricing a golden pan
there is one seller at 3780 and unsolds at 3800 aren't enough to invalidate a high end at 3800
last 2 months only, taking pure/cash only for a total of 28 sales, 12 usable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198875667823#!/compare/1765065600/1765152000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600
untrace/private cash
https://backpack.tf/item/16192861998
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198810162785#!/compare/1762387200/1762646400
untrace/private inv
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037431291#!/compare/1761523200/1761782400
https://backpack.tf/item/16192861998
untrace/cash out
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152579551#!/compare/1762128000/1765152000
https://backpack.tf/item/16337954046
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060794131#!/compare/1765929600/1766016000
https://backpack.tf/item/16494468409
3750 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800
https://backpack.tf/item/15957830448
1200 pure + burning rack + burning hkc + hot BS skull cracked disciplinary action + chromatic all father + pro ks strange kritz + pro ks aussie medi
~3890
excluding due to item
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001812215#!/compare/1764028800/1764115200
bulk for neb spacemann
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1763856000/1764028800
https://backpack.tf/item/15746139276
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009914215#!/compare/1764115200/1764201600
https://backpack.tf/item/15746139276
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1761955200/1762128000
https://backpack.tf/item/15793760973
1250 pure + d@d brim + blizz yellow + scorching stash + bf crones + stunning thousand yard
excluding due to items
then involved a tradeback
https://backpack.tf/item/15793760973
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186212887#!/compare/1763510400/1763596800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1763424000/1763510400
https://backpack.tf/item/15793760973
i am not mini'ing 46 hats for a gpan sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1764028800/1764115200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140803713#!/compare/1763942400/1764201600
appears to be 3550
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1761523200/1761609600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852580246#!/compare/1761436800/1761523200
i think this is an alt transfer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852580246#!/compare/1761696000/1761782400
https://backpack.tf/item/15860439052
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1763251200/1763424000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084753472#!/compare/1763251200/1763596800
burning bonk boy + arcana hallmark - 100 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002492237#!/compare/1763078400/1763424000
https://backpack.tf/item/12754702642
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198689581#!/compare/1766361600/1766448000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1766361600/1766448000
adds for a bonzo gibus (no sales)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1761350400/1761523200
https://backpack.tf/item/15017276388
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1763769600/1764115200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393901214#!/compare/1763596800/1763769600
incomplete pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393901214#!/compare/1764720000/1764892800
bulk for sb war pig
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1765065600/1765152000
incomplete pure?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104147036#!/compare/1760745600/1761523200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066243501#!/compare/1761091200/1761523200
d@d vvf, used there already
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1764460800/1764547200
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/692cf6705c59c2f29606749b
gpan + 300 keys = blizz coffin, used there already
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062504534#!/compare/1764547200/1764633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034872201#!/compare/1764288000/1765411200
https://backpack.tf/item/13551152799
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357556140#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800
3845 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1764201600/1764288000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1764115200/1764201600
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995963729#!/compare/1764201600/1765497600
1 reclaimed metal.
probably cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1765670400/1765756800
https://backpack.tf/item/12581195807
bulk for knifestorm coffin
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051680717#!/compare/1758844800/1761609600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1761523200/1761609600
cash/untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1763251200/1763337600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1763164800/1763251200
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393901214#!/compare/1763769600/1764720000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1764374400/1764460800
adds for knifestorm kabuto, has no other sales
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393901214#!/compare/1764720000/1764892800
https://backpack.tf/item/10583179021
other pan used in spellbound war pig trade
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273331466#!/compare/1761350400/1761436800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346080922#!/compare/1761177600/1761436800
670 pure + dupe dbd antlers + frostbite ywn + burning hustlers + strange hot ww black dahlia pistol + strange hot ww wrapped reviver medi
