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Nobody shall do this before me!
I wanna build a name for making shit-long pan suggestions. So far it's going pretty well :P
In the suggestion, keys are taken as $1.875 (1.8-1.95) each.
Let's get to it!
The Pan is almost 3 months outdated.
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SALES!
Sale 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25840191
Sold for $1950
$1950 / 1.875 = 1040
1040 keys
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Sale 2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26006179 sold for $1800
$1800 / 1.875 = 960
960 keys
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Sale 3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26085881
Sold for a Secret Viewfinder + 519 keys.
Viewfinder price: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55987729ba8d88660b8b4571
770 * 0.9 + 519 = 1212
Had a B/O of 1200 keys
1200 keys
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Sale 4:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26186708
GBH KE + sunbeams bombers bucket + c9 modest + 550 keys
(525 + 205 + 59) * 0.9 + 550 = 1260
1260 keys
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Sale 5:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24219317
Sold for 1111 keys pure
1111 keys
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Sale 6:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26156891
Sold for 1100 keys
1100 keys
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Sale 7:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26282923
Sold for: http://gyazo.com/d246628301050b5848a27808428b8100
Demonflame BoA + Hellfire Brainiac + 72' Conga + Sunbeams HoC + Demonflame Pencil Pusher + Darkblaze Ol' Geezer + Prof ks Strange Festive Shotgun
(370 + XXX + 290 + XXX + XXX + XXX + 12) * 0.9 = XXX
Since the brainiac along many of the other items are outdated and the Brainiac for one doesn't have tracable sales, I will not use this sale.
> 04:23 - m0rxx #pan: Can't find recent sales on the Hellfire Brainiac
> 04:23 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: dont use the sale then :P
XXX keys UNUSABLE
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Sale 8:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26068003
Sold for 1125 keys
1125 keys
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Sale 9:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26122918
Sold for 1000 keys pure
1000 keys
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SELLERS!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19060925 - $4000 (~2133 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24759201 - 1500 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25585825 - $2500 (~1333 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26099024 - 1100 keys (1 month old, though poorly bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26354849 - 1000 keys (young and has been offered 1100 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25625961 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26362219 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26359542 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26247973 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26250098 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26068003 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26165189 - Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26359542 - Offers
Not a single seller on backpack.tf WTF?!
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Hardly any minies this time! Awesome :D
Sales clock in at:
- 1260
- 1200
- 1125
- 1111
- 1100
- 1040
- 1000
- 960
Removing 1260 and 960 from the range to get a clean refreshed price of 1000-1200 keys ^^
Also not taking the sellers below 1200 into account because they are young or poorly bumped.
Again, huge thanks to Woifi for providing me with the sales! And for making decisions for me
Please leave constructive comments below ^_^
> ~ 23:58 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: meh, idgaf m0rxx, just fek off pls ~ <
note to all asking why I'm updating this:
01:32 - m0rxx #pls: Do I need to update it then?
01:32 - m0rxx #pls: I mean
01:32 - m0rxx #pls: It's not an unusual
01:33 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: its ok for the pan
01:33 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: rare item and such
Screenshots are good as well.
Okay:
http://gyazo.com/6e4211ec6baa2c47dbaf8207cee0675a
You probably could have cut out the conversation about beer, but this works.
Ikr -.-
960-1260 is fine too imo
Median would be 1110 keys
what's the point of this?
Is refreshing a non-unusual really necessary? Especially since the last price is only 2 months old.
Pans are equal to unusuals in price and rarity.~
I beg to differ since there's currently 72 in existence
I never seen an unusual with a certain effect with 72 in existence
But w/e
Then again, there aren't too many unusuals worth 1000+ keys either.
Lol it's 1-1.1 keys on trade tf o_o
Aw. My sale wasn't used? :c
I paid about 1400-1600~
Also, I have a sale of 1200 pure coming in soon.
Could you provide me some info on the 1400-1600 sale? I'm not sure it'll make much of a difference and it will most likely be considered an outlier :/
As for 1200 pure sale; that'll fit in the range ^^
It was the one with the brainiac.
Ah, yes. I couldn't find a mini for the Brainiac, so Woifi told me to disregard the sale.
Some "minies" for ya:
Brainiac:
Using the 1 year old price because of lack of newer trades.
351.5 keys
Sunbeams Hat of Cards:
http://gyazo.com/a17106d8e774e28bebd8e1d3122516b3
Sold for DaD Dread Hiding Hood (No recent sales either...)
285 keys
The Pencil Pusher and Darkblaze Ol' Geezer have only gone as a set it seems.
187 + 33 keys
(370 + 351.5 + 290 + 285 + 187 + 33 + 12) * 0.9 = 1375.65
This is both an outlier AND will still be disregarded due to lack of accurate prices.
Ah well. I overpaid by 200 keys because it's a pan. ez pure + it's a bloody pan. Probably a better deal for me than the pan owner. Eitherway I, personally, believe 1000 is low. (which is probably no surprise) but Puddington has been offering 1000 around for a while, with no luck, and he's also offered 1100 to several people (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26184266) with no luck either. I've had my pan for 1 week, and already have a sale at 1200 (buyer's bought keys, currently untradable until next sunday). 1100-1200 is probably more accurate, the 950~ sale is a outlier, and I'm tempted to think 1000 is too, but I'm not the expert.
We have sales around 1000 keys, as well as a seller at 1000. He hasn't sold for 2 days now.
Puddington just bought a pan for 900 keys 2 days ago.
Edit: My point is, Pan market changes over time. At some point you can get 2 pans for 1000 keys easily, then you cant even get one for 1100. It's a constant back and forth and I think that the bp.tf price range should reflect that.
This well organized format....my eyes.........it buuuuuurns
Is that a good thing? :T
Yes, it is indeed =)
Upvote