Suggestion: Strange Golden Frying Pan at 1100–1200 keys

Price Suggestion

~3825 keys

72 votes up

19 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Tue, 22 Sep 15 15:25:06 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

m0rxx the Pan suggestor is BACK!

Again, huge thanks to Woifi for providing sales.

Please note, untracable sales have been excluded from this suggestion. Should you be able to provide proof of

additional sales, please post them in the comments below.

Now let's get to it!

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SALES!

Sale 1:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26247973

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132960686?time=1436166000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132960686?time=1436252400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132960686?time=1436166000&compare=1436252400

Sold for Burning Hazmatten + Scorching Pencil Pusher + Scorching Bubble Pipe + Searing Mohawk + Scorching Lucky Shot + G Fetti Yellow Belt + sweets (~20.5 keys) + 10 in pure

This sale would require a mini for every. single. unusual. Using this sale as a supportive sale due to many pure sales.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26839705 Mohawk seller at 190 (1 month)

(390 + 345,5 + 270 + 190 + 157,5 + 37,5 + 20,5 + 10) * 0.9 = 1278.9

1300 keys SUPPORTIVE SALE

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Sale 2:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26435205

Sold for 1100 keys (mixed Max's and keys)

1100 keys

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Sale 3:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27060539

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26968308 Buyer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000754743?time=1442559600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000754743?time=1442646000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000754743?time=1442559600&compare=1442646000

Sold for 920 keys

920 keys OUTLIER

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Sale 4:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26699630

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987703733?time=1438844400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987703733?time=1439190000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987703733?time=1439190000&compare=1438844400

Sold for Scorching Jefe + 400 keys

Used to price the Jefe: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55d7b698ba8d88ed448b45c3

CAN'T USE

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Sale 5:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26751432

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441004400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441090800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441090800&compare=1441004400

Sold for C. Heart Crone's + C. Heart Wraith + Holy Grail Relaxo + Knifestorm Wraith + Ghosts Crocleather + c9 Pencil Pusher

Limiting some of the prices to the seller's B/O's http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26932628

Taking a rough estimate on the Knifestorm Wraith due to lack of affecting for the sale value + lack of minies.

(800 + 175 + 142.5 + ~138 + 45 + 60) * 0.9 = 1224.45

1200 keys SUPPORTIVE SALE

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Sale 6:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26746263

Sold for 1000 keys pure IN A SINGLE DAY

1000 keys

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Sale 7:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26840146

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970891690?time=1440918000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970891690?time=1441004400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970891690?time=1441004400&compare=1440918000

Sold for Harvest Crone's

No recent usable sales for a mini. Not using.

NOT USING

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Sale 8:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527?time=1438758000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527?time=1438844400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527?time=1438758000&compare=1438844400

Sold for a lot of outdated high-tier hats. Disregarding entirely due to lack of minies.

NOT USING

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Sale 9:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060976608?time=1439967600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060976608?time=1440313200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060976608?time=1439967600&compare=1440313200

Sold with '72 FBV (see mini)+ Eerie Lucha + 30 keys FOR Blizz Coffin + Burning Mancer (see mini) + C. Heart Boxcar (see mini)

X + 65 + 30 + 30 = 700 + 300 + 182

x = (1182 - 125) * 0.9 = 951.3

950 keys OUTLIER and hard to price.

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Eerie Lucha:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25704277 unsold 30 (5 months)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26741926 unsold 31 (1 month)

Going with 30 :T

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'72 FBV:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045775820?time=1440054000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045775820?time=1440226800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045775820?time=1440054000&compare=1440226800

Seems to have sold for a duped electrostatic Phantom. Just taking 0.9 overpay.

(80 * 0.9) * 0.9 = ~65 keys

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Burning Mancer:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070018257?time=1441090800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070018257?time=1441177200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070018257?time=1441177200&compare=1441090800

Sold for 300 keys

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C. Heart Boxcar:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441609200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441695600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1441609200&compare=1441695600

Added sweets worth ~18 keys for GE Rotation ( http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55f51d03dea9e9bd458b4704 )

200 - 18 = 182 keys

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Sale 10:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26760334

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001859176?time=1439881200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001859176?time=1439967600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001859176?time=1439881200&compare=1439967600

Sold for Sunbeams Muffs + Scorching Coldsnap

No recent sales on the Coldsnap so taking current price.

