Suggestion: Strange Golden Frying Pan at 2800–3200 keys

Exorcism Pumpkin Bombs Professional Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher (sold for Isotope Horror Holiday Scattergun FN (~58) + 30k = 88 a year ago https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801172702#!/compare/1593993600/1594166400,

likely sold for 215 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61f335e5aedf14e3a60112b8 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1643241600/1643328000,

might be 200 here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030343929#!/compare/1639958400/1640044800)

Exorcism Pumpkin Bombs Professional Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher (sold for 240 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1639785600/1640044800,

incomplete

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262713274#!/compare/1640995200/1641081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226865744#!/compare/1640908800/1641081600

Moved same day, buyer's side makes it look like 2852k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226865744#!/compare/1641081600/1641600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1640995200/1641081600

Moved same day, untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1641600000/1641686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1641513600/1641686400

1000k + Clean Purple Energy Bonk Boy (900) + Duped Death at Dusk Virtual Viewfinder (added 75k for scorching bonk boy here: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198929792978#!/compare/1638576000/1638835200, so likely at least ~1100) = ~3000k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028970071#!/compare/1641772800/1642204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015330923#!/compare/1641600000/1642204800

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e2a98c1fd01a5617a64e0a

Vintage Community Sparkle Specialized Killstreak Lugermorph (2200) + Death at Dusk Specialized Killstreak Polar Pullover (1100, outdated) + Scorching Flames Galvanized Gibus (196) = 3496k, caps at 3150k B/O

2. https://backpack.tf/item/11083458746

https://mannco.store/item/440-strange-professional-killstreak-golden-frying-pan

Listed at $5120

3. https://backpack.tf/item/11006332538

Scammer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090389125#!/compare/1643328000/1643414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1643155200/1643328000

I can see 1000k, guess rest was cash

[b/4.[/b] https://backpack.tf/item/10921426491

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116801784#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/619081e748ce9c1a08af7f4d

Australium Eyelander (x5, ~400) + HOUWAR (320) + Searing Plasma Blighted Beak (~135) + Miami Nights Le Party Phantom (~103) + Demonflame Copper's Hard Top (275) + Hellfire Copper's Hard Top (260) + maybe ~1700k = ~3200k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057725524#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

3 GPans for Darkblaze Antlers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057725524#!/compare/1640649600/1640736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1640476800/1640736000

https://i.gyazo.com/b9e9cdd8b807e44414e41b2691568be0.png

Being used on Poisoned Shadows Pyromancer, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61cc63ef01074f5e6c1b00ec

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1641513600/1641686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005574075#!/compare/1640131200/1641686400

May be incomplete, but looks like:

Circling Heart Antlers (2400) + Haunted Ghosts Virtual Viewfinder (2100) + 500k = 5000k for 2 GPans, so essentially 2500k each. Both were used to purchase Peace Coffin after.

5. https://backpack.tf/item/10891852091

Cash sales

6. https://backpack.tf/item/10832228728

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967769505#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d7547b05b9a3f64a500381

I dunno, probably at least 2800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090389125#!/compare/1642550400/1642896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122604075#!/compare/1641081600/1642896000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61eb0fb8feb9c7eedaf2a411

So I did some 'rough' adding (based on items leaving buyer's compare, which I assume were quicksold for this)...

7+3+2.6+1.6+20.3+1.9+3.3+1.3+1.8+10.5+1.5+1.3+12+8.1+2.4+6.7+3+1.3+1.6+1.9+1.5+1.6+3+1+17.6+10.9+20.6+2.3+1.8+17.5+7.7+1+15+1.5+1.5+1+1.2+3+1+2.3+3.1+1.9+4.9+1.7+3.3+1.1+1+1+4.2+1+1+5.1+8+1+4.2+3.6+1+2.3+1+5.1+2+2.1+1+3+2+15.2+2.8+9.3+2.3+3.4+2+1.3+9.1+28.5+4+2.9+1+1.5+5.1+4+2+2+2.2+5.7+15.9+9+4.4+3+7.4+4+2+2.6+13.2+3+2+1+1.7+6.3+5+1+5+8+75+1.9+1.2+5.1+1.5+1.3+3+1.8+37.5+6+1.7+1.2+2.7+3.3+1+1+3.8+2.4+1.7+1.7+1.3+7.2+3.7+2.7+4+2+1.9+1.3+1.3+5+3.8+1.8+2.8+3.5+1.5+2.9+1.3+1.3+1.2+3.1+1.9+1.2+2.1+4.6+3.4+1.8+6+2+1.3+9.4+2+1.7+1+5.2+1.7+3.6+8.7+2.1+5.5+3.6+1.7+1.3+3.3+1.2+2+1.2+2.5+2.7+1.5+1.9+2+9+6.2+1+2+13.5+40+3.3+3.6+29+30+6.6+4+1+(2687-619 <-refers to no. of keys left over after the top stuff is taken away from total count) = ~3000k

I have lost the will to live

7. https://backpack.tf/item/10666644980

Looks like gambling

8. https://backpack.tf/item/10649782070

Gambling

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096044051#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1641513600/1641600000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d7547b05b9a3f64a500381

Guessing this was:

