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AF GROUND CONTROL
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SALE 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095752814?time=1438758000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095752814?time=1438844400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26690671 - clean HOUWAR (125) + bubbling swagman (16) + aus. spec. ks tomislav (mini at 14) + frostbite gridiron (12) + 5 keys + negligible sweets = 125 + 14 + (28 * 0.9 = ~25) + 5 = 169, rounding to 170
HOUWAR's history doesn't add up, but it was involved: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26697582
I can't find any sales on the Swagman's, so I have to take its old value of 16 here, and the frostbite guardian's value won't change too much either.
I'm only applying overpay on the unusuals as the HOUWAR sells for pure a fair bit, and a mini is already provided for the tomislav.
TOMISLAV:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Tomislav&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=1&killstreak_tier=2
http://i.imgur.com/si8zhbz.png
3x 14, taking that.
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SALE 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438585200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438671600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26658939 - scorching MYB (150) + HPJr Aviator's Assassin (57) = 207 * 0.9 = ~186, rounding to 185
MYB:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057160393?time=1438498800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057160393?time=1438585200 - sold for Scorching Swagman's (~150)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1441350000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1441436400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26939491 - sold with 13th Veil for Vivid Crone's
Outlier, dude was looking for a Crone's.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072226075?time=1436770800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072226075?time=1441004400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26925776 - sold for 130 pure (rather quick?)
Newer sales on the swagman are rather unclear... Polar did a mini for it here two months ago: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55a75261ba8d88511a8b48e9
This comes out ~150 so I'll take 150 for that sale and for the mini
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SALE 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438326000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147?time=1438412400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26093155 - sold with Sulph. Prancer's (17) + P. Fetti Milkman (17.5) + ~15 keys of sweets for PE Neckwear (275) = (275 * 0.9 = 247.5) - (49.5 * 0.9 = 44.55) = ~203, rounding to 200
Milkman wasn't technically outdated at the time.
PRANCER:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55ecf0dfba8d88342b8b458a
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Sales at 170, 185, 200. Taking a range as such.
Someone already offered me 230 in unusuals
So yeah
offers aren't sales
I would be very hesitant to call a Misty Tossle (125) + a Stormy Bonk (39) anywhere near 230.
He have add keyss
That doesn't tell us anything. It could be 5 keys, it could be 50. Either way, that's still not 230. :p
I have a good offer he Sended me a trade offer 230 in unusual
i never thought my vote power would ever go above 100 keys :P
Proof is sufficient, upvote.