(600 + 695) * 0.9 = 1165.5

1150 keys

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sale 11:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26501925

Sold for 1000 keys pure

1000 keys

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Sale 12:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26410935

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090535721?time=1437980400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090535721?time=1438239600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090535721?time=1438239600&compare=1437980400

712 keys + 8 pro aussies (~200 keys worth) + Self Made Key + FoD High-Five + Pro FN Strange Purple Range + Mallard Belt +

Vivid Tyro + spec. ks. S.Kritz

712 + (200 * 0.95) + 100 + 120 + 100 + 95 + 47.5 + 19

712 + 190 + 100 + 100 + ((120 + 95 + 47.5 + 19)*0.9) = 1370,35

1350 keys

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Australiums and kritz are calculated by lowest sellers on classifieds.

Taking current price on High-Five due to lack of recent sales.

Pro FN Strange Purple range sold for 100 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26651117

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Sale 13:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26358747

Sold for 1200 keys

1200 keys

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Sale 14:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26800197

Sold for 1040 keys

1040 keys

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Sale 15:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26746261

Sold for 1190 keys + Aus Knife

1200 keys

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Sale 16:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26471041

Sold for 1200 keys

1200 keys

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sale 17:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26923336

Quicksold for 900 keys

900 keys OUTLIER

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Sale 18:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26962737

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067575136?time=1441350000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067575136?time=1441436400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067575136?time=1441436400&compare=1441350000

Sold for GE KE + 100 keys

Should be used to update KE

NOT USING

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Sale 19:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941533

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27003378 Buyer

Quicksold for 1030 keys

1030 keys

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Another point as to why 1100 keys is an outlier is the duped sales:

Duped Pan sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26746261 1190 + aussie knife

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26731716 https://gyazo.com/f2e8e47fc04816b829f3fdb70d2e5cc2 way above 1300

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26354849 https://gyazo.com/a930d7a8409ebce7df126fd33efb3a8f sold for around 1100, B/O at 1000 keys

https://gyazo.com/ce1050415de51238f962f3fe55dc5403 also around 1100 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26601658 https://gyazo.com/731e0ad83af4c02b68490873d42ec0fe ~900 keys

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DAAAAAMN! 19 sales! And that's even excluding the ones I couldn't figure out! :o

Sales in chronological order:

900 keys QUICKSOLD

920 keys QUICKSOLD

950 keys Hard to price, outlier anyway

1000 keys QUICKSOLD

1000 keys

1030 keys QUICKSOLD

1040 keys SOLD TO A QUICKBUYER

1100 keys DECLINED 1000

1150 keys

1200 keys OFFERED 1100

1200 keys OFFERED 1100

1200 keys

1300 keys

1350 keys DECLINED 1000

Should be pretty clear that 1000-1100 are outliers.

However, can't exceed 1200 keys since there are numerous B/O's at 1200 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26925322 1200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27059154 1100 (Young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941533 1200 (offered 1000)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27044427 1100 (young, has received offers around that as well, not bumped too frequently)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27060208 1200

Taking a final range of 1100-1200 keys.

Please leave constructive critism below! :D

yay I can vote on this. Anyway, what's the time table on the quicksells?

Either sold to a quickbuyer or sold within a week or so.

that sounds pretty reasonable.

Wow! A legit pan suggestion. Nice job 👌🏻

why is this longer then all my 800 suggestions together

upvote

~~i laughed at this one http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5598b440dea9e9876a8b45dd~~

damn that pan streak, shame that Julia griefed it, although neat suggestion upvote.

I've sold three pans all for 1200 keys pure

They all took within a month to sell, with no hassle.

I paid 1500-1600 on my most recent one.

My most recent one was duped, and it sold for 1220 pure.

upgoat

If a duped one sold for 1220 pure (with which rounding is 1200) it might make anything below 1200 on this suggestion (the 1100 sale) an outlier. This could possibly be 1200 flat, unless that duped sale itself is an outlier.

I don't think a single sale should remove all the sales at a lower price, besides, there have been other duped pan sales below the 1220, as posted in my suggestion. (ctrl+f duped pan sales). one had a B/O of 1000, one sold for ~900, and others sold for 1100.

As Woifi said in the last suggestion:

"My point is, Pan market changes over time. At some point you can get 2 pans for 1000 keys easily, then you cant even get one for 1100. It's a constant back and forth and I think that the bp.tf price range should reflect that."

Ah okay sorry about that, I was suspecting that sale being a bit abnormal. Upvote :)

Good proof, upvoting.