HOUWAR (320) + Stormy Storm Large Luchadore (108) + VFB Green Black Hole Vintage Tyrolean (250, given Estel's past offers here https://gyazo.com/e807b19e9f23316b9a0d8f95fa470487) + Spellbound Jumper's Jeepcap (new 600 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff01329ded5f055dded7ba) + Something Burning This Way Comes Broadband Bonnet (146 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff054d5cf98648e4cb0de9) +

Spellbound Pampered Pyro (301 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff04ea2aa069f7cf0fada0) + Clean Smoking Exquisite Rack (228 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fefcea28253de7c0cce860) + Death at Dusk Killer's Kabuto (215 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff0254468f386b6398d728) + Hot Macaw Masked War Paint (Minimal Wear) (250, outdated) + Sunbeams Wide-Brimmed Bandito (43, outdated) + Australium Scattergun (x2, ~86) + Purple Energy Harmburg (69) + Professional Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle (~55) + ~430k? = ~3100k

9. https://backpack.tf/item/10625182277

Movement/Cash sales

10. https://backpack.tf/item/10591604298

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099260958#!/compare/1637452800/1637539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993097994#!/compare/1630540800/1640390400

Doesn't look like a sale

11. https://backpack.tf/item/10583179021

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1636416000/1636502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051680717#!/compare/1636416000/1636502400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/6189c6091459b71462d6155a

Strange Unusual Killstreak Horseless Headless Horsemann's Headtaker (180)

Strange Huntsman (20)

Strange Professional Killstreak Widowmaker (~15.2)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Big Earner (~2.3)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Festive Ambassador (~12)

Strange Invis Watch (~15)

Green Black Hole Copper's Hard Top (~67 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61860ef894d77497bc137633)

Anti-Freeze Triboniophorus Tyrannus (84 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/6185782748aa3875576c4554)

Darkblaze Executioner (1650)

Strange Professional Killstreak Bread Bite (~9.1)

Strange Snack Attack (12.1)

Strange Mutated Milk (~9.7)

Professional Killstreak Australium Blutsauger (~10.3)

Strange Specialized Killstreak AWPer Hand (~19)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Gunslinger (~117)

Strange Professional Killstreak Batsaber (~173)

The Ooze Nanobalaclava (105 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff09b8ac8af82a597dfd09)

Strange Australium Knife (~22)

Strange Sandvich (~8.3)

Subatomic Captain Space Mann (450, outdated)

Strange Professional Killstreak C.A.P.P.E.R (~31)

Menacing Miasma Brain Interface (21 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff05e0d7554e746a11e33d)

Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star (~31)

Emerald Allurement Taunt: The Schadenfreude (~61 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff0824a09f555033013e83)

Strange Self-Aware Beauty Mark (~11)

Strange Giger Counter (65)

Nebula Universal Translator (470)

Spellbound Aspect Taunt: The Schadenfreude (117, outdated)

Shrieking Shades Airdog (~16 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff06b97b26ca79712ed610)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Kritzkrieg (~61)

Strange Dead Head (48)

Strange Killstreak Ullapool Caber (~10)

Death at Dusk Fed-Fightin' Fedora (~126 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff09e0c48b5c258d345586)

Strange Jungle Jersey (~16)

>4000k apparently, going to cap at 3600k B/O here (or possibly even lower sellers' 3400 B/Os)

12. https://backpack.tf/item/10564720245

Nothing?

13. https://backpack.tf/item/10538504683

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1639094400/1639180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038#!/compare/1639094400/1639180800

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b40532c79f8d9be27ba609

Hellfire Swagman's Swatter (745, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61d96227e0bf1919b30ecd97) + Disco Fever Unusualifier (~4) + Australium Rocket Launcher (~52) + 2240k = ~3000k

14. https://backpack.tf/item/10522447841

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1642032000/1642118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058531305#!/compare/1639958400/1642377600

Untrace

15. https://backpack.tf/item/10508629078

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014404374#!/compare/1637884800/1637971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094818081#!/compare/1637884800/1637971200

Untrace, maybe cash

https://bitskins.com/price?app_id=440&market_hash_name=Strange+Professional+Killstreak+Golden+Frying+Pan

Doesn't seem to have sold here, listed at $5500 https://gyazo.com/2b689543eebd8504f645de78f3129944

16. https://backpack.tf/item/10492111732

Probably gambling

17. https://backpack.tf/item/10445867621

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185982134#!/compare/1635984000/1636329600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1636243200/1636329600

Might be a keys + cash sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052116405#!/compare/1636329600/1636416000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212086448#!/compare/1636329600/1636416000

Seems untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212086448#!/compare/1636675200/1636934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069183333#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069183333#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1637971200/1638057600

Gambling I presume

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000

Can't really tell, could be cash also

18. https://backpack.tf/item/9826855440

Listed on https://cs.deals/market/tf2/?name=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Golden%20Frying%20Pan&sort=price&sort_desc=1

19. https://backpack.tf/item/9566181442

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088984882#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400

GPan + Australium Rocket Launcher (~52) + 100k

for

Duped Anti-Freeze Master's Yellow Belt (sold for DBD Belt (~293) + RA Swatter (190 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff12024c8ffb7da4cbe1c0, 156 here? https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1643414400/1643500800) + Apotheosis Taunt: The Bunnyhopper (7) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1640476800/1640563200, so 450-490)

Roboactive Villain's Veil (1500)

Green Black Hole Pyromancer's Mask (1150)

490 + 1500 + 1150 - 100 - 52 = ~3000k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088984882#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971403645#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

