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I will get this one day... well that's what my mother told me :(
Any marketplace sales first because I am a lazy jew!
https://marketplace.tf/items/1071;11;kt-3
June 4th - $2222.22
/1.95
= 1140 keys
May 31st - $2350
/1.96
= 1199 or 1200
May 13th - $2250
/1.98
= 1136 keys
April 27 - $1950
/1.94
= 1005 (Low)
April 26 - $2350
/1.94
= 1211 keys
April 17 - $2360
/1.94
= 1217 keys
April 13th - $1890 Low
April 11 - $2350
/1.94
= 1211 keys
March 27th - $2300
/1.94
=1185 keys
So 1140, 1200, 1136, 1005, 1211, 1217, 1211, 1185
Going to take 1211, 1217 and 1211 from mp.tf
Now real trades
Sale 1-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076588232#!/compare/1527984000/1528416000 ~ Low
Sale 2-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052793694#!/compare/1526515200/1526601600 ~ Most likely capped by B/O
Sale 3-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203229287#!/compare/1524787200/1526083200 ~ Umm
Sale 4-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200 ~ 1200
Lookls like 1200+, just the flame thrower I cant mini.
Sale 5-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296878368#!/compare/1528502400/1528588800 ~1133
Sale 6-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1523923200/1524009600 ~ 1060 ish low outlier
Sale 7-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069268528#!/compare/1527811200/1527897600 ~ 1150
Sale 8-
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198869057#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600 ~ 1150
We have 1200, 1133, 1060, 1150, 1150
1060 and 1133 are low
Buyers @1155, 1150, 1030, 1000
Sellers @1200,1300, 1330, 1350
Going with 1150-1200 as most sales are occuring around there.
I missed a few sales probably as well as I am lazy.
Thanks
~Pigeon
Wouldn't the two buyers at 1155 and 1150 keys counter 1150 keys as your low end?
That is what I was thinking but I asked someone and they said it would be fine at 1150-1200.
Your range is a conservative rise imo
1200 keys flat seems better judging by the cash sales on mp.tf
Alright, I will wait to see other peoples opinions.
The 1133 sale was actually ~1200 cause he bought 70 keys right before the trade: https://i.imgur.com/lU3D3mN.png (other invisible item is the knife), so my sale supports the high end just fine. Not gonna exclude 1150 since it seems to be a common trading point.