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I should get paid for doing this...
Again, huge thanks to Woifi for providing sales.
Should you be able to provide proof of additional sales, please post them in the comments below.
Now let's get to it!
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SALES!
Sale 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27060208
Sold for 1200 keys pure
1200 keys
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Sale 2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27134354
Sold for cash possibly. Untracable.
NOT USING
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Sale 3:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941533
http://backpack.tf/item/2572036372
The one sold to HeartLyss sold for 1030 keys.
1030 keys
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Sale 4:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941533
http://backpack.tf/item/3620154880
Possibly sold for 1040 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941575
1040 keys
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Sale 5:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27155956
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/5674734/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-26%20at%201.22.56%20PM.png
Sold for 1007 keys + Normal Strange Medi Gun + unlocked crates
1007 + ((5 + 4,5 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 6 + 5 + 4) * 0.9) = 1040
So 1040 keys + whatever the medigun is worth.
~1050 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 6 (my sale :D)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27086002
https://gyazo.com/b1e32162c34217ab94428d94eb8b4cae
Was originally reserved for 400 keys pure + ~1000 keys in showstopper taunts. The buyer retracted after having paid roughly 170 keys in downpayments, so I kept the keys and ended up selling it for 1020 keys + €200 in knives (converted to 80 keys at the time of the sale)
Knives in question: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27186077
1100 keys
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Sale 7:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27455117
Quicksold for 1050 in about 1 hour.
1050 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 8:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27144018
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091658824?time=1444114800&compare=1444201200
Sold for: "Curbstompers d@d (1100) + Stat slaughter factory karambit (300) + Ghosts Tc (300) + Ge swagmans (60) + Bliz KE (60) + 100 in aussies = 1920"
I'm not even gonna bother doing calculations here, it's a CLEAR outlier.
But taking backpack prices it's roughly around 1650 keys after overpay.
1650 keys OUTLIER
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Sale 9:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27080674
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085756950?time=1443596400&compare=1443682800
Appears to have sold for 550 keys + Shadows Bonk Boy + SBTWC Antlers + Venenata Crone's Dome. However, the item histories indicate they were returned shortly after:
http://backpack.tf/item/2055583758
http://backpack.tf/item/2079338097
http://backpack.tf/item/2036137265
NOT USING
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Sale 10:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27194272
Sold for Scorching Hazmat + adds? Was with a scammer so disregarding the sale.
NOT USING
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Sale 11:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26165189
Sold for a Beams Noh Mercy, but was with a scammer, also disregarding this sale.
NOT USING
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Sale 12:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27254359
http://backpack.tf/id/HTTPforb/?time=1445670000&compare=1445756400
Sold for a backpack worth a good amount more than 1200 keys, which was the B/O of the pan.
1200 keys
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Sale 13:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27306626
Quicksold for 850 keys + 190 keys in cash
1040 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 14 and 15:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27140171
One sold for 1200 keys pure
The other sold for $2363 in BitCoin, which is roughly 1300 keys
1200 keys
1300 keys
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Sale 16:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27133981
Quicksold for 1000 keys
1000 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 17:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27306740
Presumably sold for 1150 keys. Went in exactly a week.
Declined 1000 keys. He got the 1150 keys collecting offer only 4 days after the outpost trade was made, so I guess Quicksold?
1150 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 18:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27291251
Auctioned and sold for 1130 keys
1130 keys
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Sale 19:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27245965
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106?time=1446537600&compare=1446451200
Duped Scorching tc + Duped Frostbite Law
Due to the sheer amount of pure sales and all the unusual sales for the Pan have extreme overpay, it's safe to assume this is an outlier and clearly exceeding the 1150 keys B/O
1150 keys Sold for MUCH more
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Sale 20:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27367415
Possibly sold for $2000 PayPal, but cannot confirm it. Was reserved within a single day.
NOT USING but possibly ~1111 keys
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Sale 21:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27379458
Sold within 2 days for an undisclosed amount.
NOT USING
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Sale 22:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27395103
Sold within 2 days for an undisclosed amount.
NOT USING
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Sale 23:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27309929
15:20 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: 500 keys + tons of unusuals, basically the same what the burning tipped lid sold for http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56455a61b98d885972e94e60
And since the Lid was priced at 1200 with those items, I'll just lazily take this sale as 1200 keys as well.
1200 keys
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Sale 24:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27406812
Sold for Spellbound Antlers + stuff, currently used to price the Antlers: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/564b6db1dea9e9013a7f7949
NOT USING
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Sale 25:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27445427
15:21 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: vivid ke + gifted beams jefe + stuff...then traded those/the pan back then sold for halloween unusuals, lots of them and other weird stuff, dont touch this sale trust me lol
As you wish, Senpai ~
NOT USING
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Sale 26:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27409110
Sold via PayPal for an undisclosed amount.
NOT USING
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Sale 27:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27416467
Presumably quicksold for 1075 keys
1075 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 28:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27397424
Death at Dusk Viewfinder + Burning Combustible Kabuto + Sunbeams Ninja Hood + Strange Molten Mallard Bonk Boy + 100 keys pure
No price on the Viewfinder, but the rest comes to about 950 keys, so it's safe to assume this sale is above 1200 keys
I can't really get a good mini on the DaD Viewfinder, not that it matters much anyway...
NOT USING frankly
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Sale 29:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26410935
$2100 paypal + $50 Steam gift card + loads of stuff. See Fluttershy in Sockies' post near the bottom
25 keys for the Steam gift card, and ~1166 keys from the $2100 cash.
