Mini for the Time Warp Vive la France

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2307662044

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326619273#!/compare/1771891200/1771977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186440117#!/compare/1770768000/1771977600

650 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/956615323 (duped)

None of them seem to be sales, the 3 latest people still have it

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/11709564688

Sale 2:

Mannco.Store, excluding

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1768176000/1768262400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412759781#!/compare/1768089600/1768262400

505 keys + Circling TF Logo Snowmann

Circling TF SNowmann mini (96-105 keys, mean point of 100.5) https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69a82fbab90a8e0d6b038bdc

505+100.5=605.5 ~606 keys

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/9640602924

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1772409600/1772496000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199350407579#!/compare/1772064000/1772496000

Untrace/Bulk

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/8068410509

Sale 5:

Mannco.Store, excluding

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/16728760097

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199164375667#!/compare/1771027200/1771113600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199151671201#!/compare/1771113600/1771200000

Untrace

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199151671201#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1770508800/1771459200

Listed and withdrawn from Mannco.Store then dumped to a bot for 586 keys

Someone else listed it on Mannco.Store but imposibel to know who

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/16570753089

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191651355#!/compare/1767312000/1767744000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1767571200/1767657600

Untrace, but buyer is a backpack buyer

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1770076800/1770163200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198830056399#!/compare/1770076800/1770163200

Sold alongside the Miami Nights Cat's Pajamas and 100 keys for the Time Warp Vive la France, using there

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198830056399#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

Bulk for 1115 keys

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/15001341318

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308299646#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

Sold alongside the Misty Skull Hound Dog and Steaming Soldered Sensei for the Haunted Ghosts Noh Mercy

Better used on the Noh Mercy

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308299646#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199392211477#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800

Sold alongside ~50 ref for the double spelled Cloudy Moon Stately Steel Toe, spelled Roboactive Pyro's Boron Beanie and Clairvoyance Herald's Helm

This won't be usable since the Clairvoyance Herald's Helm doesn't have any other sales and using buyers on it will make the sale too low since it represents the majority of the trade

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199392211477#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098026893#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

Possibly bulk for the Death at Dusk Virtual Viewfinder

Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098026893#!/compare/1768867200/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108388792#!/compare/1768867200/1768953600

485 keys + Vintage Pro KS Lugermorph + Strange Festivized Pro KS Degreaser

Vintage Pro KS Lugermorph mini:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Vintage%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Lugermorph&at=2026-01-20T13:14:08.187Z

Past 30 days the day of the sale:

Sales:

1 @ 23 keys

1 @ 22 keys

1 @ 21 keys 30 ref

1 @ 20 keys

1 @ 17 keys 14.88 ref

1 @ 17 keys 13.66 ref

1 @ 16 keys 8.22 ref

1 @ 16 keys 7.55 ref

1 @ 15 keys 32.77 ref

1 @ 15 keys 21.66 ref

1 @ 14 keys 63.77 ref

1 @ 14 keys 47.55 ref

1 @ 14 keys 47.44 ref

1 @ 14 keys 35.44 ref

1 @ 14 keys 28.44 ref

1 @ 14 keys 28.11 ref

3 @ 14 keys 19.55 ref

Buys:

2 @ 16 keys 13 ref

2 @ 16 keys 12.33 ref

2 @ 16 keys 8.44 ref

2 @ 15 keys 59.77 ref

2 @ 15 keys 58.11 ref

4 @ 15 keys 56.33 ref

2 @ 15 keys 30.33 ref

2 @ 15 keys 15.11 ref

4 @ 15 keys 14.88 ref

2 @ 15 keys 9 ref

2 @ 14 keys 37.22 ref

2 @ 14 keys 14.55 ref

2 @ 14 keys 14.11 ref

2 @ 14 keys 12.66 ref

2 @ 14 keys 10.66 ref

2 @ 14 keys 10 ref

2 @ 14 keys 4.66 ref

2 @ 14 keys 1.88 ref

2 @ 13 keys 42.33 ref

20, 22 and 23 seem like outliers, taking 14-17 keys (mean point of 15.5)

Strange Festivized Pro KS Degreaser mini:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Festivized%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Degreaser&at=2026-01-20T13:16:42.790Z

Past 30 days the day of the sale:

Sales:

1 @ 19 keys

1 @ 18 keys

1 @ 14 keys

1 @ 11 keys 32.66 ref

1 @ 11 keys

Buys:

2 @ 10 keys 36.55 ref

2 @ 10 keys 13.11 ref

2 @ 10 keys 11.88 ref

2 @ 9 keys 32.66 ref

14, 18 and 19 seem like outliers, taking 10-11 keys (mean point of 10.5)

485+15.5+10.5=511 keys

Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108388792#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000

Buk for the double spelled Poisoned Shadows Prince Tavish's Crown

Sales:

511, 586, 606, 650

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/YxTwlOV 690 keys and up, buyers up to 576 keys

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/538;5;u14 none

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Scorching+Flames+Killer+Exclusive none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Killer%20Exclusive?filter=Scorching+Flames https://imgur.com/aUrN9Oq 1510.77€ (~744 keys)

511 looks low with all those buyers for much higher. 586 was also a buy order dump and isn't that far from buyers. Dropping with buy order sales isn't a good idea so going with a rounded 610-650 keys