Untrace, could be cash

20. https://backpack.tf/item/9354291353

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1639785600/1639872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037248506#!/compare/1639353600/1639872000

Looks like 2500 + 450 = 2950k given seller's side

21. https://backpack.tf/item/9336601750

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1638921600/1639094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199194643098#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

Movement

22. https://backpack.tf/item/9182187843

Looks like gambling

23. https://backpack.tf/item/8844089908

Movement

24. https://backpack.tf/item/8783380133

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057725524#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

Sale for Darkblaze Antlers

25. https://backpack.tf/item/8585133505

Paypal scammer, so I guess this was scammed :P

26. https://backpack.tf/item/8443749099

Scammer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400

Untrace, cash?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055847835#!/compare/1641513600/1641686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005574075#!/compare/1640131200/1641686400

Same sale that was previously mentioned

27. https://backpack.tf/item/7971367633

Tradeback

28. https://backpack.tf/item/7887857762

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1637971200/1638057600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1637971200/1638057600

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61a41d7a3757ee73a64d1265

Seems to be an upgrade to a It's A Secret To Everybody Virtual Viewfinder

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1638057600/1638144000

I dunno

Tradebacks

29. https://backpack.tf/item/7806490432

Scammer/no traceable sales

30. https://backpack.tf/item/7683736676

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199083449559#!/compare/1640476800/1640822400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050210789#!/compare/1640476800/1640736000

I don't see it, total of items leaving that day is still pretty far off

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050210789#!/compare/1640476800/1640736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1640649600/1640736000

Untrace, moved same day

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275478002#!/compare/1640649600/1640736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1640649600/1640736000

Moved same day, still dunno

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1641945600/1642032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962471855#!/compare/1641859200/1641945600

Looks to be:

Sunbeams Triboniophorus Tyrannus (57.5 outdated, 55 sellers now https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff1b6d238f6c1aadcff82c, 55 sale https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Sunbeams%20Triboniophorus%20Tyrannus&at=2022-02-06T01:39:22.775Z)

Stormy Storm Large Luchadore (108)

Duped VFB Smoking Soldier's Stash (sold here for Sunbeams Noble Nickel (48.5) + Green Confetti Mining Light (85.5) + 23k = 157, ~178 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff1a48a4646d377a27e3fe, recent clean sale at 200)

Cloudy Moon Hetman's Headpiece (all movement in this history looks like gambling https://backpack.tf/item/1225050544, taking outdated at 50)

Phosphorous Ol' Geezer (64)

Darkblaze A Rather Festive Tree (800)

Something Burning This Way Comes Broadband Bonnet (no usable sales, 146 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff054d5cf98648e4cb0de9)

Double spelled Chiroptera Venenata Head Warmer (925)

[sold for Scorching Flames Powdered Practitioner (sold for 100k https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1641427200/1641513600) + Clean Smoking Exquisite Rack (sold for $400 / $1.87 = 213.90k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/339;5;u35, 228 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fefcea28253de7c0cce860) + Purple Energy Harmburg (69) + Scorching Flames Vintage Tyrolean (sold here for

Morning Glory Hat of Cards (~131 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff1ff28f8783ffe90bd5af) + 20k + ~2k in sweets = 153k https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1636243200/1636329600 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61889a8b3de91bc23799e025) + Dead Presidents Hong Kong Cone (~36 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff1e8ec3036259cfeaafb4) + Australium Scattergun (~43) + Sunbeams Wide-Brimmed Bandito (43, outdated) + 4 maxes (~116) + Vivid Plasma Law (~62, outdated) + Strange Captain Cardbeard Cutthroat (~23) + Strange Construction PDA (~52)

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d6337e17b6a437d354a901 (1000k B/O)

= 925]

Professional Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle (x2, ~112)

Ancient Eldritch Prehistoric Pullover (~110 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff2067045860274bd54f21)

Vexed Volcanics Hollowed Helm (28, outdated)

Purple Energy Telefragger Toque (~35 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff216277302e09fb1d53e1)

Scorching Flames Helmet Without a Home (sale at 59k https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1642636800/1642723200 11204345869)

Scorching Flames Mann of Reason (68)

Burning Flames Tough Stuff Muffs (sold for $499.99 / $1.83 = ~273k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/984;5;u13)

Sunbeams Vive La France (sold for $199.99/1.82=~110k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30422;5;u17)

Circling Heart Vive La France (sale for 45k https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073366480#!/compare/1642723200/1643068800, ~63k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30422;5;u19, 54k midpoint)

Scorching Flames Pirate Bandana (~108)

Frostbite Shooter's Tin Topi (53 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frostbite%20Shooter%27s%20Tin%20Topi&at=2022-02-06T01:34:50.035Z)

Australium Medi Gun (~58)

3394k, caps at 3333k B/O https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d7547b05b9a3f64a500381 (3200 sellers at the time tho)

31. https://backpack.tf/item/7448029061

Movement

32. https://backpack.tf/item/7276054188

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056666757#!/compare/1636848000/1637020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1636934400/1637020800

Not sure what the full sale is, looks like the Hellfire Snaggle and Nebula Phono were involved too

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1639958400/1640044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1639958400/1640044800

1200k

Duped Burning Flames Geisha Boy (no usable sales, ~54 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff28b598456d76b3a0eb03)