25 + 1166 = 1191, rounding to 1200
1200 keys
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Sale 30:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27462142
Sold for gifted Secret Polar Pullover + some pure/cash
15:24 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: gifted 1of1 secret pullover + cash/keys, dont touch^^
*obeys senpai* ~
NOT USING
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Sale 31:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27466734
Presumably sold for 1020 keys. Eh, quicksold within 4 days anyway.
1020 keys QUICKSOLD
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Sale 32:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27331021
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995915986?time=1446361200&compare=1446274800
15:24 - -».•´Woifilicious`•.«-: 1110 keys, a Knifestorm Tam o shanter, DBD Teutonic Toque, and a Prof KS Aussie Grenade Launcher
Do I bother with the Teutonic Toque? Nope.
There's a "quickseller" at 30 keys though.
(30 + 42) * 0.9 + 26 + 1110 = 1200.8 keys
1200 keys
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Sale 33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27447383
Quicksold for an undisclosed amount via PayPal
NOT USING
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SELLERS!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27452264 1150 keys. Declined 1060 keys, has a collector's interest. Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26869616 1500 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27478074 1500 keys, young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27485731 Auctioning, starting bid at 1000 keys, young.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27474306 No B/O, but has a pending offer of $2000 (see posts below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27491888 1200 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27439475 1150 keys, 10 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26640729 No B/O
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27169045 1200 keys, declined 1000 keys multiple times.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19060925 $3000, has been up forever.
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Wowsers! These suggestions get longer and longer, don't they? Luckily I didn't have to (didn't want to :P) deal with lots of minies this time due to the amount of pure sales ^_^
To sum up the values:
Sales in chronological order:
Pans seem to still quicksell below 1100 keys. Many sell at 1200 flat, one at 1300, and two way above 1200.
Due to there being sellers at 1150 keys, and a few sales between 1100 and 1200, I'll keep 1100 in the range.
"New" range: 1100-1200 keys.
YES it is okay to refresh the Pan as it is NOT like other non-unusual items.
1. Due it's super high value, rarity, and how sought after it is, it is alright to update the price of this to keep people updated on the value.
2. I've done this once before :P http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55989bffb98d882b238b4586
3. With THIS amount of sales being scattered across a 650 keys range, I believe it's important to update the price every once in a while
4. I'm too addicted when it comes to pricing this item :T
Please leave constructive critism or extra trades/notes below ^_^
I was about to burst into a tirade about the refresh, but I buy your justification. Which doesn't happen often, be complimented :P
This suggestion looks fine. Though it's a pan suggestion by m0rxx, so of course I'm stating the obvious with that x
Gotta git dat mad pan-streak :^)
Not sure but just by scrolling through this quickly I see a lot of sales at 1050-1075 even though they're quicksales shouldn't the amount of them count?
A lot of quicksales, mind you. The only sale really setting the line is mine at 1100 (which was according to me also a quicksale since I didn't have to sell it for 1200 keys after I got 173 from a downpayment from a guy who later retracted but I got to keep the keys), and you may notice the 1150 keys sellers not selling all that quickly like the other ones below 1100 keys.
Edit: This guy declined "1050 or 1100" keys.
Edit2: As Woifi said: "Thing is, many of the sellers who struggle to sell fast lower their price, make a new trade and quicksell".
https://gyazo.com/d2dfafdc5d0d8828ac93c14c8e960291
My point of view:
-Lots of sales below 1100 keys, don't include them because it gets offers higher and those low sales tend to sell very quickly.
-Only 1 sale at 1100 and usually they are 1150 or 1200, why not 1150-1200? Because some of the 1200 sales happened a few weeks ago already, there are currently two b/os at 1150 on outpost and a few of those quicksold ones couldn't get 1150 or 1200 keys for some time so they lowered their price and quicksold it.
That's why I think meeting at the middle of those 2 points at 1100 is the fairest thing for everyone.
I just realized his name was Woif and not Wolf. RIP
All that effort to just refresh the price... i bet it was a pan in the ass.
Step 1. Realize you have an addiction
Step 2. Follow through 100% about your addiction
Your comment made me lol, one free rep 4 u <3
No, bad vote, I wanted to dislike this, I can't not like it
Eh, I tried selling my Pan for about 2 weeks and ended up taking 1050. I had it up for a good week at 1100 and got tired of it tbh. ^^Though the buyer has been looking for a Pan in particular for a while, meaning I was able to quickly sell it for 1050 keys being the cheapest seller on the market... It took about 3 days before Geel sold his for 1020 keys.
I also think Pans sell pretty fast at the 1000-1050 keys range, but that sales are also very frequent around the 1000-1100 key range, maybe even as frequent as sales at the 1100-1200 key range. I'm a nub though, so what do I know? xD Woifi is probably right.
Now... the one I sold a month ago went quite well. I sold it for this:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27159327
780 keys
KaW Plug-in Prospector: ~11 keys
Blizzardy Bonk Boy: ~37 keys
7 buds: ~24 keys
Bill's Hat: ~2 keys
Professional Australium Wrench: ~32 keys
Eerie Tree: ~28 keys
Smoking Modest: ~23 keys
Scorching Beak: ~225 keys
Those values are what I sold all the items for in pure, except the Beak which I still have (someone pls buy). It's freshly updated anyhow.
It's a pretty solid 1150 keys... but it was also more than a month ago! >:3
10:16 PM - Julia: pls upvote comment
I upvoted your comment
Thank you for your constructive comment ^^ It was indeed difficult to determine the range this time, but hopefully I got it right :3
Edit: I think this range should reflect the most common potential for the Pan since anything lower than 1100 goes in a few days and doesn't reflect what the pan is -really- worth.