excluding due to items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346080922#!/compare/1761782400/1762214400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178426383#!/compare/1762041600/1762300800
1130, incomplete pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178426383#!/compare/1764720000/1764806400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211109221#!/compare/1764720000/1765065600
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060126263#!/compare/1764806400/1764979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1764806400/1764892800
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996581311#!/compare/1764892800/1764979200
https://backpack.tf/item/4740161488
3575 keys total buyer side, using tentatively
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077555267#!/compare/1764806400/1764892800
db hellmet, can't use
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013245606#!/compare/1764892800/1764979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1764547200/1764633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112719176#!/compare/1763164800/1764806400
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1764028800/1764288000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081962061#!/compare/1764028800/1764288000
no mini on cv hellmet
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081962061#!/compare/1764288000/1764892800
https://backpack.tf/item/3484388876
cashout
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1764892800/1764979200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353683794#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600
assuming cash was involved as this is only ~2500 keys worth of stuff
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271894529#!/compare/1761955200/1762041600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086972914#!/compare/1761955200/1762041600
scorching bonk boy + strange iso FT health and hell black box + collectors gunboats + collectors escape plan + tsfp twatt pullover + strange spec ks crossing guard
black box has no sales or price
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1761436800/1762128000
adds for hpjr bonk boy, used there already
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1762473600/1762646400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1762560000/1762646400
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1763942400/1764028800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344154104#!/compare/1760054400/1766102400
untrace/cash
https://backpack.tf/item/7921393368
transferred to alt, I paid 3700 pure
https://gyazo.com/a67a4e51054a72ad8c3f31c30482341b
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
in summary
pure:
3550, 3575, 3700, 3750, 3845
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3
$7250 on 10/30 (1.854 avg) = 3940
$7450 on 11/1 (1.87) = 3984
$6500 on 11/15 (1.83) = 3552
$6888 on 12/2 (1.81) = 3806
$6950 on 12/12 (1.8) = 3861
including mannco sales here as I think they paint a better picture of the market than marketplace does
https://mannco.store/item/440-strange-professional-killstreak-golden-frying-pan
mannco:
10/23 3983, 4273×3, 4285, 4303, 4470
10/24 3743
10/28 3580
11/04 3541, 3730
11/05 3786
11/08 3832
11/09 4680
11/12 3515
11/29 3669
12/03 3846
12/04 3423
12/05 3846
12/06 3810
12/10 3735
12/15 3491, 3645×2
12/18 3853, 3882, 3941, 4117
12/21 3491
12/22 3811
https://gyazo.com/53ca9fbb74ee8ed3dc6837fa00f160fb
current market status suggests that 3850 is effectively max pure price currently and I'd argue 3800 is the cap currently due to seller pressure both here and mannco.
brackets around the mannco ones
[3423], [3491], [3491], [3515], [3541], 3550, 3552, 3575, [3580], 3645, 3645, [3669], 3700, [3730], [3735], [3743], 3750, [3786], 3806, [3810], [3811], [3832], 3845, [3846], [3846], [3853], 3861, [3882], 3940, [3941], [3983], 3984, [4117], [4273], [4273], [4273], [4285], [4303], [4470], [4680]
There is enough of a floor here to put this at 3550 in my opinion, especially considering a current marketplace seller at ~3607.
STN is buying for 3625 which would be bottom-middle of range, kolt has a buy order for $5800 zelle/paypal which at my key mini of 1.615 would be ~3591. It may be *slightly* low but I think it's better than taking 3645 for the low end here.
While there are a few sales here and there around the 3800-3850 range, there's too many sellers for me to justify including 3845 - this can go either way, but given that the 3845 pure sale that would make my high end of range happened almost exactly 2 months ago, I'm leaning towards excluding it here and taking the final range at 3550-3800 (rounded from 3806).
stn.tf is buying for 3725 keys not 3625. Your low-end is invalid.
proof: https://imgur.com/iua5FOu
also, mann.co sales will not be used in any suggestions.
1. stn.tf selling pans is nonfunctional, give it a try it will load infinitely
2. mann co sales are not being used in the suggestion, the low end of the range is based on a pure sale and the high end is based off a marketplace sale
can confirm I tried to sell a pan on stn for ages and it doesnt work at all.
Even if there weren't issues with selling pans to STN, the buy order isn't going to invalidate every sale below them, especially when half the sales are at or below that amount.
New sale:
https://backpack.tf/item/10441596464
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1071;11;kt-3
$6,500 when keys were $1.85 = 3513.51 keys. Lower than this price suggestion.
Seller for $6750 on mp, which taking current key prices ($1.85) is about ~3650 keys. There is also another seller at 3770, along with a bunch of unsolds at 3800. I think the high end will end up being too high. It’s probably better just to wait until the old price becomes outdated and then take 3 months of recent sales, because 12 (usable) sales is a pretty low amount of sales when pricing a golden pan
there is one seller at 3780 and unsolds at 3800 aren't enough to invalidate a high end at 3800