Knifestorm Surgeon's Stahlhelm

(may have sold for Circling Heart Patriot Peak +

Pumpkin Moon Optic Nerve + Strange The Eldritch Opening Berlin Brain Bowl https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1636675200/1636761600, seems close enough to outdated value at 400, taking that)

Stormy 13th Hour Berliner's Bucket Helm (no other sales, ~190 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff272cbdba5606fdd81e6f)

Misty Skull Berliner's Bucket Helm (230)

It's A Secret To Everybody Surgeon's Stahlhelm (may have 1:1 w/ Demonflame Das Naggenvatcher here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974943082#!/compare/1637366400/1637452800, although it has no other usable sales either, it's most likely at least 300, taking 300 here as approximate minimum value)

Spellbound Das Naggenvatcher (845)

Pumpkin Moon Berlin Brain Bowl (160)

3379k, likely realistically caps at 3400k B/O https://gladiator.tf/listings/61c1695381c07ebff4c393a3

33. https://backpack.tf/item/7196864499

Gambling

34. https://backpack.tf/item/7097738817

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096024852#!/compare/1637280000/1639958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293485286#!/compare/1624665600/1640476800

Untrace

35. https://backpack.tf/item/6839017231

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b2f36a5e959e05c21b42f4

Hot Professional Killstreak Cosmic Calamity Shahanshah FT (no sales, generic buyer at 23 https://gyazo.com/fa0f65a5eed7a1afa753da4c46a660c6 https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Shahanshah&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=701)

Cool Specialized Killstreak Star Crossed Disciplinary Action BS (no sales, generic buyers at ~22 https://gyazo.com/939c30b0f830b8b5154ede2c0b155e60 https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Disciplinary+Action&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=703)

Hot Professional Killstreak Star Crossed Medi Gun FN (90, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ff30308493075a1520a08a)

Cool Specialized Killstreak Star Crossed Stickybomb Launcher WW and Cool Specialized Killstreak Cosmic Calamity Iron Bomber MW sold together for:

Strange Festivized Killstreak Scattergun (1.8) + Abyssal Aura Bat Hat (~19 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff30512eab2b22c8174e12) + Galvanic Defiance Taunt: The Boston Breakdance (~5, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ff339a601aa7392c1050b8) + Isotope Professional Killstreak Snowflake Swirled Bazaar Bargain BS (32, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ff320fb3babf79572f1f73) + Strange Killstreak AWPer Hand (~22) + Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star (~32) + 9k = ~121k

Hot Killstreak Cosmic Calamity Rocket Launcher FT (no sales, taking outdated ~39)

Australium Knife (~21.5)

Australium Ambassador (~12)

Australium Black Box (~16)

HOUWAR (320)

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Iron Bomber (~16 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Festivized%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Iron%20Bomber&at=2022-02-06T02:43:33.456Z)

Cool Specialized Killstreak Star Crossed SMG BS (no sales, generic buyer at ~13 https://gyazo.com/80e6dc04b76dbe92c02b99b6de12baa1 https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=SMG&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=703)

Morning Glory Towering Titanium Pillar of Hats (66)

Aurora Australis Taunt: Square Dance (17 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Australis%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance&at=2021-12-06T02:47:42.193Z)

Aurora Polaris Taunt: Surgeon's Squeezebox (27 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Polaris%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2022-02-06T02:48:21.807Z)

Strange Festive Flame Thrower (~15)

Fountain of Delight Taunt: The High Five! (~16 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff340e1536b3958979b934)

Max's Severed Head (~29)

Non-Craftable Spectral Swirl Taunt: The Meet the Medic (no sales, craftable version has ~22 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff35f6abe1aef79b3aadca)

Exorcism Strange Specialized Killstreak Festive Knife (~14 I guess)

2438k?

3338k, reasonable to suggest this could also cap at 3400k B/O https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b2f36a5e959e05c21b42f4

36. https://backpack.tf/item/6826324108

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178638591#!/compare/1642550400/1642723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094145477#!/compare/1642636800/1642723200

335k

Terror-Watt Antlers (625)

Disco Beat Down Polar Pullover (1475)

Clean VFB Kill-a-Watt Antlers (750, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ff3a506cc72a2532109d24)

Sunbeams Tough Stuff Muffs (sale for 152 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048335259#!/compare/1640822400/1641081600)

3337k, could possibly cap at 3400k B/O https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e9fb97552d7cc4ba4c6fdd, could also be closer to round down to 3300 though (very similar value to the sale above)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094145477#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1643328000/1643673600

GPan swap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1643673600/1643760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1643414400/1643673600

Another GPan swap or something

37. https://backpack.tf/item/6684788770

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147024042#!/compare/1639008000/1639094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115102647#!/compare/1638921600/1639094400

May be 2800k given seller's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115102647#!/compare/1641686400/1641859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991154117#!/compare/1641686400/1641859200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991154117#!/compare/1641772800/1641859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202273263#!/compare/1641600000/1641859200

Bonzo The All-Gnawing Executioner + Professional Killstreak Australium Force-A-Nature + Professional Killstreak Australium SMG + Strange Isotope Professional Killstreak Totally Boned Sniper Rifle MW + Specialized Killstreak Australium Tomislav,

since this sale is going to end up showing a much greater value for the Bonzo Exec., it might be better used there (as discussed): https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ff3e3b2dd4d4141718843b

