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~170 keys
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Unusual Ground Control Anti-Freeze
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AF GROUND CONTROL


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SALE 1:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095752814?time=1438758000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095752814?time=1438844400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26690671 - clean HOUWAR (125) + bubbling swagman (16) + aus. spec. ks tomislav (mini at 14) + frostbite gridiron (12) + 5 keys + negligible sweets = 125 + 14 + (28 * 0.9 = ~25) + 5 = 169, rounding to 170

HOUWAR's history doesn't add up, but it was involved: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26697582

I can't find any sales on the Swagman's, so I have to take its old value of 16 here, and the frostbite guardian's value won't change too much either.

I'm only applying overpay on the unusuals as the HOUWAR sells for pure a fair bit, and a mini is already provided for the tomislav.


TOMISLAV:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Tomislav&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=1&killstreak_tier=2

http://i.imgur.com/si8zhbz.png

3x 14, taking that.


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SALE 2:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438585200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438671600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26658939 - scorching MYB (150) + HPJr Aviator's Assassin (57) = 207 * 0.9 = ~186, rounding to 185


MYB:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057160393?time=1438498800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057160393?time=1438585200 - sold for Scorching Swagman's (~150)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1441350000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1441436400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26939491 - sold with 13th Veil for Vivid Crone's

Outlier, dude was looking for a Crone's.


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072226075?time=1436770800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072226075?time=1441004400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26925776 - sold for 130 pure (rather quick?)


Newer sales on the swagman are rather unclear... Polar did a mini for it here two months ago: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55a75261ba8d88511a8b48e9

This comes out ~150 so I'll take 150 for that sale and for the mini


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SALE 3:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438326000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438412400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26093155 - sold with Sulph. Prancer's (17) + P. Fetti Milkman (17.5) + ~15 keys of sweets for PE Neckwear (275) = (275 * 0.9 = 247.5) - (49.5 * 0.9 = 44.55) = ~203, rounding to 200

Milkman wasn't technically outdated at the time.


PRANCER:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55ecf0dfba8d88342b8b458a


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Sales at 170, 185, 200. Taking a range as such.

    Someone already offered me 230 in unusuals

    So yeah

      offers aren't sales

        I would be very hesitant to call a Misty Tossle (125) + a Stormy Bonk (39) anywhere near 230.

          He have add keyss

            That doesn't tell us anything. It could be 5 keys, it could be 50. Either way, that's still not 230. :p

              I have a good offer he Sended me a trade offer 230 in unusual

      i never thought my vote power would ever go above 100 keys :P

      Proof is sufficient, upvote.