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https://backpack.tf/item/13150578163 - history #1
Sale #1 - untrace quicksale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047117990#!/compare/1766016000/1766275200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072632479#!/compare/1766016000/1766102400
Classi - https://gyazo.com/407b9cac4622316e8e39e818a66868a7
12/13/2025, - https://gyazo.com/bfb939ef0747387bcd72ea66af2ecbda - 2 for 58 keys.
12/22/2025, - https://gyazo.com/b28caca510b0da45c2739d70cb6c6ece - 1 for 53 keys, 1 for 58 keys.
1/4/2026, - https://gyazo.com/2ac77395df137a521e0a55bc2e1d1140 - 1 for 53 keys, 1 for 56 keys.
1/12/2026, - https://gyazo.com/21650abe46d41653f7ff7e61d465b5dc - 2 for 52.51 keys, 2 for 54~ keys.
----
Taking it at 53 keys as a b/o drop after rounding.
3 months later, nothing has changed. And I don't have premium to check for sales anymore. (oยดใฐ`o)
https://backpack.tf/item/16674808119
https://backpack.tf/item/12407071009
Thanks.
History #1 - https://backpack.tf/item/16674808119
Sale #1 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068076517#!/compare/1770163200/1774224000
Sale #2 - dumped to a bot for ? not sure as histories don't connect.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1771372800/1771545600
sale #3 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098551306#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538132413#!/compare/1772150400/1772668800
sale #4 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977721610#!/compare/1775088000/1775174400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538132413#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200
History #2 - https://backpack.tf/item/12407071009
Sale #1 - gamble
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193041274#!/compare/1768348800/1769817600
Sale #2 - gamble? The 50 does not connect.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193041274#!/compare/1770595200/1770681600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1770595200/1771200000
Sale #3 - gamble/untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026677103#!/compare/1771113600/1771804800
Sale #4 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026677103#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074986660#!/compare/1772236800/1772323200
Sale #5 - untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074986660#!/compare/1774915200/1775088000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199531944#!/compare/1775001600/1775088000
Sale 2:
36 keys @ 21/02/2026
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Smissmas%20Tree%20Hat%20Chocolate&at=2026-04-05T08:28:35.731Z
Shows as 36 keys and trade partner matches
Also the 40 keys shown on the sellers side 4 of those were to purchase the Tangled Lights Taunt: Peace Out here:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395550757#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600
ID 16743201703
The other gladiator sale was between sale 4 and sale 5 of the second item.
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Smissmas%20Tree%20Hat%20Chocolate&at=2026-04-05T08:28:35.731Z
Sold for 30 keys 22.33 ref @ 03/04/2026 however there is no clear indication based on the compares nor trade partner showing the 30 keys clear
Considering the amount of dumps, and untrace I rather go with actual sales rather than base it off unsolds as this is an indication its to high anyway. 36 should be fine
Thanks, I am unable to use gladiator so that makes my life miles easier