(using the current suggested value for the Exec. at 1850 suggests this sale is close to 2000k, which is clearly low)

38. https://backpack.tf/item/6634328454

Seems to just be cash sales

39. https://backpack.tf/item/6510533733

Seems to be gambling/tradebacks

40. https://backpack.tf/item/6481532993

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1640217600/1640304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962471855#!/compare/1640217600/1640304000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61c3ecec3f61d3c351d9520c

Misty Skull A Rather Festive Tree (no other sales, taking outdated at 148)

Golden Gusts Taunt: Shooter's Stakeout (no usable sales, ~30 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff4854fec7ff287ce1a553)

Non-Craftable Unusual Taunt: The Mannbulance! Unusualifier (~16 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff4842cebbc604183f9b62 https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Mannbulance%21%20Unusualifier)

Non-Craftable Unusual Taunt: Oblooterated Unusualifier (~5 https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Oblooterated%20Unusualifier)

Shining Stag Brass Bucket (99)

Polar Forecast Polar Bear (60)

Non-Craftable Unusual Taunt: The Russian Arms Race Unusualifier (~4 https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Russian%20Arms%20Race%20Unusualifier)

Strange Glittering Juniper Caribou Companion (no other sales, this is going to be heavily undervalued here, ~15 bo https://gyazo.com/3be641c62fc9520f32fa2caa24bd025d)

Stardust Pathway Elf Esteem (~8 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ff4a38b2519320c3409465)

Hospitable Festivity Brain-Warming Wear (10 bo https://gyazo.com/98c94876c0a0fdbe2da889f7989ad75b)

Nebula Universal Translator (x2, 940)

Non-Craftable Unusual Taunt: Yeti Punch Unusualifier (~3)

1845k?

~3k in sweets

3156k, but bear in mind this is most likely low

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962471855#!/compare/1641168000/1641254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000

This looks like it could be ~2900k given the keys on buyer's side + the Aussies purchased the same day (Sniper and SMG), may invalidate previous sale since this is a potential dump

41. https://backpack.tf/item/5472487574

Tradeback

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1638921600/1639008000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131966769#!/compare/1638662400/1639008000

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b111d1894109f0e1b422bb

Strange Unusual Specialized Killstreak Horseless Headless Horsemann's Headtaker (recent sales at ~300-430k https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Unusual%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Horseless%20Headless%20Horsemann%27s%20Headtaker, midpoint 365)

Clean Scorching Flames Safe'n'Sound (later sold for 120 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199187383421#!/compare/1640476800/1640563200 11104276477 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Scorching%20Flames%20Safe%27n%27Sound&at=2021-12-27T10:45:13.084Z)

Strange Collector's Professional Killstreak Phlogistinator (180 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Phlogistinator&at=2022-02-06T10:46:19.348Z)

Collector's Specialized Killstreak Family Business (most recent ~30 sale

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Family%20Business)

Strange Collector's Professional Killstreak Widowmaker (175)

Collector's Darwin's Danger Shield (sold $159.99 / $1.83 = 87k https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/231;14)

Collector's Specialized Killstreak Frontier Justice (most recently sold ~28k https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Collector%27s%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Frontier%20Justice)

Disco Beat Down Scot Bonnet (no recent sales, taking outdated 143)

Professional Killstreak Black Rose (181)

Strange Professional Killstreak Dead Reckoner Revolver FN (most recent ~12 https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Dead%20Reckoner%20Revolver%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Collector's Specialized Killstreak Reserve Shooter (most recent ~18 https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Collector%27s%20Reserve%20Shooter)

Strange Coffin Nail Shotgun FN (89, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61e551df7e63ce31bd78bf36)

Strange Festivized Killstreak Kill Covered Shotgun FN (nothing https://backpack.tf/premium/search?item=Shotgun&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=1&texture_name=Kill%20Covered&wear_tier=1 so taking outdated 41, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cad402d6780725e1c2a574c)

Strange Uranium Shotgun FN (16)

Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Damascus and Mahogany Shotgun FN (25, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ffacac6d77b051da6ef949)

Isotope Professional Killstreak Backwoods Boomstick Shotgun FN

(taking outdated 158, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e49edc23e814818ad77ee55)

Strange Professional Killstreak Hana Shotgun FN (sold for ~33 https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Hana%20Shotgun%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Strange Alien Tech Shotgun FN (outdated sale for ~17, https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Alien%20Tech%20Shotgun%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Warhawk Flame Thrower FN (taking outdated 50, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d2623416780723d677864c6)

Strange Sax Waxed Shotgun (taking outdated 28, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5dd18bef67807217dc35dd06)

Strange Carpet Bomber Mk.II Air Strike FN (listed SCM value of ~20)

Strange Professional Killstreak Carpet Bomber Mk.II Loose Cannon FN (outdated 39, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5cbe91656780721fbc6211e6)

Strange Coffin Nail Grenade Launcher FN (slightly outdated at ~71 https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Coffin%20Nail%20Grenade%20Launcher%20%28Factory%20New%29

Strange Pumpkin Pied Shotgun (literally nothing https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Pumpkin%20Pied%20Shotgun%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Strange Festivized Specialized Killstreak Skull Study Sniper Rifle (didn't find anything, taking SCM value of ~10)

Strange Top Shelf Revolver FN (outdated 189, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f6ec5e21081187ce633251c)

