Sale 1:

Sold for 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800 - Near ID: 17198007052

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053811988#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

= 10 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with 20.66 ref for 10 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1784678400/1784764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099136395#!/compare/1784419200/1784851200

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+The+Victory+Lap&at=2026-07-22&range=3 - B/O of 9 keys + 41 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

= 9.5 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 8 keys + 43 ref (barely rounds up using old key price)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102777012#!/compare/1781136000/1781222400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1781049600/1781222400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Victory%20Lap&at=2026-08-26T12:48:31.520Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/6378051457

= 9 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400 - Near ID: 17103683791

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363226769#!/compare/1780358400/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/item/7722525198

= 9 keys

Sale 5:

Sold with negligible metal for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000 - Near ID: 17136227795

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388859442#!/compare/1781049600/1781136000

https://backpack.tf/item/16075562224

= 9 keys

Sale 6:

Sold with negligible metal for 8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1783987200/1784073600 - Near ID: 17261880510

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199338059574#!/compare/1783814400/1784073600

https://backpack.tf/item/8239510539

= 8 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1172;5;u3003

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+The+Victory+Lap&at=2026-08-22&range=3 - No B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/7397919523

$21.45, August 23rd

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.89

21.45/1.89 = 11.349, rounds to 11 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280434589#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1780272000/1780358400

https://backpack.tf/item/6555437712

Backpack buy

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1780531200/1780617600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042951716#!/compare/1780531200/1780617600

https://backpack.tf/item/7663117005

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793 - both involved

Untraceable, bits match on both ends, pretty sure the “seller” is a gambling bot or something.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042951716#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523308593#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/item/7663117005

Most likely gambled

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523308593#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101376092#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/item/7663117005

Most likely gambled

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168578115#!/compare/1780185600/1780444800 - Near ID: 17095082060

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1780099200/1780185600

https://backpack.tf/item/7722525198

7 keys + negligible metal match. Inclined to believe that a little more was involved. Even if this is correct, it’s gonna fall way below buyers, so it wouldn’t end up being used anyway.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199338059574#!/compare/1785369600/1785888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1785283200/1785369600

https://backpack.tf/item/8239510539

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990794016#!/compare/1781049600/1782345600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1782172800/1782259200

https://backpack.tf/item/9548611754

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1780876800/1780963200 - Near ID: 17126698369

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198813484846#!/compare/1780444800/1780876800

https://backpack.tf/item/9620340780

Untraceable, 4 keys match on the seller’s side.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550598086#!/compare/1780704000/1780876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1780704000/1780790400

https://backpack.tf/item/10337673251

Bulk-ish to STN, for keys and other items

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1781568000/1781654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960693383#!/compare/1781568000/1781654400

https://backpack.tf/item/10337673251

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997142921#!/compare/1780531200/1781049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1780963200/1781049600

https://backpack.tf/item/11714360034

5 keys + some metal match. Seller would’ve bought the Strange Pro. KS weapon with some of the keys involved, but couldn’t trace the keys from that item’s previous owner.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109314783#!/compare/1786838400/1786924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1786752000/1786838400

https://backpack.tf/item/13999889002

5 keys + some metal match, taunt went with a bunch of cheap paints

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1786924800/1787011200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199654145096#!/compare/1786924800/1787011200

https://backpack.tf/item/13999889002

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199403287688#!/compare/1776816000/1781308800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087760859#!/compare/1780444800/1780531200

https://backpack.tf/item/16793727491

Untraceable/Bulk

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087760859#!/compare/1780531200/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391835786#!/compare/1775952000/1785974400

https://backpack.tf/item/16793727491

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042951716#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1780617600/1780704000

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

Gambling-related

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1780790400/1780876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199684320400#!/compare/1779840000/1781049600

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

Untraceable

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199684320400#!/compare/1781395200/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1781308800/1781395200

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

Bulk to qsstore

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053811988#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/16633323793

Untraceable, bot dump. Immediately follows the 10 key sale.

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141012259#!/compare/1783900800/1783987200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1783900800/1783987200

https://backpack.tf/item/16811393720

Untraceable, bot dump

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1784764800/1784851200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267952571#!/compare/1784505600/1784851200

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+The+Victory+Lap&at=2026-07-23&range=3 - B/O of 9 keys + 41 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16811393720

9 keys match. Metal seems to be missing here.

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400 Near ID: 17248634477

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1783728000/1783814400

https://backpack.tf/item/9548611754

4 keys match. Untraceable.

https://backpack.tf/item/9213001495 - mannco

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/EMyZrON.png

https://backpack.tf/item/8239510539 - ~10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7663117005 - ~10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/16811393720 - ~11.2 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1172;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/9548611754 - $21.45

https://backpack.tf/item/6555437712 - $21.45

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Victory%20Lap?appid=440&q=grail&detail=518619491419100512

$66.30 AUD (keys are ~$3.20 AUD)

Sales at:

8

9 (3x)

9.5

10

11 (marketplace)

11 is gonna be an outlier with the cheaper sellers. Excluding 11.

8 is below buyers, excluding 8.

10 re-sold to a bot for less, excluding 10.

Taking 9-9.5 keys.