Suggestion: Holy Grail Taunt: Yeti Punch at 2–2.3 keys

The seller sold the scattergun immediately to a bot before it was scanned in their backpack. The Scatter’s next owner matches with the keys the seller obtained.

It would appear the scattergun sold for 2 keys + negligible metal, but I believe a 3rd key was involved, sold for ref, then was used to buy more tickets.

= 2.2 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114387505#!/compare/1785888000/1787443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199113899944#!/compare/1785974400/1786060800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch&at=2026-08-28T04:21:27.238Z - falsely labelled as 1 key + 20 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/6253303571

Bulk for Aussie Black Box

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199750171947#!/compare/1786492800/1786752000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1786406400/1786579200

https://backpack.tf/item/7449902349

Alt transfer or something

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965420618#!/compare/1782604800/1783036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199155052333#!/compare/1782950400/1786492800

https://backpack.tf/item/7473237895

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977437924#!/compare/1782259200/1782604800

https://backpack.tf/item/13085471249

Bulk for Earbuds

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977437924#!/compare/1782604800/1783036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1782518400/1782604800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch&at=2026-08-28T04:21:27.238Z - labelled as 2 keys + 1 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13085471249

Untraceable, 1 ref matches. Manually searching IDs yields nothing.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839708115#!/compare/1781136000/1782086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389133702#!/compare/1781913600/1782000000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch&at=2026-08-28T04:49:18.063Z - labelled as 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/16180142334

Untraceable. Manually searching IDs yields nothing. Follows the 2 key + 25 ref purchase.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1782864000/1782950400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1782864000/1782950400

https://backpack.tf/item/16485541157

2 keys + 9.66 ref match (2 keys + 0.66 ref on the seller’s side, the 9 ref found on the buyer’s.

Given STN bought this for a bit more than this prior, I’m inclined to believe that there was a bit more involved, because they generally don’t re-sell for less like this unless pressured by other sellers, or unless they’ve owned the item for much longer than this. Archivist reveals sell orders weren’t this low at the earliest date recorded.

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Yeti+Punch&at=2026-07-03

I will not be marking the initial STN dump as invalidated for re-selling for less, as I’m uncertain it actually re-sold for less.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1785715200/1785801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1785715200/1785801600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch&at=2026-08-28T04:49:18.063Z - labelled as 2 keys + 1 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16485541157

Untraceable. Not going to be able to manually search for IDs as it wasn’t scanned in the buyer’s backpack, and I’m not gonna be able to have an ID to compare to.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199557749607#!/compare/1785369600/1785628800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053548973#!/compare/1785456000/1785542400

https://backpack.tf/item/17115675628

Appears to have sold with cheap items for a skin worth less than a key.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135742927#!/compare/1782172800/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195933333#!/compare/1782691200/1782777600

https://backpack.tf/item/17133038520

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119581864#!/compare/1781395200/1781481600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745570370#!/compare/1781395200/1781568000

https://backpack.tf/item/15517547790

Sold for Shark Attack Bare Knuckle Beatdown + ~7 ref in weapons/cosmetics (all on the buyer’s side)

With an abundance of sales here, it would be best to save this sale for the unpriced unusual.

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330507545#!/compare/1776556800/1780444800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998649562#!/compare/1780272000/1780531200

https://backpack.tf/item/11986201444

Most likely scammed. Gladiator also labels this history as having a 2 key + 4 ref bot purchase afterwards. Even if that were traceable, this’d be a likely scammer sale, so we shouldn’t be using it.

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1787443200/1787529600

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Yeti+Punch&at=2026-08-24 - B/O of 2 keys + 12.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9834192886

Buyer unscanned. We do see a group of 2 keys + 12.77 ref, but can’t track the buyer with them.

https://backpack.tf/item/6252755820 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/6253030522 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/6254604665 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/14357142989 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/16487847104 - unusualified after marketplace purchase.

https://backpack.tf/item/16537050027 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/16713478425 - mannco

Cash Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1182;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/15224267250 - August 15th

$6.29, August 15th & 25th

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Yeti+Punch&at=2026-08-14 - No B/O for August 15th

https://archivist.tf/history?item=Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Yeti+Punch&at=2026-08-24 - Couldn’t find the other history

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.90, August 15th

$1.87, August 25th

6.29/1.9 = 3.311, rounds to 3.3 keys

6.29/1.87 = 3.364, rounds to 3.35 keys

https://skinport.com/tf2/item/unusual-taunt-yeti-punch+holy-grail - $5.36 AUD, August 26th

https://backpack.tf/item/15224267250

https://skinport.com/tf2/item/mann-co-supply-crate-key - keys were $2.49 AUD on skinport

5.36/2.49 = 2.153, rounds to 2.15 keys

This follows the August 15th marketplace sale. Don’t necessarily know if it was the same buyer, but definitely worth noting.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/B8fF8NR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/16180142334 - ~2.2 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1182;5;u3003

https://backpack.tf/item/13085471249 - $6.29

https://backpack.tf/item/16485541157 - $6.29

https://backpack.tf/item/15226028625 - $6.29

https://backpack.tf/item/16551873007 - $6.29

https://backpack.tf/item/6342193323 - $6.29

https://backpack.tf/item/11986201444 - $6.29

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch?appid=440&q=grail&detail=543400068165298300 - $8.12 AUD (~2.6 keys)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Yeti%20Punch?appid=440&q=grail&detail=546777134208704182 - $12.99 AUD

Keys are currently ~$3.15 AUD

Sales at:

2.15 (skinport)

2.2

2.3

2.45

3.3 (marketplace)

3.35 (marketplace)

The marketplace sales at 3.3-3.35 look like outliers, given current sellers on both the SCM and on the classifieds. Excluding 3.3 and 3.35.

2.45 re-sold to a bot, supposedly for 2 keys. Excluding 2.45.

We have an abundance of gladiator purchases at ~2 keys which shouldn’t be ignored. Even if none are traceable, and the one at 2 keys + 4 ref is most likely a scammer dump, we should add them into our range.

The main concerns with this range, however, is the fact this unusual will be priced cheaper than the non-unusual Yeti Punch. As absurd as this is, there are a handful of other unusual yeti punches going for cheaper than the non-unusual ones, with one of the holy grails included in this group.

The other concern is the fact that current SCM buyers are slightly higher, though they even exceed the seller slightly

https://i.imgur.com/3FJlncT.png - highest buyer at $7.05 AUD, which is ~2.24 keys.

I think in this case, we can chalk this up to SCM’s 15% fee actually mattering.

Taking 2-2.3 keys for now, can re-suggest at 2.15-2.3 if necessary.