Strange Jazzy Jag FN (only sale I found, year+ old sale at ~82 https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Festivized%20Jazzy%20Jag%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Strange Specialized Killstreak Coffin Nail Scattergun FN (sold Aug 26 2021 for ~89 https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?country=US&currency=1&appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Coffin%20Nail%20Scattergun%20%28Factory%20New%29)

Strange Professional Killstreak Boneyard Knife (it seems to have a listed SCM value of ~208)

Strange Boneyard Sniper Rifle FN (taking outdated 486, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d733af6d38172687c534be3)

Strange Woodland Warrior Mk.II Air Strike (listed SCM value of ~7)

Specialized Killstreak Freedom Wrapped Iron Bomber FN (taking outdated 13, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d611f8fd3817277f74916d0)

Strange Night Owl Mk.II War Paint (~75, slightly outdated)

Strange Kill Covered Tomislav FN (taking outdated 29, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e66e07eed58ab75ee1a3115)

Blizzardy Storm Safe'n'Sound (~29 buy order dump https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b153280dad0347ced1f813 https://backpack.tf/item/8487611390)

365+120+180+30+175+87+28+143+181+12+18+89+41+16+25+158+33+17+50+28+20+39+71+10+189+82+89+208+486+7+13+75+29+29

3143k (whether this is overvalued or undervalued, I can't really tell)

this was horrible don't make me price skins again

42. https://backpack.tf/item/5337074600

Cash sales

43. https://backpack.tf/item/4881446207

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036272372#!/compare/1642982400/1643068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000713080#!/compare/1639699200/1643068800

1:1 w/ Spellbound Exquisite Rack, use there

44. https://backpack.tf/item/4740161488

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057725524#!/compare/1636761600/1636848000

Sale for Darkblaze Antlers

45. https://backpack.tf/item/4727041282

Untrace/nothing

46. https://backpack.tf/item/4326603511

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326511775#!/compare/1638403200/1638489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1638403200/1638489600

Full sale seems untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1639872000/1639958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1639872000/1639958400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61bd298d487ac2477a1dc89d - No B/O, but could potentially cap at 3200 given number of sellers at that

Green Energy Magistrate's Mullet (~36k https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242834532#!/compare/1640995200/1641168000 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d2c12375b6248f44a7e0b0 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Green%20Energy%20Magistrate%27s%20Mullet&at=2022-02-06T13:28:33.947Z, ~38 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffcad5ae331c18f6e98979)

Strange Sunbeams Bonk Boy (sold for 171k + Maxes (~29) + Pumpkin Moon Herald's Helm (likely sold for 475 here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1643155200/1643241600 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61f0f6934aa6d5a4bd307ded) = 675 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1641945600/1642032000 no snapshot)

The Ooze Frenchman's Beret (only other sale is bulk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1640736000/1640822400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198913361211#!/compare/1640736000/1640822400, taking slightly outdated 150 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6125460189f72e2bbf4984e2)

Nebula Universal Translator (x5, 2350)

Cool Haunted Ghosts War Paint WW (44)

The Dark Doorway Mann-O-War (41-48, taking ~45 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=The%20Dark%20Doorway%20Mann-O-War&at=2022-02-06T13:42:04.354Z)

~3300k

(I don't believe the PE KE is part of this sale)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1641945600/1642032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1641945600/1642032000

Double spelled Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Rocket Launcher (sale for 75 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090457223#!/compare/1636848000/1636934400 10933796549)

Professional Killstreak Australium Frontier Justice (~20 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Frontier%20Justice&at=2022-01-12T13:48:08.580Z)

Professional Killstreak Australium Black Box (~26 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Black%20Box&at=2022-01-12T13:48:43.412Z)

Specialized Killstreak Australium Ambassador (~14 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Ambassador&at=2022-01-12T13:49:20.954Z)

Professional Killstreak Australium Blutsauger (~11 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Blutsauger&at=2022-01-12T13:50:11.607Z)

Hot Killstreak Smissmas Village Scattergun BS (no other sales https://backpack.tf/item/8983577754, taking outdated at 38 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f91ccd9059b5c37310b37c0)

Spellbound Pencil Pusher (no recent sales, taking outdated at 2200 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60469a1bd40928223603226b)

Australium Black Box (~17 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Australium%20Black%20Box&at=2022-01-12T13:52:30.336Z)

Smoking Brotherhood of Arms (50 bo, seller at 52 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffceaef480656811a4b8c0)

25k

75+20+26+14+11+38+2200+17+50+25

2476k, seems pretty low, perhaps the Pencil is undervalued or something is missing here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140162979#!/compare/1643414400/1643673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1643328000/1643673600

GPan swap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062329277#!/compare/1643673600/1643760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1643673600/1643760000

Untrace, perhaps cash

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1643932800/1644019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070713669#!/compare/1643932800/1644019200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fe2e5705211aa4aaa11d09

Strange Professional Killstreak Warhawk Rocket Launcher FN (675, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61cc65fa44db485baa097f1c)

Vintage Bill's Hat (~50 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/126;3, 44 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffd483fa53b085f18d8371, ~43 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Vintage%20Bill%27s%20Hat&at=2022-02-06T14:31:19.337Z, taking 43-50 which ~47)

Strange Frozen Icefall Warhood (no other sales, taking outdated price of non-strange at 125 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6045bb1ead3d3575a4656a1c)

Pumpkin Moon Woolen Warmer (360)

Strange Green Confetti Bonk Boy (no other recent sales, taking slightly outdated at 145 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/611c019ce89f8a07cf55661b)

Stormy Storm Mining Light (140, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61ffd6d578f3d9590a2581ab)

Flaming Lantern Peacenik's Ponytail (no recent sales, taking outdated at 43 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60704ece7e402e664638a061)

Spectral Swirl Taunt: The High Five! (42)

Strange Professional Killstreak Top Shelf Knife MW (based on this suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/618c9e6d24037357d10e0114, the pure sale provided should cap at 150, so taking that)

Halloween Fire Strange Specialized Killstreak Festive Flame Thrower (amazingly, I couldn't find a single other strange festive one that ONLY had halloween fire, this double spelled one sold for 33 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1643846400/1643932800 11258214102, round it down to 30 I guess)

(this seller at 40k hasn't sold for years https://backpack.tf/item/634931984)

Strange Professional Killstreak Rustic Ruiner Shotgun (no recent sales, taking outdated at 64 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ee060e8b583cc41761acccd)

Strange Professional Killstreak Original (89-95, 92 midpoint https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Original&at=2022-02-06T14:24:27.517Z https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fe21f4027c2fa7ada943c0)

Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Kritzkrieg (64-68, 66 midpoint https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Festivized%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Kritzkrieg&at=2022-02-06T14:27:05.493Z https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fdc4fcfee2b9867adcc5c4)

1000k

2980k, ~3000k (this seems to be the most recent sale so far, indicates sale are falling closer to 3000 now)

47. https://backpack.tf/item/4132450216

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677#!/compare/1640044800/1640131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964782863#!/compare/1640044800/1640131200

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61c199e226aa0487842a807f

Looks like 2250k + Abyssal Aura Head Prize (850, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/615c3b11f4953b1aba141906) = 3100k

48. https://backpack.tf/item/3997151494

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193943858#!/compare/1640044800/1641600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1641340800/1641427200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1642032000/1642118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1642032000/1642118400

Only Scorching Beak seems to match, incomplete

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209822445#!/compare/1642723200/1642809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447608263#!/compare/1641168000/1642896000

Untrace, perhaps cash

Tradeback

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198447608263#!/compare/1643500800/1643673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094145477#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

GPan swap/cash maybe

49. https://backpack.tf/item/3818882803

Seems to just be cash sales

50. https://backpack.tf/item/3521211808

Looks like gambling

51. https://backpack.tf/item/3394801144

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031258757#!/compare/1637020800/1637107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092200221#!/compare/1636416000/1637107200

Full sale seems untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092200221#!/compare/1637539200/1637625600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1637539200/1637625600

1:1 w/ Frostbite Virtual Viewfinder, was used there https://backpack.tf/suggestion/619d2060c5815d7f1162b074

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1639440000/1639526400

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61b94ff38316e0d329abae85

Clean Double Spelled Cloudy Moon Master's Yellow Belt (950, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61893bd19ce19e48256277e1, priced with same item)

Strange Professional Killstreak Festive Huntsman (~31 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Huntsman&at=2021-12-14T15:27:35.035Z)

Clean Bonzo The All-Gnawing Reggaelator (1200, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61a3c108384c6470fe5be957)

Demonflame Classy Capper (425, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61659b689a224e11e21dd3c9)

Energy Orb Professional Killstreak Night Owl Sniper Rifle WW (no other recent sales, slightly outdated at 343 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/611d0a476158775f0e26b8e3)

Purple Energy Classy Capper (likely sold for 60 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1640304000/1640390400)

Cool Killstreak Butcher Bird Grenade Launcher FT (~24 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209548471#!/compare/1639699200/1639785600, 35 bo https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Grenade%20Launcher&quality=15&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=703&killstreak_tier=0&texture_name=Butcher%20Bird&wear_tier=3, 69 outdated https://backpack.tf/suggestion/614c7aa6c012282d224a13d8, taking 35)

950+31+1200+425+343+60+35

3044k, ~3050k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1642032000/1642118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085108841#!/compare/1642032000/1642118400

Sunbeams Hellmet (64 matches, but I think there's a good chance this is actually clower to 100 given buyers are as high as ~89 now https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1642291200/1642377600 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054516121#!/compare/1642204800/1642291200 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e3f8af247ced7e2edf9fc2, also closer to outdated price at 99, taking 100 as approximate)

Frostbite Combustible Kabuto (85, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/619454bdce17c21dc615fe29)

Darkblaze Well-Rounded Rifleman (no usable sales, taking outdated at 600 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5f31fd45d5452f68925288d8, also 600 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffe6cd60e17d6b4334f848)

Duped Cloudy Moon Killer's Kabuto (sold for 290 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1642118400/1642204800)

Bonzo The All-Gnawing Conjurer's Cowl (previously sold for 1200 https://i.imgur.com/aWsWUyU.png https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61acc63116ac5428a564252b)

Energetic Haunter Woolen Warmer (80, https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61d20f6cbd37b8665e0ace10)

Circling Peace Sign Little Buddy (no usable sales, ~12 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffeccc7b6a13b01b78a4c6)

Frantic Spooker Berlin Brain Bowl (likely dumped for ~20k bo, ref matches https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1642636800/1642723200 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Frantic%20Spooker%20Berlin%20Brain%20Bowl&at=2022-02-06T15:55:14.696Z)

339k?

2726k, likely this sale is quite undervalued (especially on the Rifleman) and it appears to be lower than the previous sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085108841#!/compare/1642723200/1642809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847680167#!/compare/1642723200/1642809600

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e9c9b2dfe8223d19c2ed9c

Looks like:

Hellfire Master's Yellow Belt (no usable sales, taking outdated at 1700 https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60ed6de5d0c4273f0f5c302f)

Galactic Gateway Rotation Sensation (looks like it sold for 900 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282873040#!/compare/1638057600/1638662400 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ac024488df23fd7606220d, older suggestion also supports this value https://backpack.tf/suggestion/60b4a75f59b15413af0024e0)

The Eldritch Opening Murderer's Motif (likely dumped for ~62 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=The%20Eldritch%20Opening%20Murderer%27s%20Motif&at=2022-01-27T16:07:50.333Z https://backpack.tf/item/9207682557, 65 bo https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ffee2e56cc817363d68616)

35k? (possible more keys were involved given buyer's compare, but I assume the rest were used on the misty skull belt, though that sale is unverifiable)

~2700k, likely undervalued on the belt/keys shown are incomplete

Tradebacks

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258937500#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1643587200/1643673600

https://imgur.com/a/qJGTWLo

Clean Burning Flames Exquisite Rack + Spelled Strange Scorching Flames Villain's Veil, being used there https://backpack.tf/suggestion/61f90d7d66a2a875bc36c296

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106897791#!/compare/1643846400/1644105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885#!/compare/1644019200/1644105600

Untrace, perhaps cash

52. https://backpack.tf/item/3280677810

Looks like gambling

53. https://backpack.tf/item/2924730545

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958#!/compare/1640563200/1640649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1640563200/1640649600

Untrace, perhaps cash

54. https://backpack.tf/item/2841145617

Dupe, no movement

55. https://backpack.tf/item/2594615850

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048789173#!/compare/1625529600/1638921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1638835200/1638921600

I'm guessing this was bulk cash, alongside the Burning Pullover and AF Bomber

56. https://backpack.tf/item/2377547366

Just looks like cash sales

Sales:

3101

3141

3297

3122

3005

2921

2953

3394

3062

3450

3704

2893

2923

3344

3091

2093

3075

2963

3024

3103

2774

2317

2439

2317

2804

2852

3000

3150

3200

2500

3000

3100

3600

3000

3333

3379

3338

3337

2800

3156

3143

3300

2476

2980

3100

3044

2726

2700

Sales in order:

2093

2317

2439

2476

2500

2700

2726

2774

2800

2804

2852

2893

2921

2923

2953

2963

2980

3000

3005

3024

3044

3062

3075

3091

3100

3101

3103

3122

3141

3143

3150

3156

3200

3297

3300

3333

3337

3338

3344

3379

3394

3450

3600

3704

While making this suggestion, I noticed this had potentially sold https://backpack.tf/item/10666644980, the owner had briefly listed at 2970 https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fef8d5abe1aef79b2ae4de, so perhaps it sold for around that.

Classies:

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61fffa67f31d3e264d0503e5 https://gyazo.com/f3ac4b6ba9a207f570547dd2b4590518

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61ea489a591704fa456f0eb7 (Top buyers at ~2700)

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61e12ee25cc50be726ceb266 (Sellers have dipped as low as 3150)

https://gladiator.tf/listings/61be136096d98b2f6df5359f (Buyers as high as 2900+)

Sales below 2700 appear to be a bit low given buyers that consistently hover around that value. A page full of sellers at 3400 indicates any higher sales should be excluded.

Marketplace.tf: Sellers at $5500 https://gyazo.com/e83e1dbf9e4fb9890ef7d74c356ddf6d)

Mannco.store: Sellers at $5120-5399.99 https://gyazo.com/08dabda7847d6b887d6b3c26332441e2

(so a low end of sellers at ~3200 keys, Edit: the seller at $5120 has sold)

CS.deals: Sellers at $4888.88-5200 https://gyazo.com/73766e76a5aebc524dfed17670d88077

(so a low end of sellers at ~3000 keys)

CS.deals sales do seem to be on the low end, so capping sales at 3000 here would seem unsuitable, especially given higher physical sales.

Cutting out nine high and low sales from each end gives us...

~~2093 2093 2093 2317 2317 2439 2476 2500 2500~~ 2700 2726 2774 2800 2804 2852 2893 2921 2923 2953 2963 2980 3000 3000 3000 3000 3005 3005 3024 3024 3044 3062 3075 3091 3100 3100 3101 3103 3122 3141 3141 3143 3150 3156 3200 3297 3300 ~~3333 3337 3338 3344 3379 3394 3450 3600 3704~~

a range of 2700-3300, midpoint at 3000.

Although a bunch of the lower ~2700 sales are based on potentially undervalued item sales, much of these are more recent, much more recent than any sales above 3300 (which are from more than a month ago). They also indicate a general downward trend in sales.

Another possible range is 2800-3200, giving the same midpoint. Another argument for this is range is that the majority of sales (32 of 55) lie within this tighter range, and arguably better represents the most common selling points for this item. This would also fall in line with the 400 key ranges that have been accepted over the past few months.

Taking 2800-3200 keys.